Like Alpha (B.1.1.7), B.1.1.529 has the spike 69-70 deletion that causes a S-gene target failure (SGTF) when using the ThermoFisher TaqPath COVID-19 assay. Because most other variants didn't have the deletion, this was helpful for tracking Alpha (1/8)
Likewise, reporting SGTFs will be extremely helpful again for tracking the spread & growth of B.1.1.529, like the amazing folks in South Africa are already demonstrating (2/8)
While the ThermoFisher TaqPath COVID-19 assay is very common, not everyone is using it; and while sequencing is required to confirm B.1.1.529 cases, slow turn-around times can delay its tracking. Here is where other PCR screening assays can be helpful (3/8)
Fortunately, the (research-use only) multiplexed qPCR that we developed in collaboration with scientists in South Africa and Brazil in early 2021 to help discriminate among variants can be helpful again (4/8)
Our "VOC" PCR assay targets 3 regions - ORF1a, N, Spike - and can produce target-failure signatures to discriminate between variants. Previously, Alpha = S & ORF1a dropouts; Beta/Gamma = ORF1a dropout; non-variants = no dropouts (5/8)
B.1.1.529 has both the ORF1a 3675–3677 (genome positions 11,287-11,295) and spike 69–70 (21,766-21,771) deletions similar to Alpha, which Delta has neither (6/8)
So when using our PCR assay,
- "Potentially B.1.1.7" could be replaced with "Potentially B.1.1.529"
- "Other lineages" could be replaced with "Potentially Delta" (7/8)
Here is a link to our VOC assay protocol. We'll work to update the interpretations on here soon. Please don't hesitate to reach out to @VogelsChantal, @JosephFauver, or myself with questions (8/8)
(2/6) The CDC N1 probe mismatch in Omicron is a C28311T mutation. Of the 91 B.1.1.529 sequences on GISAID:
- 48 have a T (mismatch)
- 19 have a C (exact match)
- 26 have no coverage (NNNs)
(3/6) All of the Omicron sequences with a C at 28,311 (exact match to N1 probe) are from the CERI-KRISP group, so maybe @Tuliodna can provide some info if these are potentially a sequencing artifact (which we've seen with Delta) or if this site is variable within the lineage
The Delta sublineage leaderboard remained virtually unchanged this week (boring is good), though things could get very interesting through the holidays. (2/4)
Unfortunately, we are going into the holidays with transmission and infections estimated to be rising in Connecticut (and across the US). (3/4)
Much of the discussion is still about AY.4.2, which is still slowly 📈 in the UK, which they have designated as a 'variant under investigation' (VUI). (2/6)
Effective reproductive number (Rt) estimates for the top Delta lineages in Connecticut.
➡️All are now <1, suggesting that transmission is 📉.
➡️The relative similar Rt values suggest that they are of similar transmissibility. (2/12)
Last week we reported AY.4 was ~27%, and this week its 4%. The sudden 📉 is not due to more refined classifications. Its hard to distinguish between closely related sequences, and a dropout in some Delta spike sequences makes it even harder. (3/12)
B.1.617.2 is decreasing primarily because these sequences are being classified as other sublineages. Otherwise, the Delta AY sublineage frequencies are remaining very stable and there is currently *no evidence that any are more transmissible* in Connecticut. (3/6)
Delta sub-lineage AY.12, with the Spike T791I mutation, has received some attention because its 60-80% in Israel, but its not currently increasing globally. Its been mostly hovering between 4-6% since mid-June.