This is a phenomenal breakdown of today's Enterprise AI/ML stack (S/O: @BatteryVentures).

I'm constructive on the tailwinds within this space and I'm long: $CFLT, $CRWD, $AMPL, $PLTR.

The report below is a great read for any AI & Enterprise SaaS Enthusiast.

Thread Summary: 1/
2/ Today's Org has a fragmented data and AI environment. Here are the different job roles required to perform certain data tasks.

For example, 1) the ETL process is going to undergo some innovation. 2) More people will become data citizens IMO.

The visual below shows it.
3/ The Data Value Chain:

The picture below explains -
i) the lifecycle of machine learning in an organization,
ii) the different applications required, and
iii) how data flows through the modern organization.
4/ $CFLT: Data Streaming

Hopefully, with the images above, Investors can connect the dots to see how $CFLT plays a foundational role in Data Streaming and Real-time data.

I believe $CFLT is disrupting the data at rest market and soon $SNOW's market.

5/ Personally, I believe the Cloud Data Infrastructure companies are where the big money lies within the AI/ML Space. This is why I'm betting on companies like $CFLT. I think $MDB is a great beneficiary.

There are some interesting info below:
6/ In 2023, I'd eye a possible IPO for Data Robot, SiSense and Thoughtspot. These are HIGH-potential AI Co's riding the next S-curve.

Thanks, @DanelDayan, @chiraag_deora and the battery team!
Here's the report: battery.com/our-take-on-th…

I'll keep sharing intel on the space!
I'll attach this Cloud report:

This Mckinsey Cloud & AI report had a few similar trends that I pointed out too in the thread above.

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More from @InvestiAnalyst

8 Nov
$PLTR: Palantir’s 3Q Report:

Below is a short thread of my article on the important metrics I’ll be tracking. I'm fairly neutral.

+ 3Q Rev beat: $396M; >35% YoY
+ FY guidance
+ Foundry & Gotham business lines
+ Ent. Product GTM.

Let me explain: 1/n

seekingalpha.com/article/446637…
2/
- Q3: 40% YoY would be Net $30M, 35% ideal
- Q4 Rev: $405M (>27% YoY) is a minimum.
- FY 2021: $1.6B which would be roughly 40% YoY would be great.
- Sadly, I expect high SBC Costs
- Gov't contracts should boost FY 21 based on recent contracts (Army, IDIQ)

Metrics below
3/ Enterprise Clients is a BIG PART of my thesis:

Acceleration in the commercial would be HUGE. In Q2, they added 20 net new clients (booked $925M of contracts (175% YoY): Could we get around 190+ in Q3?

I'll watch Billings, RPO Growth, and Total Contract Value, ideally $4.0B+>
Read 5 tweets
8 Nov
Oct to November Portfolio Holdings Update:

P-1 (Core) and P-2 (Mgmd).

1/n: I provide all my company & portfolio commentary from the past month in the thread below:
2/This month was one of my best!

Portfolio 1-Core
+ Net New Buys: $DLO
+ Added: $AFRM, $CFLT (Based on Q3)
+ Sells: $NET
+ Trims: $UPWK (Based on Q3 ER)

Portfolio 2-Mgmd:
+ Net New Buy: $RILY, $COIN (I'll explain!)
+ Trimmed: $LC, $ARCB & $SI (Explosive moves!)
+ Sells: CTS-TO
3/ Port 2:

All stocks hit new highs and had big performance MTD.
See $ZS, $AMD, $ARCB, $SI. I don't talk much on them here.

FYI this is a performance-focused portfolio for family w/ strict criteria I use such as high EBITDA etc

Below is the framework:
Read 23 tweets
6 Nov
Confluent: The Central Nervous System that is empowering Data in Motion for the Leading Corporations.

Why Confluent could become as dominant as Snowflake as a leading Open-Source Data Infrastructure.

This is my long-awaited $CFLT Investment Thesis:
1/Thread Overview:

1) First Principles Analogy for Kafta (the foundations of Apache Kafta is needed to know CFLT)
2) $CFLT Overview and how it fits Kafta
3) Investment Thesis
4) The AI & Data Analytics Opportunity

Let's GO!
2/First, we need to know Apache Kafta?

An analogy: Imagine the task of going shopping, arriving home and you need to distribute those bought items across a BIG house FAST. Hassle? What if I gave you a robot to perform that task? Yay!

Kafta helps distribute from source > target
Read 27 tweets
29 Oct
Notable High-Quality Newsletters:

I asked Investors a few weeks ago to tell me their best-underfollowed newsletters amongst low-key Accounts.

Here are the Top 17 noteworthy ones I found in my research:
1/
@MT_Capital1

He writes an extensive and comprehensive analysis on emerging high-tech companies. Some of his best works include $SQ, $AFRM, $UPWK, $DLO and more!

Link: mtcapital.substack.com/subscribe
2/ @xponentialdave

Writes on Portfolio Mgmt and thoroughly analyzes *Quality* Tech companies.

He is currently UP 77% YTD! and has a cumulative Performance since Jan 2020 of 474%!

I won't say much beyond you want to follow him and read his articles:

exponentialdave.com/2021/10/29/oct…
Read 19 tweets
28 Oct
$UPWK Q3 Earnings Review:

The report was mixed. They laid the foundation for future growth opportunities amongst freelancers & enterprise clients.

Below is my full analysis after digesting the report:
1/ If you missed my initial pre-earnings analysis.

You can find out the key metrics that I was watching before hitting the thread -
2/ The report was mixed. Let's begin with the negatives:

Top-line Revenue:

They were mostly in-line with expectations on the lower end. Weak boost

+38% GSV YoY
+31% Rev YoY
+Slow-down QoQ
+ No major $ Rev adds to Q4 & Full-year guidance.

Technically 1% beat. Disappointing.
Read 11 tweets
27 Oct
$UPWK reports a crucial Q3 Report:

It's one of my largest positions. I'm positioned for both the good and the worst.

Here are the key metrics & my pre-earnings drill for this report (a sneak-peak into how I prepare for earnings):
1/ Rev Estimates:

@hydnbrwn hired a new CFO less than a year ago (Ex $FB Exec). Historically, Jeff beats estimates at 3-4% range.

Below are my expectations using historical metrics I've modelled: At 5%,
+ Yellow will be "OK"
+ Mid-range will be good
+ If we get any of the green
2/ Key Metrics that drive a freelance platform like $UPWK

a) GSV Per Active Client
b) GSV v Marketplace Growth
c) Monitor cohort stickiness

Importantly, last Q; They added 29 New Enterprise Clients that are spending >$1Million (100% YoY).It'll be interesting to see their impact
Read 11 tweets

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