Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Mon Dec 20th, covering Fri/Sat/Sun. TLDR: Omicron is going to wreck your holidays. 1/
Cases/d: Fri 630, a 101.2%% incr from last Fri's 313. Sat 724, 177.4% up from 261. Sun 580, up 190% from 200. 7d ave now 527, up 70.8% from last week's 305 (fri 23.9%, Thurs 10.6%). Positivity 6.39% (last Fri 8.81%) 8.34% (4.16%) 8.81% (3.72%). 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts Tues -6 to 297 (revised from 296 Thurs and 291 Wed) Wed -7 to 290 (revised from 286 Fri and 282 Thurs) Yest -10 to 280 (revised from 276 yest) (all weekend numbers subj to revision) Fri -7 to 273, Sat -20 to 253, Sun +2 to 255. 3/
ICU Fri -3 to 65. Sat +4 to 69. Sun unchanged at 69. Worth noting that our ICU #s have been stable at around 70 since the 3rd of Dec. 17 days. 4/
Paeds admits: none (yay!) Deaths 6. Another 40-49 year old. 5/
Demographics: wow, what dynamic changes in the age groups. Has anyone asked AH how many fan cases came from the Saddledome Flames game? I'd be so curious. The #weararespiratorwave (aka 5th wave aka omicron wave) is also heavily urban, unlike the last two. 6/
And of course Omicron has come to dominate. >50% of variant cases on Friday. We are in trouble. 7/
I firmly believe if our gov't had been able to forsee today's #s, there wouldn't have been a relaxation of gathering measures 6 days ago (really, it was only 6 days ago). another case of #jurisdictionalexceptionism, aka what is happening elsewhere can't happen here (it did). 8/
As we enter the #weararespiratorwave, Our hospitalizations are at 253... for the nadir of the 2nd/3rd wave we bottomed out at 202. for 3rd/4th wave, 58. ICU even worse, at 69 yest, compared to 2nd/3rd nadir of 37, 3rd/4th nadir of 17. 9/
Our health system is not ready for this. We will be tested, and unless something drastic occurs, we will fail. It is time to protect yourselves. WEar a respirator. ask your loved ones to wear a respirator. Ask your governments to provide respirators free to all... 10/
HCWs and public, as not everyone can afford these more expensive masks. Reuse them so we don't fill the landfills with disposable masks. (until 40 hours, visibly soiled, or smells). 11/
And please, Public Health officials, Infectious Disease docs, and politicians, state #COVIDisAirborne so we can all understand how to protect ourselves. fin/
It's time for a little walk down the path called "what wave is this?". About naming the 3rd, 4th, and now 5th waves. And why it's important. 1/
it began with the 3rd wave. Our leaders oblivious despite having evidence from previous waves of how exponential growth worked, making it predictable, and how to stop it through mitigation policies, making it preventable. #predictableandpreventablewave. 2/
Then the fourth wave. The attempt to cause herd immunity by allowing it to run rampant through our population, especially the kids. And h/t to @sarahkendzior and @AndreaChalupa for pointing out that cruelty is the purpose. The #intentionallycruelwave 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Dec 11th. 1/
Cases yest 818, a 195% incr over last Mon's 277. 7d ave now 601 a 93.2% incr week over wk from 311 (Yest 70.8% fri 23.9%, Thurs 10.6%). Positivity 11.05% (last Mon 4.56%). 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts Thurs -10 to 281 (revised from 280 yest and 276 Fri) Fri -7 to 274 (revised from 273 yest), Sat -20 to 254 (revised from 253 yest), Sun +5 to 259 (revised from 255). Yest +1 to 255 (subj to revision). ICU unchanged at 69. 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Dec 1st. 1/
Yest cases/d 435 an 8.3% decr from last Tues's 474. 7d Avde now 320, a 14.9% drop wk over wk from 376 (yest 13.3%). Positivity 4.07% down from last wk's 4.58%. All leading indicators trending down, so good. 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts. Sat -8 to 368 (revised from 367 yest). Sun -8 to 360 (revised from 359 yest). Mon +1 to 361 (revised from 353 yest). Yest -16 to 345 (subj to revision). ICU -2 to 79. Paeds admits: None! Deaths 7 incl another 20-29 year old 3/
This hot take is a dangerous bit of poor math. Neverymind that we don't actually know the data for Omicrom to inform this... 1/ smh.com.au/national/could…
even if it is more transmissible but less virulent, IT WILL STILL KILL MORE PEOPLE because more people get infected. This is the problem with exponential growth. 2/ theconversation.com/coronavirus-va…
but again, we don't know any of this. Avoid the Hopium. Use the precautionary principle until we know better. Then when we know better, do good science based planning. fin/
This whole paragraph is incorrect. Aerosol spread has been shown to be dominant, from well before Nov 2020. In fact, there is no evidence for droplet spread, and minimal evidence for contact. 2/ cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
Incorrect. The new guidance says: a medical mask or a respirator, not just a medical mask. A respirator (aka N95/KN95/elastomeric) is a much better fitting mask than a surgical mask and will be much better protection when exposed to virus in aerosols. 3/ canada.ca/en/public-heal…
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Nov 30th covering Fri/Sat/Sun/Mon, because. 1/
Cases/d Fri 335 a 28.1% drop from last Fri's 466. Sat 253 a 33.2% drop from 379. Sun 231 a 14.7% drop from 271. and Mon 239 a 12.5 % drop from 273. Four in a row of dropping cases, that's great news. 7d ave now 326 a 13.3% drop wk over wk from 376 (friday flat) 1/
Positivity Fri 4.56% (last Fri 5.13%) Sat 3.86%(5.10%) Sun 4.60%(5.76%) Mon 4.47%(5.30%). Another leading indicator with dropping numbers, a clean sweep. This, again, is so good. In fact, first substantial drop in 7d ave since Nov 1st. 2/