#BANKNIFTY

Outlook for the week Dec 13, 2021

Nov Monthly: Bearish Engulfing (BE) formation done however confirmation would be once it starts trading below 35695

Weekly: There are no lower lows, however we need a higher highs in weekly to change the stance from neutral to +ve
#BANKNIFTY

Daily: Bullish structure, BO of rectangle or W pattern and since past three days 36800 zone is where buyers are active

BNF after making an upmove of 1700 points, remained sideways for past two days
#BANKNIFTY

Hourly: Clear formation of bullish flag, awaiting a BO

Strong upmove followed by sideways consolidation in the upper one third area of the upmove
#BANKNIFTY
15min TF:

R1: 37850-37950
R2: 38250 (which is a weekly Resistance as well)
R3: 38514

S1: 36800
S2: 36500-575
S3:36325
S4: 35960
Prudent to sell PE's 36800 & below

Strike selection should be according to one's risk appetite

Once the BO of the flag is done, one can roll up PEs and wait for a day or two before selling CEs.
Hope this outlook helps ❤️

• If you are new to my Timeline then you can check out my previous BNF weekly outlook with & see how they played out 🤠

• Retweet the first tweet and help others find this thread 🧑‍🤝‍🧑🧑‍🤝‍🧑

• I also write threads on trading which is📌 on my profile

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More from @niki_poojary

20 Nov
#PAYTM IPO Fiasco

Will cover the following:

•Issue Size 💲
•Business Model
•Shareholding Pattern
•Financials 📊
•Strengths 💪
•Issues ⛳️
•Chart check for traders 📉

Time for a Thread 🧵
• Issue Price: 2150

• Issue Size: Rs. 18300 crs./85,116,279 equity shares

• Fresh issue of Rs.8300 crs. + offer for sale (OFS) of 10000 crs.
• OFS: The proceeds goes to the existing shareholders who are taking an exit & not to the company

• Fresh Issue: Proceeds goes to the company of which Rs. 6300 crs. to be utilized for inorganic growth i.e. acquisitions & balance Rs. 2000 crs. for General corporate purpose
Read 17 tweets
14 Nov
#BANKNIFTY

Outlook for the week Nov 15 - Nov 18, 2021

Weekly: Confirmation of Bearish Engulfing as BNF started trading below 39115

Tgts for the same are: 37665 & 36383
#BANKNIFTY

Daily TF:

BNF is at support at 38350 zone & immediate resistance basis Daily TF is 39350.

Also after a6 consecutive days of red coupled with a steep 90 degree fall from Nov 9 to 11, a small bounce is expected.
#BANKNIFTY

Hourly TF:

Immediate resistance works at 38900-39k from where the fall accelerated on Nov 11, 2021 expiry
Read 7 tweets
14 Nov
Few weeks ago @Ronak_Unadkat Sir conducted an exclusive session for me & @adityatodmal to explain how he trades.

He was kind enough to share all his trade strategies and was patient enough to answer our doubts.

Thought of making a 🧵for the benefit of the larger audience here.
@Ronak_Unadkat Sir's Option Selling Logic 🧵:
• Reversals in Intraday Option selling
• Strike Selection & SL
• Hedging for any Black Swan Event
• Positional Option selling
• Ratio Spreads
• How to manage the positions
• Capital mgmt

In collaboration with @AdityaTodmal
How to play reversals
• Always look at the chart as a starting point
• Spot the Swing low
• Sell Strikes 300-400 points below that swing low
• Buy a proper hedge
Read 18 tweets
7 Nov
#BANKNIFTY

Monthly TF: Sellers >40k zone

Previous week: Bearish engulfing pattern the confirmation of the same will kick in when BNF starts to trade below 39115. This week was an inside candle
#BANKNIFTY

Hourly TF: S/R levels marked
Strategy: Safe players

Reaction points: 37300 on the lower side & 41000 on the upside if taken out

Capital: 54.6K

RoI: 0.9% for safe players

Disclaimer: Try this only if you know how to do adjustments once the level breaks
Read 5 tweets
7 Nov
Larry Hite has two basic rules about winning in Trading as well as in Life:

“Rule 1: If you don’t bet, you can’t win
Rule 2: If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet”

Rule 1 is overcoming the fear & Rule 2 is about Position Sizing

Time for a thread 🧵 on Position Sizing
Position Sizing is about finding what % of your total capital will be exposed to a particular trade

Rule #1: Never put all your eggs in one basket

Rule #2: It is important to diversify to mitigate concentration risk, however too many names will only lead to Di-worsification.
As you go beyond 12-18 names in your portfolio it will be difficult to track as well

A well diversified portfolio can have around 6–8 different scrips

The question is how many shares to trade/invest of a particular scrip?
Read 12 tweets
24 Oct
The 90 degree angle inflection point in a stock is a signal to book profit

Lets understand with a recent example of a stock #IRCTC 🚃🚋

Time for a thread🧵
Monthly TF:

Back to back 6 green candles (each candle represent a month here), which means no profit booking has happened on a larger TF

The angle towards the end of the upmove became much steeper i.e. 90 degree

Such moves are highly susceptible for a bend in the trend
Similar pattern was observed in BTC/USDT pair #BITCOIN

and then BTC fell ~50% from its high made in the month of March 2021
Read 8 tweets

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