1/ I think one of the biggest problems with the whole "Tanking" discussion is it's ill defined exactly what tanking means. The blanket statements overlook the need sometimes to objectively address where a team's is at and the best way to get them back to true competitiveness.
2/ Sometimes teams are just bad and the only way to make them better to is to employ a long term strategy. If teams are forced to overpay for whatever aging free agents are out there just to be marginally better they actually set themselves up for decades long playoff droughts.
3/#DBacks are perfect example of team that couldn't or wouldn't recognize their obvious long term trend line and insisted to try to eek out as many wins as possible instead of embarking on a true rebuild process. They were oft praised industry & media darlings for this approach
4/ But they still ended up with a disastrous , albeit unintentional result of 25-35 in 2020 and then 52-110 in 2021, for a combined 77-145 record. The bottom has completely fallen out, and while the farm system is improved, it's STILL a long road to recovery, let alone a pennant
5/ Every team and every situation is different. There is so much nuance to all of this. Yet the discussions don't reflect that nuance and the supposed "solutions" to address the extremely ill defined problem have all the precision of a meat cleaver.
6/ I'm fairly certain that whatever changes are put in place won't satisfy, and will certainly have massive unintended consequences.....and loopholes that some teams will manage to exploit much better than others.
#Brewers OF Joey Wiemer continues to impress. With the secondbaseman shaded towards bag and down in the count 1-2, he went with pitch and lined it through hole into right for a base hit. He's hitting .444 in fall league so far, (12 for 27) with 3 DB, 1 HR, 4BB, 5K, 2 SB + Good D
Matt Dyer, Tampa Bay prospect in CF just made a highlight spectacular catch, diving parallel to ground to grab a ball and rolled over. Impressive.
Also even if fully vaccinated there's still a chance, albeit small, that one can become hospitalized. Roughly 4000 out of 150 million vaccinated Americans have been hospitalized, (half over 65). Nothing is perfect. We still need to take other precautions forbes.com/sites/brucelee…
I believe #SarsCov2#Covid19 came from a Lab. I saw a clear breakdown on why this is likely in a video from @chrismartenson from Peak Prosperity a couple of months ago. Now he is backed up by a world renown biologist.
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Data shows wearing Facemasks Saves Lives
Data in thread primarily from worldometers.info/coronavirus/ taken 9:30-10:30 A.M. AZ Time today. I filled in where needed through various other resources. Let’s start with comparing East Asia to USA
2/8 East Asian Countries in 1st table have mask wearing cultures to begin with due to Sars outbreak experience in 2003 and also Pollution problems. They were early adapters as the Pandemic got underway to achieve population wide use of Facemasks to stop the spread of Covid-19
3/8 One can clearly see a miniscule death rate compared to USA, even in Japan. I use death rate instead of case rates due to large differences in testing rates, timing of the testing, (early vs. late) and effectiveness of contract tracing and quarantines
Possible Mortality Range of Covid-19 by time reach Herd Immunity. Don't know what % required to reach but most estimates 60-70%. Don't know % W/antibodies today. Varies greatly by region. But if you believe 70% Herd required and 10% w/antibody (Ex.) then u can get a number
For AZ, current % showing positive in Antibody testing is 3.5%, so even less than 5%. It's unlikely in any scenario that there are more than 10-15% w/Antibodies in AZ. Green number represents best case mortality by time reach Herd, and Red Number represents pessimistic estimate
For USA in total, I slide the range over to the right on the matrix, as the assumption is that densely populated areas in the east have higher % of people w/Antibodies. So this method gives you Est. of 238K-555K deaths by time we reach herd immunity