UPDATE ON MARKETS: Happy New Year, everyone. The South African market ended 2021 with its best performance in 12 years. FTSE/JSE All Share increased by 4.8% during December, SA Property stocks increased by 7.88% in December, while SA All Bond Index improved 2.69% for the period.
2/10
FTSE/ JSE All Share (+4.03%) in USD, performed in line with MSCI All Country World Index (+4.00%), while MSCI Emerging Markets Index (+1.88%) again lagged both these indices. The 12-month performance for JSE in USD terms was also in line with the MSCI ACWI’s performance.
3/10
South African Small-Caps again dominated during December, improving by 7.33%. Both Large- and Mid-Caps also enjoyed solid returns over the same period with increase of 4.8% and 4.3%, irrespectively.
4/10
Foreigners were net sellers of both South African Equities and Bonds in December. Foreigners were now net sellers of SA Equities for nine months in a row.
5/10
From a sectoral point of view, December saw Financials enjoyed a massive comeback from its poor November performances. Local Banks were the biggest winners in terms of attribution (compared to Capped Swix) during December.
6/10
Rand again retraced (-0.72%) against USD in December & 2.43% against the British Pound. This is quite disappointing, as South African Rand went from the best performing currency (against the USD) midyear 2021 to the worst-performing BRICS currency for the full year 2021.
7/10
The US M2 Money Supply YoY growth rate again came in above 10% during November.
8/10
The US Dollar Index tested its 50-day Moving Average during December. A break and close below this level (95.57) could see the next resistance level at the 200-day moving average at 93.
9/10
What a MASSIVE recovery for most commodities during December! Brent Oil increased 12.8%, while Palladium increased by 9.11% for December.
10/10 & Final
Should consensus (Refinitiv Eikon) be 100% correct in target prices, the JSE could still grow 12.5% from current levels.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Relative to broader asset classes globally, Local Equities continue to lead strongly over the short and longer term. Local Bonds and Local Property have also delivered competitive performance, while Global Property remain weaker across multiple timeframes.
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2/16
FTSE/JSE All Share delivered a 1.6% gain, SA Bonds up 2.6%, SA Listed Property surged by 7.84% (best local asset class for the month), while SA Cash remained stable at 0.6%. On a 12-month basis, both Property (23.6%) and Bonds (20.1%) continued to outperform Cash (7.4%).
3/16
In US dollar terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index gained 1.93% in October, slightly underperforming global equities (MSCI ACWI up 2.13%). Over the past 12 months, however, it remained a standout performer, rising 35.00% compared to the ACWI’s 22.51%.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Local assets continue to shine, with four of the five best-performing asset classes being South African. In short: no local, no lekker this August.
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2/15
In August, the FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) advanced by 3.53%, lifting the 12-month return to a strong 25.82%. SA Bonds gained 0.70%, SA Listed Property rose 2.80%, while SA Cash returned 0.55%.
3/15
A graph that many local doomsdayers prefer not to look at. In USD terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index surged a massive 6.83% in August, far outpacing both the MSCI All Country World Index (2.47%) and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (1.28%).
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Locally, the South African Reserve Bank lowered the repo rate by 0.25% in May — a move that certainly brought renewed optimism to the markets. Local remained lekker for 2025.
2/15
In May, the FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) rose by 3.14%, bringing the 12-month return to an impressive 27.30%. Local Bonds returned 2.70%, while SA Listed Property gained 2.32%. SA Cash continued to offer a steady 0.59% monthly return.
3/15
In USD terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index increased by 6.57% in May, significantly outperforming both the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (4.27%) and the MSCI All Country World Index (5.75%). Those who advised people over the past five years to sell all their South African assets and move everything offshore are now silent.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: FTSE/JSE All Share demonstrated another impressive performance in July, outperforming the MSCI All Country World Index. JSE recorded a 4.01% increase, while South African bonds (ALBI) & the local property market improved by 2.29% and 2.3%, respectively in July.
2/15
The JSE experienced a significant surge in July, gaining 9.7% in USD value. Comparatively, the MSCI All Country Index had a more modest growth of 3.66%, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index witnessed a 6.22% increase.
3/15
The SA Fear & Greed Index recovered and moved closer to EXTREME GREED territory during July.
THREAD: A picture is worth a thousand words. Let's look at a few of the globe's largest #ETF's & their graphs & see if we can make some sense of the current market environment.
#SouthAfrica might be down over 1YR, but $EZA performance in USD (-15.9%) is still way ahead of both $URTH (DM -22.2%) & $EEM (EM -28.9%) over the same period.