#Bitcoin is money that cannot be diluted. Money is a call option on all future capital forever.
Post-hyperbitcoinization, the real return of bitcoin will be the equivalent of $SPY or a “diversified” portfolio.
99.9% of the world will have > 90% of their net worth in #Bitcoin.
Just because most people just sit on their #Bitcoin, does NOT mean growth will slow.
Growth will drastically accelerate bc the market converging on HODLing bitcoin will increase its purchasing power until entrepreneurs see real alpha in the market.
How?
If an individual HODLs #Bitcoin, the very act of removing supply from the market increases the purchasing power of all other bitcoin savers.
This upward feedback loop repeats until someone sees a good risk-adjusted opportunity to invest.
#Bitcoin forces all investors to be much more selective (higher hurdle rate), BUT its massive future purchasing power will give magnitudes more individuals the capital/optionality to pursue investments that may produce market alpha.
A perfect recipe for massive economic growth.
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1/ Few people understand the idea of #Bitcoin denominated exit liquidity.
With the current macro environment, exponentially growing government, and rapid embracement of MMT, USD denominated prices can go to ∞.
This DOES NOT mean they can be cashed in for their $BTC equivalent.
2/ The most obvious example of this is a stock like $AAPL.
Its market cap sits at $2.5T, which is roughly 41.8M $BTC. Of course if all apple shareholders decided to cash out to #Bitcoin today, they would not end up with 41.8M $BTC, as there are currently only 18.8M that exist.
3/ $AAPL and many other large $USD denominated assets have very poor #Bitcoin denominated exit liquidity.
The global bond market probably has virtually ZERO $BTC denominated exit liquidity.
1/ #Bitcoin is the best form of money ever discovered by humans.
This thread will recap why this is the case and what incentivizes people to "save" or HODL.
2/ #Bitcoin is an asset that has 2 unique characteristics.
1. No counter-party risk (no reliance on government, corporations, or any group of people) 2. No dilution risk (21M coins max)
3/ Bonds, stocks, real estate, fiat money, private equity, gold, and venture capital each contain one of those two risks (counter-party risk or dilution risk).
2/ A common “knock” on Bitcoin is that it is “too volatile”.
However, volatility isn’t necessarily a bad thing. In fact, volatility creates opportunity.
3/ Volatility and return can be assessed using something called the Sharpe Ratio, a risk adjusted return. The Sharpe ratio divides the asset return by the risk / volatility over a 4 year HODL period.
2/ The 60-40 portfolio is the basic idea that passive investors looking to efficiently transfer wealth through time should diversify their assets into 60% stocks and 40% bonds.
First, Bitcoin is the world’s hardest monetary good. It’s the only asset in the universe with no counterparty risk and no dilution risk. Bitcoin is the World’s Safest Asset.