Still nothing standing in the way of this supercell producing a strong to violent tornado for the forseeable future, though low-level instability starts waning a bit as you approach the I-69 corridor.
Either way, if you're in the storm's path (even if not warned yet), be ready.
Either way, if you're in the storm's path (even if not warned yet), be ready.
SPC is clearly on the same page with a new MD saying that this storm could remain at or near this intensity (producing a strong to violent tornado) for *at least* another HOUR #KYwx
https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1469514600525664259
An hour later and there's still plenty of creme-de-la-creme environment left to go as warm air advection keeps expanding the warm sector northeast.
Eventually the storm will run into colder more stable air or be undercut by outflow from the W, but it seems like that's a ways off
Eventually the storm will run into colder more stable air or be undercut by outflow from the W, but it seems like that's a ways off
SPC checking in with a similar assessment mentioning in their discussion weakening will have to wait at least another hour as warming temps, rising dew points, and the continued approach of the upper-level trough continue to *increase* available fuel downstream
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