📢🧵[Thread] 1/ Here is a thread on the #DoNotComply hashtag, a Twitter trend that started yesterday in reaction to the UK's response to the new Covid19 variant #Omicron. Essentially it is people rejecting the mandatory wearing of masks in public. I will highlight some nuggets...
2/ First up, I analysed around 17,500 tweets, replies, & retweets on the #donotcomply hashtag. The sample range is the last 24 hours. I did a network analysis to determine a few things, most importantly, identifying the most influential proponents of the 'do not comply' hashtag
3/ There is clear evidence of polarisation. There are two distinct clusters. On the right there is a large group of accounts generally condoning the #donotcomply hashtag. The group on the left is disappointed at the group on the right (pun kind of intended...you'll see why)
4/ So who are the largest supporters of #donotcomply? Well the most influential by far is @LozzaFox , actor and @thereclaimparty leader. He does not wish to comply, and endorses mass civil disobedience. He also seems mad.
5/ Other top influencers on the do not comply hashtag include @jamesfwells @MattGubba @leehurstcomic . One of my favourites is @HumanRights4UK (the state of that account!) A lot of the influential accounts also are kind of anonymous, which is obviously suspicious. #Omicron
6/ Of those most influential accounts pushing back against the hashtag are @Femi_Sorry @JackSapsford @paul_baro - and a few others, including parody account @borisjohnson_mp #donotcomply
7/ Interestingly, and perhaps not surprisingly, the polarisation looks highly partisan. An analysis of the bios of those promoting #donotcomply reveals they are mostly right wing nationalists. The top words include indicators Trump, MAGA, conservative, god, country #omicron
8/ Conversely, most of those pushing back against #donotcomply appear to having indicators of being left/progressive/liberal. Among the most common words in the bios are BLM (black lives matter), FBPE (pro EU), socialist, johnsonout (UK PM). This correlates with studies that
9/ that also suggest republicans are more likely to embrace anti vaccine disinformation than democrats, for example. Not exactly the same but related. journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.117…
10/ So we can update the network graph to show how the polarisation is reflected on Twitter. This polarization shows in network analysis because the two communities (left and right) tend not to interact with each other and so form separate communities. #donotcomply #Omicron
11/ Some other high profile verified accounts endorsing undermining the public health message include UB40's @MattHoyOfficial debunked nutritionist @GillianMcKeith , GBNews Presenter @ToniaBuxton + many more . No eminent researchers or scientists of course. Go figure.
12/ The TLDR is those supporting the #donotcomply with mask wearing are not scientists, and generally right-wing/conservative types. There is push back from left/progressive types, but very little interaction between the two. The echo chamber is strong! Thanks for reading :)
13/ Small update
1) Some have asked about the orange blob on the map - this is George Gammon (😬). See screenshot
2) I used NodeXl and gephi for the visualisations
3) I didn't mean to imply those condemning the hashtag are scientists, merely that they're following the science!

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More from @marcowenjones

23 Nov
🧵1/ Here's an intriguing thread showing overlap between Gulf and British politics. In particular, it shows how the @LaylaMoran and @CrispinBlunt issue is being used as a means by social media accounts as propaganda attack the Muslim Brotherhood and Qatar . #disinformation Image
2/ First, context. @LaylaMoran & @CrispinBlunt recently admitted that they did paid non-MP related work from their official offices. The Saudi connection, the work involved attending a zoom panel arranged by Bindmans LLP about political prisoners in Saudi. bbc.com/news/uk-politi…
3/ This is technically a breach of House of Common rules. Anyway, the fact the panel raised issued of human rights violations in Saudi has prompted a predictable nationalist backlash on Twitter. However, some are using it as an opportunity for propaganda and disinformation >
Read 11 tweets
15 Nov
[Thread] 1/ For those speculating about Kate Stewart, An analysis of her tweets highlights some things of note. Firstly, I sampled 69000 tweets and retweets from her account. The most commonly used word is Saudi, used 6312 times. KSA is also used 1802 times. NUFC is the 14th
2/ most common term used. Regardless of who operates the Kate Stewart account, the purpose of the account is fairly clear, to promote positive news about Saudi Arabia. The second most common term apart from Twitter handles, common phrases, and adjectives, is NUFC, indicating
3/ the second purpose of the account is discuss issues related to #NUFC, which will not surprise any NUFC fans. In the below graph, you can see that Kate started tweeting a lot about NUFC in April 2020 (the green line), when the takeover bid was filed.
Read 5 tweets
28 Oct
[Thread] 1/ Three days ago Said Al Jabri, a former Saudi politician now living in exile in Canada, gave an interview to @60Minutes where he reiterated that the Saudi state had attempted to assassinate him while in Canada. Soon after, the 'interview with Said Al Jabri trended'
2/ I will highlight some interesting characteristics about the network. Broadly speaking, there are two large communities. On the left, those critical of Saudi Crown Prince MBS, and those on the right, those supportive of him. As you can see, not a great deal of between
3/ group communication (polarisation). There are also areas of artificial amplification impacting the pro MBS community. In this case, fake RT communities boosting tweets of support for MBS. You can see the close up of these communities below. Some are more obvious than others.
Read 7 tweets
12 Oct
1/ Thread. Kind of curious to see this piece about Saudi Al Qahtani edging back to power in the Guardian. There's been a sense his return to the front has been imminent for a while, but I'm not convinced social media activity is an indicator of his return theguardian.com/world/2021/oct…
2/ If you look at the Arabic hashtag of Saud al Qahtani you will see it peaked in December 2019 and May 2021. It also maintains a general level of activity between those spikes in interest, indicating there is a general bubbling of praise about him. I certainly see it a lot Image
3/ Recently on 9th October monther72, a prolific Saudi political influencer, tweeted his name. As usual it got a lot of traction. What's interesting is that if you analysis all the tweets with the hashtag of Sultan al Qahtani (from day 1), monther72 is the account that ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
6 Oct
[Thread] 1/ There is currently a #disinformation campaign attacking the human rights organization @ALQST_ORG - most accusing it of 'attacking' Saudi and being a Muslim Brotherhood entity.The campaign would suggest it was state-backed, and involves dozens of fake accounts. Read on
2/ ALQST is a human rights org focused on Saudi. Some will remember that Alaa Al Siddiq was a member. Sadly Alaa died in a car crash recently in the UK. The context of the attack is ALQST discussing HR in Saudi and sharing a panel and with Amnesty International at #HRC48
3/ Curious about this network, approximately 50 Twitter accounts, almost all featuring profile pictures of attractive young women, are spreading a collection of tweets and infographics condemning ALQST. I collected some of them below to give you an idea. #disinformation >
Read 12 tweets
22 Aug
Thread 1/ Before #Qatar's borders with Saudi were finalised in 1999 (and to a lesser extent 1965), discussions of its borders with Saudi were a sticking point. This map from 1935 shows a number of suggested boundaries proposed by British Minister in Jeddah Sir Andrew Ryan ...
2/ In 1937 another similar map was proposed. The final dotted red line offer made by Ryan in this map would have given Qatar a border with Abu Dhabi, which would have had an interesting effect on regional geopolitics. Many of the roughly drawn maps would have reduced the
3/ size of Saudi Arabia as it is today. The negotiation of borders became less of an issue (according to Zahlan) until the 1960s, when a unpublished agreement took place in 1965. However this lacked clarity, and led to the deaths of two people at the Qatar/Saudi border in 1992
Read 5 tweets

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