Every time my mum asks if there’s a new war looming over Bosnia, I bend the truth a bit. I don’t want to think how I’d tell her that we might need to flee again.

Orbán, Dodik & Co. are ready to wreak havoc and cause a war.

My latest for @haaretzcom.

🧵
haaretz.com/world-news/.pr…
This holiday season marks exactly 29 years since my family and I found shelter in an improvised refugee camp in Zenica, less than two months after we fled my hometown of Jajce.

After the Army of RS seized Jajce, we joined thousands of other civilians fleeing their homes.

2/
When the war started, I was only a year old, and too young to be conscious of what was happening around me.

Today I am old enough to recognize how power-thirsty populists are using similarly dangerous words and actions to the Serb nationalists of the early 90s.

3/
Dodik’s constant calls for the Republika Srpska to secede have never been more tangible.

On Dec 10, its National Assembly voted to withdraw from Bosnia’s joint Armed Forces, secret service, tax system, and judiciary. Such secessionist actions haven't been properly addressed.

4/
It's not Dodik’s warmongering that concerns the ordinary citizens as much as the silence, tacit approval or even support coming from some of the EU countries.

One of the staunchest supporters of Dodik and his irredentist plans is Hungary, and its right-wing PM Viktor Orbán.

5/
Last week, Orbán commented that “the challenge with Bosnia is how to integrate a country with 2 million Muslims.”

His baldly prejudiced statement caused a backlash – but mainly in BiH.

Regrettably, to this moment, not a single EU or U.S. leader responded to Orbán's remarks.

6/
Orbán poured oil on the flames by announcing Hungary would block potential EU sanctions targeting Dodik for his separatist actions.

Such announcements explicitly undermine the efforts by some EU countries to sanction Dodik in the hope of restraining his secessionist urges.

7/
Hungary's sinister role in destabilizing BiH didn't end there.

The same day as Orbán’s remarks, a leaked EU report revealed that the EU Commissioner responsible for BiH, Olivér Várhelyi – one of Orbán's hand-picked appointments – was effectively acting in cahoots with Dodik.

8/
Such reports are retraumatizing the ordinary people of BiH, including my mum, who now regularly relives the years preceding the bloody Bosnian war.

This week, following the news at home in Jajce, where we returned in 1997, my mum would ask: "Will there be another war soon?"

9/
I'm nervous about the future of BiH.

Looking abroad for salvation or even just allyship is an increasingly forlorn hope: EU officials are in bed with Dodik, EU heads of state sabotaging leverage against him, and impotent American diplomats looking for quick-fix solutions.

10/
What BiH needs is a more dedicated and joint EU-US approach grounded in the values that have made EU membership such a long sought-after goal.

Imposing sanctions against Dodik and sending additional int'l peace enforcement boots on the ground is necessary to deter violence.

11/
The people of Bosnia will enter the new year worried about the security of the country.

My New Year’s wish is to never again spend a New Year’s in a refugee camp, like I did 29 years ago.

In Bosnia, we know we can never take peacetime for granted.

12/12
haaretz.com/world-news/.pr…
Big thanks to @EstherSolomon for the opportunity to write for @haaretzcom.

I'm grateful to @DPC_global's Valery Perry and @KurtBassuener for invaluable comments. Your inputs have been most helpful.

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More from @SamBeharic

10 Jan
Bosnians will gather today in 35 cities across 14 countries to protest against attempts from Bosnian Serb separatists to break up the country.

The main event will take place in Brussels at the Schuman Square with several MEPs planned to speak.

#ProtestForBosnia

1/ Image
The protests were spurred on by secessionist acts by Bosnia Serb leader Milorad Dodik.

A month ago, the parliament of the Republika Srpska entity adopted a series of laws by which it intends to form parastatal institutions and even the own Republika Srpska Army by May 2022.

2/
This has attracted a lot of attention from Western officials, who are threatening sanctions against Dodik.

Meanwhile, right-wing leaders such as Orban and Putin are openly supporting Dodik, opening up a proxy battleground that would endanger not only BiH, but also the EU.

3/
Read 11 tweets
7 Nov 21
Dear world, don't say you weren't warned about a potential conflict in BiH.

Here's the leader of Bosnian Serbs, Milorad Dodik threatening with the Republika Srpska withdrawing from the BiH Armed Forces on @bbcworldservice #Weekend.

This means new war.
🧵
bbc.co.uk/programmes/w17…
BiH's High Rep, Christian Schmidt is clear: Dodik's actions lead to the undoing of the #Dayton Peace Agreement.

Dodik dismissed his claims using the same words as the Russian Amb to UN: Schmidt is a private person, and his UN report was written by the "Muslim intel agency".

2/4
In her strong response, @arminkahelic rebuffed Dodik's claims by stressing Schmidt was appointed by PIC, legitimately representing the int'l community.

"There is no Muslim intelligence service. In fact, the BiH Intelligence Service is headed by a Bosnian Serb", Helić added.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
6 Nov 21
People in Sarajevo, Srebrenica, Jajce and other places are scared. For the second time in less than 30 years, our country is threatened to fall apart.

That's why I told @MersihaGadzo I'm worried. Peace in BiH is at stake - and we all know what that means.
aljazeera.com/news/2021/11/5…
Ahmed Hrustanović (@E71HRG), an imam from #Srebrenica told @AJEnglish it would be a defeat of humanity if the Republika Srpska forms an army that committed a genocide.

His father, both grandfathers, four uncles and other relatives were killed during the #Srebrenica genocide.
Munira Subašić, president of the Mothers of Srebrenica association said the current situation reminds her of the 1990s before the war broke out:

"Dodik is doing his job, he’s not going back, but the international community which betrayed us in 1995 is trying to betray us again."
Read 4 tweets
30 Oct 21
On this day 29 years ago, my family fled #Jajce together with thousands of other families after the Army of Republika Srpska seized the city. I was one year old.

Today, my mum asked me if we will have to flee again, stressing she saw identical red flags three decades ago.

🧵
Three decades ago, the people of Jajce didn't believe the war would happen even though the Yugoslav National Army soldiers dug trenches around the city.

Today, Milorad Dodik & Co. are digging political trenches. I wouldn't like my generation commits the mistake our parents did.
The politicial situation in BiH is tense, and this is the first time EVER that I feel nervous about its (and my own) future.

I'm not surprised by the actions of nationalists aiming to stay in power even at the cost of war. I'm disappointed in the impotent int'l community.

3/
Read 8 tweets
16 Jun 21
I asked @MiroslavLajcak why should the #WesternBalkan leaders trust the EU promises, taking into account the EU failed to deliver visa liberalisation to #Kosovo and accession talks with #NorthMacedonia.

His reply was abhorrent: "If you don't trust the EU, go somewhere else." 1/
Lajčak continued by saying: "It's trendy to criticise the EU about the visa liberlisation, but #Kosovo leaders should go to those countries blocking the freedom to travel and ask how to comply."

However, all the required benchmarks for visa lib have been delivered by Kosovo! 2/
.@Bujar_O, Foreign Affairs Minister of #NorthMacedonia spoke eloquently about the erosion of EU credibility in the #WesternBalkans:

"We keep hearing 'If you deliver, we will deliver', and we changed both our country's name and the constitution, but the EU hasn't delivered." 3/
Read 8 tweets
29 Nov 19
It is extremely disturbing to read about the the current state secretary in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of #Croatia, Zdravka Bušić taking part in #terrorist training and posing with fascist insignia in USA during the 1970s.

zurnal.info/novost/22572/p…
The photos of Zdravka Bušić and her friend Mercedes Škegro posing with guns and #Croat fascist insignia were taken by journalist Nikola Majstrović.

In 1977, he was tasked to make a documentary featuring Croat emigrants in USA, titled "The #Croats: Terrorists or Freedom Fighters"
During the 1970s, Zdravka Bušić was a member of the Croatian National Resistance (HNO), a fascist #Ustaša organization founded by Maks Luburić, a Croat fascist who headed the system of concentration camps in the Independent State of #Croatia (NDH) during much of the WWII.
Read 8 tweets

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