1/ Inspired by @cardano_whale 's post, I shall also make a prediction's thread but I will make them different than his, although everything he said is very reasonable.
[I - Real Use Cases]
2/A criticism thrown at #crypto is that it caters to speculators instead of users
In 2022, a major and easy to implement use case is that of microfinancing, by tying the degens looking for yield with those in underdeveloped markets who need microloans.
[II - Institutional Adoption]
3/ #Cardano is not the first name that comes to mind when the average person thinks crypto.
So even though 2021 marked the first wave of institutional adoption in crypto, major corporate investors will arrive en masse in 2022 as $ADA proves itself
[III - New Means of Financing]
4/ This year we saw projects fund themselves via Initial Stakepool Offerings (ISPO), whereby people opted out of their $ADA in return for tokens
This will grow and begin to be used by different types of people, like artists, as if it were Patreon
[IV - Regulatory Crackdown]
5/ #Crypto is a bizarre industry where people really think they can thumb their nose at the world's powers and not get punched back
A bunch of bad things can happen: staking blockchains get considered as securities, algo stablecoins get banned, etc
[V - Tether Collapse]
6/ This gets predicted every year, but I do think there's a strong possibility of it happening, as the US has signalled that their first regulatory targets are stablecoins.
If this happens, unfortunately, that's the start of a year's long cryptowinter.
[VI - Stakepools become Communities]
7/ The returns of Stakepools are going down year by year, this is baked into the #Cardano cake
Now, as this number decreases and becomes less enticing, SPOs will have to be unique and bend over backwards to keep people around via social ties
[VII - Entirely new use cases]
8/ $ETH's horribly high gas fees discourage innovation, as any new experimental application would cost an arm and a leg
However, on networks like #Cardano, the settlement costs are negligible. This encourages novelty as people play around with it
[VIII - Cardano will be too big to ignore ]
9/ While I don't think FUD will outright stop, I do think $ADA will begin to be treated as a blue-chip investment in the crypto world as the ecosystem develops and gains sophistication.
[IX - More government adoption ]
10/ The need for decentralized, tamper-proof systems is growing
While I don't expect it to happen overnight, I think we will sign more Memorandums of Understanding to build up government infrastructure and eventually even elections via ZK proofs
[X - Flantoshi reaches 10k followers ]
11/Ok, this is a joke, but an honest desire at that
I want to build a community of curious, smart people who are interested in pushing crypto forward, not as a get-rich-quick scheme, but as a long term investment and means of social change
[Conclusion ]
2022 is going to be an interesting year for #Cardano, perhaps unique in crypto history.
The reason is that no L1 blockchain has had this huge and active of a community before everything's live - our network effects out of the gate will be extraordinary!
GODDAMNIT AHHHHHH I NOTICED TYPOS AND CAN'T EDIT IT AHHHHHHH
1/ As people start working for DAOs, and get paid in their tokens, the nature of economic cycles will change
If my neighbour gets paid in EUR, or even $ETH, and I get paid in $ADA, then I have more in common with someone in Japan who gets paid in $ADA than with my neighbour
2/ Put simply, if enough people get paid in a non-local currency, the nature of recessions changes.
If someone is in an ecosystem that is doing well, their newfound wealth counterbalances the people who are doing poorly. So crashes in the economy are thus much milder.
3/ The key thing though is that #crypto markets have to decouple from #BTC so that projects can succeed or fail on their own merits, rather than the whims of their decrepit grandpa
Not only that, but Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs) must rival LLCs as employers
1/ Following the recent conversation I saw with @cardano_whale and @TheCryptoviser regarding whether token burning makes sense, I've decided to wear my economist hat and take a stab at it.
[A THREAD ON TOKEN BURNING]
2/ WHY TOKEN BURN AT ALL?
The argument goes that token burning is good for current holders as it reduces the overall supply of the asset in circulation, which assuming everything else remains equal, pushes the price up due to the law of supply and demand.
3/HOW DOES IT WORK IN ECON TERMS
Token burning is deflation, as you're reducing the overall number of a currency in circulation and thereby raising the price.
The problem though is that this stops activity (if you think a $1000 TV will be worth $900 tomorrow, you'll wait)