It is great that the White House has issued its first ever US Strategy on Countering Corruption. It shows how important corruption has become for national security & how the Biden administration understands it. The more I dig in it, the better it looks. whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
Initially, it appears focused on international corruption, and it does not state that the US is the biggest offshore haven in the world and it offers no assessment of how large the US volume of dark money is, but it gets better and better.
The great US shortcoming is the millions of anonymous companies. The strategy states clearly:
"Beneficial ownership transparency: The United States will publish regulations and build a beneficial ownership database to implement the Corporate Transparency Act."
Great!
The second big US loophole is real estate, and the Strategy promises "Promulgating regulations targeting those closest to real estate transactions to reveal when
real estate is used to hide ill-gotten cash or to launder criminal proceeds."
Hopefully also commercial real estate.
Numerous other money launderers are singled out: investment advisors, private equity funds, lawyers, accountants, trust and company service providers, incorporators, art and antiquities markets.
Relevant government agencies will be mobilized & reinforced: "Increasing intelligence prioritization, collection and analysis on corruption, corrupt
actors, and their networks."
"Increasing law enforcement resources, and bolstering information sharing between the
Intelligence Community and law enforcement;
Engaging with the Congress to encourage adequate resourcing of the anti-corruption
agenda through assistance and operational budgets;"
"Elevating corruption as a diplomatic priority in a manner tailored to local conditions"
"Pushing the G20 and G7 to implement strong transparency and anti-corruption measures
across all ministerial tracks"
Well, China, Saudi Arabia & Russia are major culprits.
"Law enforcement will be provided with the independence and resources...The Administration will advocate for greater transparency in the U.S. campaign finance system, and to strengthen prohibitions on foreign nationals attempting to influence
federal, state, or local elections."
In short, while not offering too many details, this Strategy calls for a mobilization of all relevant government agencies, more transparency, more resources and powers to them. This is a program for action, which looks very promising.
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After almost three hours after the end of the video call, Putin came out with a statement, so far only in Russian. It states that the call was mainly devoted to the "internal Ukrainian crisis and the absence of progress in fulfillment of the Minsk..." kremlin.ru/events/preside…
Untypically, the Kremlin mentions that Biden "underlined the allegedly 'threatening' character of the movement of Russian troops close to the Ukrainian partners and mentioned sanctions that the US and its allies would be ready to undertake in the case of further escalation."
"Vladimir Putin responded that the responsibility must not be transferred to the shoulders of Russia, since it is NATO that is carrying out dangerous attempts to seize the Ukrainian territory..."
What @POTUS should tell #Putin tomorrow: 1. Ukraine is a sovereign nation and has the right to decide whom and what it receives on its territory, including arms and foreign military. It has the right to join NATO (repeatedly stated in public).
2. The US has coordinated with its Western allies & will impose crippling financial and personal sanctions, which Biden will detail (guess: sanctioning more Russian bonds, secondary trade in sovereigns & corporate state bonds, VEB, oligarchs with families, etc.)
3. The US will not give Putin any benefit from his illicit military threat & it will not make any concessions on behalf of Ukraine, which is a sovereign nation.
Watching responses on Twitter today, I see these recommendations what to do if Russia attacks Ukraine & they should be declared before: 1. Germany and the US should close Nord Stream 2 for good in line with their July 21 statement.
2. Russia should be expelled from the SWIFT payment system, as Iran was. 3. Russia should be excluded from most of the global financial system. 4. Western intelligence should publicize & freeze all Putin's & his cronies' international financial assets.
5. All Putin's cronies should be sanctioned. 6. Gennady Timchenko & Boris Rotenberg should be deprived of their Finnish citizenships. 7. The US should sanction Gerhard Schröder and Matthias Warnig. 8. The US, UK and Canada should move their troops in Ukraine to the Russian border
The Carnegie Moscow essay by @AndrKolesnikov & Denis Volkov, "The Coming Deluge," is a highly perceptive assessment of current Russia.
It is reminiscent "of the last years of the Soviet regime before perestroika" with "a consensus of inaction." carnegiemoscow.org/2021/11/24/com…
2. "Most of the key challenges facing the Russian political system are related to the lack of economic growth. [because of] the state’s excessive interference in the economy and indeed all other aspects of life, creating an overcentralized and ineffective administrative state."
3. "...the authorities will not try to change Russia’s development vector... Unless something drastically changes, stagnation in the broadest sense of the word...is the only possible medium- and long-term scenario for Russia."
This fall, US policy on Russia, Ukraine & Belarus appears to have firmed up. Biden's & Blinken's statements this week are far stronger than before. Why did this happen? As @AmbDanFried always points out: We can always trust Putin to overplay his hand & mobilize the West.
With more serious people confirmed to State & Treasury, these two departments have regained weight against the rather inexperienced (and seemingly appeasing) NSC.
Common sense is coming through in Washington:
The only sensible way to deal with Putin is to stand up against him.
The rather significant 5th round of US sanctions against Lukashenka made the US catch up with the EU on those sanctions.
Blinken has signalled very clearly that much more serious financial and personal sanctions on Russia have been prepared if Putin attacks Ukraine.
Just right!
"Nord Stream 2 has paid more than $4.5 million to Roberti Global, a lobbying firm run by Democratic donor and lobbyist Vincent Roberti."
"Since the start of 2020, the pipeline company has paid about $1.3 million to BGR Group for lobbying by Walker Roberts," a Republican.
"Five foreign companies partnering with Gazprom on the pipeline — Austria’s OMV AG, the Netherlands’ Shell International, France’s ENGIE, and Germany’s Wintershall and Uniper SE — hired lobbyists at McLarty Inbound to lobby the State Department and the National Security Council."