Thread by @BaluSreevidya

Quick views on today's political situation

1. Looks like the puppet masters are losing hope in INC as it is today, and they are willing to load up TMC instead.

The sudden money rush to buy manpower in disparate states cannot be explained otherwise.

2. Also shows the masters are not hopeful of AAP

3. RaGa and PriGa are loaded and reloaded and they have failed spectacularly.

Evidence - exit of close ties of RaGa from INC to join TMC and Aditi's entry into BJP - looks like check for PriGa.

4. Distinct absence of 'Third Front' narrative and a united Modi Hate Band despite five state elections - no mahaghatbandhan talks -

instead focusing on backroom orchestrations through Prashant Kishore Pandey.

5. Looks like the plot is a trial - like AAP. Mamta's age and willingness of non-hero oriented potential new cadres is challenge to this model.

Possible this is to allow PriGa or RaGa to take a step back and reorganise their games. We will know more towards 2024.

6. INC cannot be written off freely - they still sit on a heavy cashbox - hence the family's leech like attachment to the leadership.

It will be interesting to see if INC will partner with TMC post losing most of the states after the 22 Assembly elections.

7. Fraudster INC leaders will find a way to siphon out their corpus. The fight has already begun with G-23 and will intensify towards 2024 unless compromises made.

8. If at all Manish Tiwari leaves INC, my speculation is that he will join Captain.

But if he joins TMC instead, then that will be a clear telltale. But as said, G-23 have their eyes on INC's cash box. They have no better intention for India.

9. Subramaniam Swamy's position with Mamta may not just be about his RS seat,

he can be as helpful to Mamta as she is to him. He is born into the power corridors of Delhi and has, in the past amply proved his ability to make or break governments and parties.

Mamta needs that if she is any serious about eyeing Modi's chair.

10. Amidst all this, is @narendramodi 's sane thoughts on the constitution and our democracy today.

He spoke of Kartavya instead of power which indicates he might think of breaking and rebuilding the current political system which runs more on authority than responsibilities.

11. BJP thinks long into the future and works today for it. Modi and Shah knew 20 years before 2014 of Modi becoming PM. They are well aware of the course correction with INC.

It's evident from the intense focus they have on each state even if there are no elections there.

Overall, the wind is changing in the political landscape of India.

Not Modi opposition, but a new hero might be a trick up their sleeve over the next decade or so. Some changes are organic, some are grafted.

My view is that even in 2029, BJP will remain stronger than ever.