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Aaron Rankin Profile picture
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18 Dec, 3 tweets, 3 min read
In todays @FT there’s an op-ed from @DavidGHFrost outlining the state of play in the talks around the #NorthernIreland Protocol & contrary to a lot of reports (that mostly treat 🇪🇺 pronouncements as gospel while ignoring 🇬🇧 ones) there’s been little change
ft.com/content/5030f7…
In essence the #NorthernIreland Protocol is unfinished (it was always a dynamic document) & 🇬🇧 is seeking to bring it to where it was envisioned to be, as outlined here by @LeoVaradkar in January 2020, as well as excise the bits obviated in the TCA
Alas 🇪🇺 still seems to have very little interest in living up to their responsibilities & honouring what they signed

Unfortunately for them 🇬🇧 sovereignty is absolute & Brussels’ authority runs out at The Border

They may have to learn that the hard way

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More from @Aaron_R_Rankin

Aaron Rankin Profile picture
13 Oct
I see 🇪🇺 decision making is as unhinged from reality a usual

They can’t possibly make a decision until on something like this until they have full access to 🇬🇧 databases rather than use something else like say basic maths

#NorthernIreland
The total value of 🇪🇺 imports is ~$2tn/yr according to @WorldBank

Total exports from #NorthernIreland to 🇪🇺 are ~$10bn/yr or 0.5% of total 🇪🇺 imports

Even the GDP of NI (~$60bn) is only the equivalent of 3% of 🇪🇺 total imports
As you can see #NorthernIreland being any sort of risk to 🇪🇺 Single Market is mathematically impossible but 🇪🇺’s infantile zero risk obsession prevents them from seeing this
Read 4 tweets
Aaron Rankin Profile picture
11 Oct
Exactly 🇬🇧 & 🇪🇺 knew exactly what they were signing & were signing from the same hymn sheet on how the #NorthernIreland Protocol.

Well until 1st February 2020 when 🇪🇺 took a very different view & took a much harsher, impractical interpretation.

#Newsnight
Here’s @LeoVaradkar talking to @bbclaurak on 27th January 2020 saying the exact same thing that @BorisJohnson was saying about how the #NorthernIreland Protocol should operate.

Sounds eerily similar to the 🇬🇧’s Command Paper from July 2021
As the text #NorthernIreland Protocol was a broad legal blunt instrument to work this out required a lot of finessing in the Joint Committee.

Alas 🇪🇺 dragged their feet on appointing a representative & subsequently boycotted discussions to all intents & purposes.
Read 5 tweets
Aaron Rankin Profile picture
19 Oct 20
The clergy have decided to meddle in temporal matters today, specifically the #InternalMarketBill with some Good Friday Agreement grifting thrown in for good measure.

Unfortunately for them the bill in questions doesn’t support such claims.

/1
#Brexit
The specific bit of the GFA they claim is under threat by the #InternalMarketBill is s 6(2) committing the government to incorporate the European Convention on Human Rights into #NorthernIreland law which was subsequently done via the Human Rights Act 1998

/2
#Brexit
The portion of the #InternalMarketBill they appear to be referring to is Clause 47 that clarifies regulations set under Clauses 44 & 45 that pertain mainly to goods movements & state aid.

/3
#Brexit
Read 13 tweets
Aaron Rankin Profile picture
13 Sep 20
This is slightly misleading as it mischaracterises the UK’s position on state aid in the EU talks as wanting a free for all on its side however this isn’t the case /1

#Brexit
ft.com/content/edb7d1…
In the UK’s negotiating mandate they have said that they are seeking state said rules similar to that in the EU-Canada & EU-Japan FTAs, going so far as to cite them explicitly. /2

#Brexit
The reports appear to say that the State Aid clauses in the U.K.-Japan FTA mirror those of the EU-Japan FTA, something we’d say we’d be ok with so what’s the big deal? /3

#Brexit
Read 5 tweets
Aaron Rankin Profile picture
8 Sep 20
Forgetting for a moment that the EU itself is a serial breaker of international law (see the recent German Constitutional Court decision) & the fact we haven’t actually seen what the #InternalMarketBill says there are plenty of justifications in the WA /1
Firstly there’s Article 184 of the WA that commits the UK & the EU to negotiate in “good faith” on the future relationship. /2

#Brexit
Over the past year the EU has done anything but negotiate in good faith.

They’ve held things up.

Refused to discuss areas of that could be agreed quickly until they got their way in other areas.

And claim they had a right to an office in #Belfast /3
aaronrankin.com/is-the-eu-seri…
Read 9 tweets

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