2/ In between 2 jobs, I finally had time to structure this strain of thoughts.
Between Chinese tech-authoritarianism & FAANG in the US, Europe has been striving for a “third way” tech policy for years - with very limited results.
Web3 perfectly embodies this "third way".
3/ In this @StanfordLaw article, I discuss three major arguments:
1. Web3 for digital sovereignty. 2. Web3 for financial independence. 3. Web3 for economic revival.
Here comes a brief summary of these. Please check out the article for a more comprehensive analysis.
4/ 1. Web3 is the EU's road to digital sovereignty.
The concept of digital sovereignty - the self-determined control in opposition to government/company power - underpins every single digital policy project in the EU: The GDPR, Digital Markets Act, Digital Services Act.
5/ These regulations have had some success. EU citizens are more aware of their data rights, for instance (erasure, portability etc.).
However, the big downside is quite obvious: An increasingly user-unfriendly internet full of ubiquitous cookie popups & privacy consent forms.
6/ Web3 solves that. It is the perfect vehicle towards digital sovereignty.
It is an internet owned by builders & users orchestrated by tokens.
7/ Copyright infringements/piracy were not solved through regulation, but through technological alternatives (Netflix, Spotify).
Digital sovereignty won't be solved through regulation, but the adoption of an alternative internet architecture (#Web3) with these values built-in.
8/ 2. Crypto will make the EU financially independent from the US.
The US is dominating global finance.
❎USD denominates large parts of cross border activity/securities/derivatives/FX trades
❎Largest capital markets
❎Global payment giants - VISA/Paypal etc.
❎SWIFT influence
9/ In short: The dollar gives the US leverage. No EU bank/firm can afford to to lose access to USD-payments.
This became crystal-clear to everyone when the EU’s strong efforts to bypass former President Donald Trump’s Iran sanctions failed completely.
12/ 3. Web3 is THE opportunity for economic revival.
Of the world’s 20 largest tech giants, not one is European. Europe accounted for 41 of the 100 biggest companies by market cap in 2000, down to 15 in 2021. Europe's share in global equity markets has halved over the past 20y.
16/ 2. The EU has the most advanced & harmonized regulatory framework upcoming.
The next phase of adoption will be institutional. And institutions need legal certainty.
The Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation will provide that & harmonize the ruleset across the EU.
17/ In the US, crypto regulation is kind of a mess.
It varies amongst states & lacks clear supervisory regimes.
Example: Coinbase has 50 different state regulators for money transmission or lending licenses, on top of the federal regulators FINCEN, SEC, CFTC, IRS, Treasury etc.
18/ 3. The EU has by far the biggest potential upside.
The USA has Wall Street/Silicon Valley/the Dollar. The disruption costs will be tremendous & the resistance fierce.
China supporting crypto (freedom tech) would be political suicide for the CCP.
❎struggling banks since 2008
❎no web2 tech giants (exception: Spotify)
❎a currency under attack from around the continent
❎political support for financial independence, Web3 style digital sovereignty & decentralization generally
20/ The cost-benefit analysis of an aggressive, head-on Web3 strategy seems quite favorable to the EU to me.
Or, as @punk6529 puts it, Europe could (& should) be the natural home for crypto.
Thanks for making it until the end of this thread.
Please have a look at the more detailed article if you enjoyed it & feel free to follow me for further threads/content on Web3/DeFi/EU and other topics 🙏
2/ The most spectacular event was the French banking giant @SocieteGenerale (6th biggest bank in Europe) submitting a public governance proposal on MakerDAO to have their new bond tokens approved as collateral for $20m in DAI. coindesk.com/business/2021/… @MakerDAO@RuneKek
3/ Having a multinational bank engaging on a DeFi governance forum with a DAO and a bunch of pseudonymous Maker contributors is mindblowing - and surely won’t pass unnoticed by other banks.
This is probably the largest banking DeFi adoption step to date.
1/ Germany implements FATF travel rule for crypto and adopts new crypto transfer regulation.
Although there are small improvements compared to the initial draft, this is a perfect example of how regulation in the crypto space should not look like
2/ Since October 1, CASPs (crypto asset service providers, i.e. exchanges, custodians etc.) in Germany have to comply with the new regulation. That means they have to record & exchange information (name, address etc.) about the originator & beneficiary of every transaction.
3/ When transacting with unhosted/non-custodial wallets, they are also asked to collect that information, unless they can assure the traceability of the transaction in some other way.
1/ Why didn't market prices react to the terrible crypto provision in the infrastructure bill in the US?
IMO, because the main signalling was ultra bullish. Crypto has become a political force. And, frankly, we have a lot to learn from that in Europe. wsj.com/articles/bitco…
2/ How the crypto industry was able to organize itself and make its voice heard in DC was one of the most bullish long term signals ever. Many see political and regulatory headwind as one of the major long term risks: “What happens if politicians just outright ban crypto?”
3/ The industry’s capacity to delay this bipartisan, $1 trillion dollar bill – probably the largest legislative project during the Biden-administration – over a "mere" tax clause shows how implausible & unfeasible such a political threat has become. There are several reasons why