3. Quels textes législatifs européens veut-elle faire aboutir (Boussole stratégique/Conférence sur l’avenir de l’Europe/ Numérique?) ?
4. Quels sujets ne figurent pas du tout dans le programme ?
[4bis: cela ne veut pas dire que ces sujets ne seront pas discutés au niveau européen ! Ils le seront peut être. C’est juste qu’on ne peut pas *tout* mettre dans un programme de priorités]
5. Combien de sommets sont prévus ? Quand ont-ils lieu et où en France ? (Si les conditions sanitaires le permettent..)
6. La souveraineté européenne et/ou l’autonomie stratégique sont-elles mentionnées ? FIN
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.@EmmanuelMacron is outlining the programme of the French presidency of the Council of the EU:
1. Logo: @CBeaune is now taking the floor. He introduces the logo and explains it. French colours, EU stars and an arrow indicating progress.
2. Moto: 'Puissance, relance et appartenance' (first uttered in November 2020) stays. And a lovely new 2€ coin (20 years after the euro was first introduced).
Notre première note répond à la question suivante "Qu’est-ce qu’une PFUE?".
La France ne présidera pas l’Europe. Mais elle exercera 5 rôles importants:
1. Définir les priorités: chaque présidence tournante s’organise autour d’un programme bien défini. Pour la PFUE, il y aura sans doute des nouvelles initiatives, des débats que la France voudra accélérer (climat/numérique) ou finaliser (boussole stratégique).
That's the thing though. @DavidGHFrost appointment isn't about bringing UK-EU closer together (politically or economically). His appointment is about making TCA work & be point person when it doesn't. Which is why it makes sense. Thread.
1. Kind of relief to Brussels: Frost has a reputation for being firm ("all abt sovereignty") but he does understand EU policy-making more or less. Was Brexit negotiator & worked in UK representation to EU in 90s. Understanding how EU negotiates is important to make TCA work.
2. This was never going to be honeymoon phase: UK will still ask for things it can't get, and UK and EU likely to grow apart, but at least EU won't have to go through whole charade of explaining how EU works, why market integrity is so important, etc. Straight down to business.
There are several important elements to disentangle here. And imo, biggest long-term problem for City is not EU's onshoring of EU trade but UK's loss of influence over EU banking regulation. Short thread
1. Onshoring not surprising: as soon as it was clear UK banks wouldn't retain passporting, banks started to plan. They started to move some activity/personnel to EU. EU not granting UK equivalence decision also not helping.
2) Power of regulation: story here isn't really abt economic damage to City/UK in short-term (that's still tbd) or damage to City "brand". What *is* noteworthy is that EU regulation can and does impact the way banks (even those not in EU) operate. This has long-term implications.
Extending the transition period is a lovely idea - in theory. But in practice, it's a total minefield and not clear it can be done in time. Why? Thread.
1. Several ways to buy more time for talks:
(i) Extend transition period (TP) before July 2020: missed that deadline
(ii) Extend TP by amending withdrawal agreement (WA): legally v complicated for EU
(iii) Create a brand new TP: politically v complicated
2. Different beasts: transition period (TP) ≠ art 50 talks. EU uses a legal basis for every treaty it strikes. For withdrawal agreement (& TP), it used article 50. Problem is: art 50 designed for a member state *that is on its way out* - *not* one that has already left.
1. Several ways to buy more time for talks:
(i) Extend transition period (TP) before July 2020: missed that deadline
(ii) Extend TP by amending withdrawal agreement (WA): legally v complicated for EU
(iii) Create a brand new TP: politically v complicated
1. Different beasts: transition period (TP) ≠ art 50 talks. EU uses a legal basis for every treaty it strikes. For withdrawal agreement (& TP), it used article 50. Problem is: art 50 designed for a member state *that is on its way out* - *not* one that has already left.