Some hard facts on India's battle with Chinese Virus. This will disappoint @narendramodi haters. I will dismantle their narrative.

138 Cr people. That is 196 countries in the world from Morocco to Holy See.

Indian PM = 196 Prime Ministers of the world.

Let that sink in first.
~ Announced locked down early on, received severe criticism quoting economic impact

~ Provided guidance and funding for Oxygen plants to set up in states a year ago

~ In August last year, MoH provided guidelines and asked states to develop their own protocols for arrivals
~ Since 4 Dec 20, started sending states estimates (District wise) of future requirements of bed capacities

~ Created an online tool for states to record needs

~ Since 27 Feb 21, MoH sent warnings to states asking to reinforce Covid behaviours and 'deal firmly with violations'
~ On 22 Dec 20, MoH issued the SOP for Surveillance & response for the new SARS Cov-2 variant

~ This warning and SOP was extended on 31 Jan

Hey, warning was all over the place. Centre was practically screaming to states.

Many obvious states ignored all of the above.
~ Most with cumulative deaths above 10k were non-BJP ruled states with Maharashtra leading the table (MH, Punjab, WB, Delhi, Chattisgarh (😠), TN, KA, UP)

~ Maharashtra's deaths is 5 times that of UP. But UP population is double of Maharashtra

Let that too sink in.
~ Of the 8462 MT Oxygen forecast, Centre allocated 8410 MT to high burden states. But Delhi and UP provided revised estimates (130% and 100%) respectively, which caused the sudden shortage

Despite plans, warnings and allocations, how did oxygen shortage occur at this scale?
~ Sudden Oxygen shortage in hospitals looks sinister. If not, then why did some obvious state heads object to Oxygen auditing in hospitals?

~ What is unearthed by @Tejasvi_Surya is that a national nexus? Imagine Congress was in power. Blackmarket rules and people die in crores
~ Global tender placed immediately for 50,000 MT for the next few months

~ First huge consignment has already arrived from UK for Oxygen plants and ventilators

~ DRDO drug cleared urgently (think why DRDO is developing drugs and what that means to this pandemic = biowar)
~ Policies, laws, ramping up of infrastructure and transport, all done on war foot basis following the shortage

~ Around 3400 MT liquid oxygen transported across 220 tankers and 54 'Oxygen Express' trains across the country since 19 April of which 1,427 tonnes went to Delhi
~ When vaccine was ready in record time, instead of lauding, the irresponsible politicians, media and vested interests debated whether Covaxin should be trusted or not. But India exported millions of vaccine to poor countries.

It's now paying off. World is coming to help India.
~ India entered a tough negotiation process with the Big Pharma and the developed world on patent norms so that vaccine production across the world can ramp up.

SA and Costa Rica followed India' lead and soon Biden made a U-Turn on their export stance.

Not a small achievement.
~ I have written in detail about the Big Pharma and Chinese game behind the opposition's relentless attack on the centre during such a national disaster

~ Since the first wave Centre asked states to decide on lockdowns locally. Why is congress asking the centre to lock down now?
~ UP has implemented a proactive testing programme which covered 97300+ villages. No media will talk about this

~ Everyday, about 400,000 + positive cases emerge. However, about 3,97,000+ is recovered per day. This means about 3000 cases remain addition in any given day.
~ Of the deaths, 70% are due to comorbidity per the Ministry of Health

~ India has the highest recovery rate. Compared to last year when we had no PPE, no vaccine, no ventilators, India is in a much better place today

~ Yet, the vicious campaign is run by the vested interests
~ Indian media feasted like vultures on the sudden shortage of oxygen although the rate of death per million is one of the best in the world, and our recovery, the best

~ Did you know that an Indian Biotech start up made a breakthrough in early cancer detection during this time?
Now for perspective.

~ India accounts for 1/8th of deaths globally of tobacco use. The number for 2017 is 11 lakh deaths. This is over 5 times the death from Covid in 15 months.

Between 2014 and 2017, the incremental user number dropped by half. After @narendramodi took over.
~ India accounts for 1/5th of deaths globally from alcohol use. The number for 2017 is 580,499 deaths. This is over double the number of deaths from Covid in 15 months.

Between 2014 and 2017, the incremental user number dropped by a third.

Yet, there are about 17 cr active smokers in the country, and millions of alcoholics. In 2012, 33% of all road accidents were caused by drunken drivers

~ Drug use data is in addition

~ Social evils like these spread faster than Covid catching young Indians from 10 years on.
There is a crystal clear trend difference between pre and post Modi era in substance use thanks to the measures taken by the govt.

Now, let's come back to the issue in hand. Why so much of sensationalism and scaremongering by the media and the opposition?
This euphoria is toxic. It's from the same toolkit. From the same template. You may read my pinned tweet for more of my views on this.

Goal - for some, TRP, adverts, for some others, money.

I agree with one point they raised. We could have postponed elections, restricted Kumbh.
BJP did suggest online campaign which the opposition did not agree to. It was either BJP makes wins, or be blamed by their own supporters. ECI must have stalled elections.

However, the people who must make much introspection is public. Why did we become complacent?
We went back to normalcy, crowds in bars, restaurants, beaches, public places, movies as if everything was normal. Did the govt ask you to? When did the govt say not to wear masks?

In developed countries, mask is ordered and withdrawn based on the situation.
But India stuck to the protocols all the way through. But the public kept asking for normalcy. Economic 'analysts' gave hundreds of reports on impending doom of the economy due to lockdown.

Chorus requests - opposition, media, public - to get back to normalcy.
Centre still kept the SOPs, preps. Yet, when wave 2 hit, all of the above people turned against the centre who still did the best any govt could do.

Modi did what 196 Prime Ministers needed to do.

So, this persecution is unfair.

BJP as always loses the battle of narratives.

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More from @BaluSreevidya

27 Apr
My note on the current Bio-war and international orchestrations of Big Pharma against India/ Modi

Let me start by saying this:
~ India has the strongest leadership it has ever had in your hands Hon PM @narendramodi Ji

Your's is not a personal choice. You are our collective will
There are three factors that are playing in the background:

1. The patent war which India initiated through it's groundbreaking judgement by the Supreme Court in 2013

2. China trying topple India from being the pharmaceuticals provider of the world

3. India's focus on building
Biowarfare under our security framework and strengthening of our defence mechanisms which helped us so much during the first wave of Covid19.

Keep these in the back of your mind while reading through.

First, let's examine a brief history of India's defensive position.
Read 18 tweets
4 Apr
My message on Kerala Battlefield - 2

This is a quick message before the polls. Will try to share my analysis in a few days.

During my discussion in Jaipur Dialogues a few months ago, I had speculated LDF win. Still see this the most probable scenario.

Kerala voters who support BJP show two clear trends:

1. Vote congress in a bid to keep LDF out
2. Vote for a winning party as BJP never had 'winning' image

We must stop this because this election is different.

No matter if you vote for Congress or BJP, LDF is likely to win
We are in a good situation now.

If LDF comes back to power, then in 5 years, BJP can grow as the main opposition and can go into 2026 elections as a winning party.

If UDF comes to power now, BJP will not only not have their voice strong in the assembly, but will be lost in the
Read 8 tweets
4 Apr
My Notes on Tamil Nadu Battlefield Part 5

This is a quick note. I normally do not indulge in poll speculations, but this time, I want to say with reasonable conviction that @AIADMKOfficial (NDA) will come back to power on May 2.

I just watched @KolahalasTV which referred to a
poll analysis published by @DemNetworkIndia predicting a clean win for NDA.

I support this analysis for the following reasons:

1. Stalin has done a stellar job since 2016, the election he had led from the front opposing JJ. Till date he has shown consistency with allies,
Kept his cadres energised, invested heavily in Social Media engineering.

To this end, support of 32 channels owned by his relatives and party helped.

2. However, losing Sunil Kanugolu put Stalin in great fear, and following his S-I-L Sabareesan, he hired PKP, which in fact
Read 17 tweets
31 Jan
My Notes on Democracy Part 1


DlS5ENT is allowed in a democracy. Any democratic leader or government will uphold - and MUST uphold its citizens's right to DlS5ENT.

This thread analyses the recent Indian experience.
Some years ago, a western country displayed a movie on India in their visitor centre. Showed @Narendramodi the then Gujarat CM as a devil incarnate drinking the blood of MU5LlM.

A tough battle with the authorities resulted in taking down this video.
Lesson - this obscure country which Modi never visited till date has little to do with Indian politics. Yet, there is this need to stop Modi in his tracks of becoming the future PM by smearing him.

Most of you may have noticed Modi as a potential PM in the last decade.
Read 25 tweets
30 Dec 20
My Notes on Tamil Nadu Battle Field – Part 3


My short thread on RK was focusing on the challenges RK will face. Key points.

1. I said that if Rajini couldn’t enter the “Rajini” style, hen he won’t enter at all. His announcement yesterday reflects it.
2. His followers are not united by a cause or ideology but by the mutual attraction towards a hero.

This will cause issues going forward as their bond will have to be a continuous guidance and inspiration from their leader who couldn't spare that energy or time due to his health
I had predicted in my first thread in November that Rajini won't form a third front.

So, when RK announced his political entry, I was surprised for two reasons:

1. when he announced his entry in 2017 there was a political vacuum in Tamil Nadu.
Read 34 tweets
22 Dec 20
My notes on Kerala battle ground Part 1.


It will go through all the excruciating experiences minus the torture of TMC. Eventually lotus will bloom in every pond in Kerala.

Do you think the Communists didn't learn anything from Bengal?
Well, they did.

The early learning dawned on the Communists a decade ago is what Mamta's R0hingya experiments today are.

Communists learnt that they can prolong their existence for a time if they allowed a similar yet rising prophetic and m!L!t4nt outfit work with them.
It's almost like a relay race. The one that has run and is finishing handing over the baton to the new runner.

SDPl is the new runner in Kerala.

Mu5l!m League controls Congress and SDPl controls Communists.

Either way, Kerala is getting ready for l5l4m!c rule.
Read 18 tweets

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