🧵1/ Some findings from @KPMG annual Global Automotive Exec Survey. Highlights on strategy, electric vehicles, commodities here. Start: 48% of execs say they're very/extremely prepared for the next crisis (or disruption - rather different those) home.kpmg/xx/en/home/ins…
🧵2/ Auto execs are quite concerned about commodity and component supply continuity home.kpmg/xx/en/home/ins…
🧵3/ By 2030 - execs think that most big markets will be ~50% EV sales...but Japan(!) same as China and US, and US ahead of W. Europe...and with massive quartile variation home.kpmg/xx/en/home/ins…
🧵5/ Should governments also provide direct consumer subsidies to battery electric vehicles? Also yes (if you know executives in *any* business, these two findings make total sense: we can do it without you, but you should help us anyways) home.kpmg/xx/en/home/ins…
🧵6/ How long are drivers going to wait for an EV charge? 30 minutes or less home.kpmg/xx/en/home/ins…
🧵7/ By 2030 more than 3/4 of auto sales will be completed online (cannot argue with this expectation) home.kpmg/xx/en/home/ins…
🧵8/ If auto execs could double their existing R&D budget, where's it gonna go? 1. New powertrain tech 2. Autonomy 3. Connected tech home.kpmg/xx/en/home/ins…
🧵9/ Are y'all auto exec gonna make tech acquisitions? Yes and Yes (and a third of total sees acquisitions as "a critical part of our strategy" home.kpmg/xx/en/home/ins…
🧵1/ Lithium-ion battery pack prices fell 6% year-on-year to $132 per kilowatt-hour (real 2021$). That's down 90% since 2010's $1240/kWh! But, there is much more to it than headline figures. Highlights from @BloombergNEF@JamesTFrith follow. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2/ On a volume-weighted average basis across the battery industry, prices fell to $132 per kilowatt-hour in 2021. This is down from $140/kWh in 2020 (in real 2021 dollars). The 6% drop isn’t as drastic as the 9% decline we had forecast last year. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
3/ Why are this year’s prices higher than expected? The cost of raw materials used in the cathode — lithium, cobalt and nickel — and other key components including the electrolyte have risen this year, putting more pressure on the industry. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Today @BloombergNEF published its Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Factbook. Great stuff in here, starting with this: EV sales were 7% of passenger vehicle total in 2Q 2021. 🧵/1 bloomberg.com/professional/d…
THREAD: Exactly 10 years ago, solar PV module manufacturer Solyndra went bankrupt. It's quite the story. VCs, Silicon Valley, the U.S. Treasury, trade, supply/demand, technology risk/innovation, competition.
And the most important thing, 10 years later? It doesn't matter at all.
2/ What it was: a solar novelty in (literally) multiple dimensions. Cadmium telluride thin-film PV, mounted in a glass tube, with a bespoke racking system only for commercial roofs, needing a special rubber roofing backsheet. Mounted, it looked like this:
3/ Why it was: conceived when crystalline silicon solar panels were 1/ very expensive 2/ relatively inefficient (compared to today) with 3/ scarce inputs and 4/ uncertain future supply - targeted at an underserved market
It’s important to remember that from a climate perspective, nuclear and renewables are not in competition. There will be enough growth in electricity demand to support significant expansion of every zero-carbon power generation technology. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Nuclear could even wind up being essential to deep decarbonization in other sectors. One @BloombergNEF scenario for 0-carbon 2050 features massive deployment of modular nuclear reactors designed to complement wind, solar, and battery tech bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Still, getting nuclear power back on the growth curve is a decade-long process. The best time to have done it would have been 10 (or 20) years ago. The second-best time is right now. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Thread: 1/ global renewable energy investment at its highest first half-year level...ever. And just 2% less than 2H 2020, the highest half-year ever. about.bnef.com/blog/public-ma…
2/ Investment in assets actually fell since the first half of 2020 - but let's split that out by technology about.bnef.com/blog/public-ma…
1/10 My 10 charts on energy, transport, emissions, e-commerce, and sustainable finance to put paid to 2020 (and look ahead to 2021).
No. 1: Energy became the smallest component of S&P500 bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
2/10 Renewable power gen is the cheapest new source of electrons almost anywhere and (related to above) does so with a higher return on equity than most oil supermajors bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
3/10 Electric vehicles have already vaporized a million barrels per day of oil demand. Most of that demand erosion isn't from cars, or even buses - it's from 2- and 3-wheelers. bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…