Thread by @BinkiePondarosa

10 #Bitcoin Cycle Top Price Prediction Models
📈(in ascending order of hopium)

🔬Let's review 10 popular price models for $BTC to see where we could potentially peak.

☝️ BONUS - These targets will INCREASE with time as uptrend will push model prices upward🚀

🧵A Thread [0/11]

$BTC Mayer Multiple - by @tracemayer is a price projection calculated as a 2.4 multiple of the #bitcoinprice 200DMA.

🦥Looking at the chart we can see $122,034 is our most conservative price estimate.

💥Bitcoin has overshot this multiple in EVERY cycle peak.

👉 next up

1/11

BTC Power Law Corridor by @hcburger1 takes linear regression bands of the historical #bitcoin price to derive a corridor to represent the correlation between bitcoin’s price and time.

🎯$130,622 target
🟢 price is in middle of corridor uptrend

👉 but we can go higher...

2/11

Bitcoin #Logarithmic Growth Curves - by @ColeGarnerXBT is BTC's adoption curve channel with key fib levels.

🎯$144,208 target
🏋️Price sitting at Fib 382 support level

👉higher still is...

3/11

Bitcoin Price Temperature by @dilutionproof is calculating the difference between the daily price and its 4-year moving average, and then dividing that number by the standard deviation of that 4-year window

🎯$157,291 #BTCUSD target
📈3X+

👉 but let's go higher!

4/11

Bitcoin #DiamondHands MVLV Bands - inspired by @dilutionproof modifies LTH to use 6mo+ cohorts.

A measure of Market Value to Long term Value.

💎👐could get you to $162,406 $BTC
🫕now we're cooking with gas

👉but... we can still level up from here

5/11

#Bitcoin Rainbow Price Chart - by trolololo on the original Bitcointalk.org forum

🌶️Max bubble target zone of $179,797
🛏️That's a price I can get out of bed for

👉 but wait.. there's even more

6/11

Binkie Bands Top Price Model - inspired by the legend @woonomic which modifies his top cap model with a tighter multiple fit.

🎯$202,863 target
🔥+4X return from here

👉 Onward and upward to the next target...

7/11

BEAM Bands by @BitcoinEcon divides the price of bitcoin at any given moment to a moving average of past prices

BEAM = log( Price(n) / MA( min(n,1400) ) ) / 2.5

🎯$220,396 target
🚗now we're in entry level lamborghini territory

👉 go higher you say?

8/11

#BTC Golden Ratio by @PositiveCrypto uses multiples of the 350DMA of Bitcoin's price to identify areas of potential upward resistance

🎯$235,565
📈4.77 X from here👀

👉 but can we still go higher???

9/11

Stock to Flow Cross Asset Model (S2FX) by @100trillionUSD Plan B removes time from the original S2F model to value multiple SOV assets like #gold or #silver or #bitcoin.

🎯$235,572 target
🤯Mind-blowing 5.12X from here

👉 Here is how to time the top...

10/11

Get these price targets updated weekly + 50 #onchain metrics in 1 simple tweet.

🤗#BTC changed my life.

🛠️Grinding out this spreadsheet each week is my POW

🎁I share to give back

🙏Retweet if it can help others

👉follow me @BinkiePondarosa for a weekly cycle update

11/11