1/ Following the recent conversation I saw with @cardano_whale and @TheCryptoviser regarding whether token burning makes sense, I've decided to wear my economist hat and take a stab at it.
[A THREAD ON TOKEN BURNING]
2/ WHY TOKEN BURN AT ALL?
The argument goes that token burning is good for current holders as it reduces the overall supply of the asset in circulation, which assuming everything else remains equal, pushes the price up due to the law of supply and demand.
3/HOW DOES IT WORK IN ECON TERMS
Token burning is deflation, as you're reducing the overall number of a currency in circulation and thereby raising the price.
The problem though is that this stops activity (if you think a $1000 TV will be worth $900 tomorrow, you'll wait)
#Blockchains primarily derive value from the amount of people using a network, or how much people think they will use the network in the future.
If people are actively disincentivised from using a network, and nothing materializes, hype dies
5/EXAMPLE
You have two equal coins, except one has burning (hence likely higher fees) and the other one doesn't
You have equal amounts of each. Which ones are you likelier to use first? The burn free one, of course.
Which ones are developers likelier to build on? The used one!
6/EXPLANATION
This is called Gresham's Law - where "bad money drives out good"
If you have a gold coin and a copper coin of equal value, you'll use the copper one first, as you expect gold to appreciate more.
But if the value of gold were tied to its use, then you're screwed
7/ WHERE BURNING MAKES SENSE
Fixed Assets that compete against each other but don't derive value from network effects. For example, if you burnt real estate, assuming that it's not close enough to drive your property value down, the reduction in supply would help your property.
8/CONCLUSION
Burning is a method that protocol owners use to drive up the price of their token at the cost of long term usability, thereby development and eventually even potential adoption.
While it seems like a good idea, deflation will have the exact opposite effect.
1/ Inspired by @cardano_whale 's post, I shall also make a prediction's thread but I will make them different than his, although everything he said is very reasonable.
[I - Real Use Cases]
2/A criticism thrown at #crypto is that it caters to speculators instead of users
In 2022, a major and easy to implement use case is that of microfinancing, by tying the degens looking for yield with those in underdeveloped markets who need microloans.
[II - Institutional Adoption]
3/ #Cardano is not the first name that comes to mind when the average person thinks crypto.
So even though 2021 marked the first wave of institutional adoption in crypto, major corporate investors will arrive en masse in 2022 as $ADA proves itself
1/ As people start working for DAOs, and get paid in their tokens, the nature of economic cycles will change
If my neighbour gets paid in EUR, or even $ETH, and I get paid in $ADA, then I have more in common with someone in Japan who gets paid in $ADA than with my neighbour
2/ Put simply, if enough people get paid in a non-local currency, the nature of recessions changes.
If someone is in an ecosystem that is doing well, their newfound wealth counterbalances the people who are doing poorly. So crashes in the economy are thus much milder.
3/ The key thing though is that #crypto markets have to decouple from #BTC so that projects can succeed or fail on their own merits, rather than the whims of their decrepit grandpa
Not only that, but Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs) must rival LLCs as employers