Question arises, Why did SEBI allow for creation of QIP as an instrument for raising money?
QIP was introduced in the Indian Markets in 2006 by Sebi. As the regulator was concerned that the domestic companies were getting too dependent on raising money through
American Depository Receipts or Global Depository Receipts. Regulator introduced QIP as a tool to encourage domestic companies to raise capital domestically and to simplify the process rather than going abroad.
How is the pricing of QIP set?
The pricing floor for Qip is dependent upon the Floor Price below which Equity Shares cannot be issued. Pricing shall not be less than the average of the weekly high and low of the closing prices of the Equity Shares of the last 2 weeks prior to
announcement of the Qip Issue. However, companies can give a 5% discount to the floor price. Let's look at the floor price announced by Saregama:-
Original floor price=Rs.4264
Discount of 4.99%=Rs4052(The Final floor price)
What happens on the balance sheet and EPS?
As more number of shares are issued, the share capital on the balance sheet increases and the Reserves also increase due to securities premium (premium over face value). Just look at share capital and reserves of Deepak from 2015-2018
Number of shares outstanding for Deepak from 2015 till 2018 increased. Just look at how it gets reflected in the share capital schedule in the annual report (Deepak Nitrite 2016-2018)
Q. Can the promoters participate in Qips?
A. Absolutely not, the Qip's are only meant for Qualified institutional buyers. Namely- Mutual Funds, Foreign Pf Managers, Pension funds and Insurance companies etc.
Q. Why do companies go for QIP instead of raising debt?
A. It's a very genuine question. It all depends the size of capex or project the company is undertaking. In Deepak's case they did a capex of 1400 crores, which was financed through Debt raise+Land sale+2 Qip's.
They couldn't have done it without the Equity raise. First reason is clearly:- Money required for large project.
Second reason is when the valuations are out of whack!
This is the example of Neogen chemicals or IndiaMart.
IndiaMart raised nearly 1000+ crores at a price band
of Rs9000 which gave the company a valuation of nearly 93 times PE. Companies do this as it is beneficial for existing shareholders.
Lower dilution at higher valuation leads can give higher capital which can be reused to grow the EPS Faster.
Classic example in this case could be Neogen Chemicals, which has announced floor price of Qip at Ra 1400 (85 times Pe).
Which gives them 225 crores, they can use this capital to do more capex and repay the debt.
Coming to the third reason.
Third reason relates to the regulatory requirements. Which is majorly limited to Banks and Nbfcs. These companies have to do Qip's to meet the capital adequacy ratio and Equity capital is the currency of growth for such companies.
Here the Theory of reflexivity plays out
Assuming Bajaj Finance has a book value of Rs.20 and IDFC First also has the same book value. Bajaj Finance trades at 10 times Price to book i.e. at Rs200 vs Idfc at 1.5 times i.e. Rs 30.
Who do you think will need to dilute more to grow or meet the capital requirement? (Think)
At lesser dilution, Bajaj Finance can raise equivalent capital. Thus, benefitting the existing shareholders as the book value expands. This is what Bajaj Finance has been doing since 2015.
For a new bank, to get to such valuations, it takes years of trust and credibility and
sustained ROE and ROA metrics, which eventually leads to higher valuations. Thus, diluting lot less at high P/B vs high dilution at a Low P/B, impacts the Pat (EPS per share) and ROE/ROA Metrics in the latter case.
Final reason for dilution, its an outright fraud which is taking investors for a ride. Here the classic example is the curious case of Manpasand Beverages, which announced a suspicious QIP just after the IPO:-
Since many of the companies have been listed for years. Whenever they do a Qip, they have to release a Preliminary Placement Document which is like DRHP and it is a gold mine for information.
If you have come this far, do retweet and help other investors know about what QIP really means :)
Just to add:-
One more reason for raising QIP capital is to fund an acquisition. Like what Pi Industries has done, they raised 2000 crores to get into Pharma adjacency which only time will tell whether they can do it or not :)
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The Art of asking smart questions | When do you really graduate as an investor?
Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵
Retweet for Max reach!!
You graduate as an investor when you start asking things like the quality of revenue, incremental quality of earnings and the competitive landscape. Eg:- One API player will grow earnings because of shortage in market for those
APIs but the other one which will grow because of being the lowest cost producer. The markets often give higher Valuations to the latter player.
Another example that comes to mind is Balkrishna Industries vs other tyre players.🚜🚜
Structural story is very much in tact for the Chemical and CDMO Businesses, Piecing together the mega trend some of the recent developments. Looking beyond noise, you can only do so if your work is original and conviction is built independently
Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵
Firstly, I invest with a horizon of 3-4 years. When I say it I do mean to follow my investing philosophy through, nothing against anyone. but if you are a technical trader, then this thread isn't for you 🙏
Let's look at the slightly longer term outlook and what has happened in the businesses operating in the Chemical/CDMO Space:
Some of the key principles of investing that have helped me in my journey.
Retweet for Max reach!
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Commandment 1
Investing is a game of probabilities and not a game of possibilities. First thing that is the most important is to adapt your investing philosophy to your own circumstances. Eg:- if you are able to give less time to research then it is foolish to buy
concentrated positions or companies that are just emerging with a higher allocation.
Commandment 2
This is the one where I have been burnt in the past. Hopefully I have learnt my lesson, always pencil in conservative growth estimates. Let the business beat your low
Why Indoco Remedies looks Interesting and why FY22-24 growth is likely to be stellar here?
Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵
(Source for ophthalmics data:Nirmal Bang and rest is own work)
Looking at the incremental opportunity in Ophthalmics:-
Market size is not attractive for the Large Generic companies but for someone like Indoco which has a smalll base in exports business
As per the USFDA’s orange book, for Ophthalmic suspension drugs, only 3 out of 17 molecules have an active patent. Among the 14 molecules that are patent expired, 8 molecules are yet to see generic
competition.
After the wild success of Squid Games. Let’s understand how this show connects to Financial Planning and our 4 Key Takeaways related to it :)
Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵
RT For MAX Reach
First Lesson: Debt isn’t just a 4 letter word, it is slavery
-A small debt makes a man your debtor, A large one your enemy. All the participants in the game had borrowed debt and thus had to risk their lives to play. A large debt does make you an enemy for the other man.
Eg: Seong Gi Hun the lead protagonist had borrowed nearly 160 million won (1.01cr) from Loan sharks and 255million won (1.61 crore) from the Banks. Loan sharks chased him down, and made him sign a waiver of Physical Rights.