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Ben M.

13 Dec, 4 tweets, 2 min read

Deutschland Corona Fälle, Tote, CFR

> Faelle etwa doppelt so hoch wie letzten Winter.

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

> Tote etwa auf gleichem Niveau wie letztes Jahr.

> CFR, durch die doppelt so hohen Tests damit deutlich niedriger. Bei 0.7% zuletzt.

Bei einem Untererfassungsfaktor von 3, wäre IFR also bei 0.2% und bei 5 fast 0.1% (Grippe).

Sources & Calculations:docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

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More from @USMortality

Ben M.

@USMortality

13 Dec

Age-Adjusted Mortality Germany up to week 44/2021.

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Read 20 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

13 Dec

Weekly COVID-19 Cases, Deaths, CFR [USA]

> Currently lower than last year, but the wave might be offset by 6-8 weeks?!

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Deaths: Also appears to be offset by about 6-8 weeks to last year.

COVID-19 CFR
> Higher than last year!

Read 4 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

11 Dec

Age-Adjusted Mortality [Germany] until week 46/2021.

> Pandemic start year of 2020 had a 2.8% deficit!
> 2021: +1.5% excess mortality!

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Here's what the full previous 5 years look like:

And this is how it'd look like if 2021 would follow the same mortality for weeks 47-52 as 2020:

Read 14 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

11 Dec

COVID-19 Government Stringency Index [World]

1) Fiji, 90.7%
2) Germany, 84.3%
3) Greece, 80.1%
...
181) Burundi, 8.3%
182) Nicaragua, 8.3%
183) Tanzania, 8.3%

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

COVID-19 Government Stringency Index [Europe]

1) Germany, 84.3%
2) Greece, 80.1%
3) Italy, 76.9%
...
42) Hungary, 27.8%
43) Liechtenstein, 25%
44) Sweden, 19.4%

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

COVID-19 Government Stringency Index [USA]

1) Louisiana, 50.5%
2) Hawaii, 36.6%
3) Kansas, 31.5%
...
48) Ohio, 11.1%
49) Virginia, 11.1%
50) Maryland, 10.2%

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Read 4 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

10 Dec

Comparing All-cause Mortality vs COVID-19 Vaccine levels amongst European Countries reveals no correlation!
I've compared average EuroMOMO Z-scores for the last 13 weeks delta of 2020 vs 2021 - against vaccination levels.
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

The result appears to be stat. significant, if excluding Ukraine.

Correl=-0.09, R2=0.01, p=0.97

If including Ukraine:
Correl=-0.15, R2=0.02, p=0.91

Here's the change in all-cause mortality for weeks 36-48 2020 vs 2021!

Read 6 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

9 Dec

All-cause Excess Mortality by Age Group [USA]
> Large spike is back to previous level.
> Still massive excess mortality in the US, (10x stddv)
> Only <25 appear to be below normal currently.
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

6 age groups:

<25

Read 7 tweets

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