A graphical way to look at the Impermanent Loss (IL) when you provide liquidity.

πŸ“ˆπŸ”πŸ§

/1
This will be done for an imaginary token $FOO.

Assumptions:
(1) $FOO price = $1
(2) Liquidity is provided to $FOO - $UST pair

/2
Let's imagine you have 1000 $UST to invest and you *can* invest it in $FOO.

One way to go about it is... not to invest and keep $UST.

The value of your position would not change at all, ignoring price action (PA) of $FOO would look like this:

/3
Another way to invest would be to kindly ape into $FOO, leaving not $UST behind.

Full exposure to $FOO price action, biggest up- and downside potential (let's forget about leverage, okay?).

Amount of $FOO stays the same (1k), only PA drives position value.

/4
Once $FOO - $UST LP is provided (at $FOO price of $1), its value is driven by:
* PA of $FOO
* Composition of the pool (result of the above, really)

That slightly changes the exposure to PA of $FOO.

/5
When $FOO -> $0, position value -> $0.
When $FOO -> πŸŒ–, position value -> πŸŒ–.

Clear difference vs "FOO only" bag - whether you lose or gain, you will do it as a slower pace.

/6
Rather than provide $FOO and $UST into LP, we can keep them in a wallet in 50:50 ratio.

The difference between value of such a position and that of the LP is called "impermanent loss" and can be visualized as the distance between the 2 curves.

/7
When $FOO stays in the $0.5 - $1.5 price range, the lines almost overlap.

In other words - even if the price changes by +/- 50%, impermanent loss is still pretty small.

/8
"But ser, LP usually comes with incentives" you say?

And you will be right, fren.

Including APY of 10% / 25% / 50% changes the chart yet again.

(Assumption: yield was auto-compounded into LP position for a year).

/9
A few observations:
- APY as low as 10% makes up for IL if the price change stays in (-60% ; +150%) range.
- With APY of 50% it is better to LP than to ape if the price does 2.25x or less
- LP mining is the most profitable (vs ape or 50:50 ) if the price moves sideways.

/10-end

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More from @AgilePatryk

28 Dec 21
Am I hyped about Astroport?
Yes.

Was the message below shared in a timely fashion?
I wouldn’t say so.

Read on if you’d like to know why.
/1
Liquidity has already been migrated from TerraSwap, but… @astroport_fi has not launched their UI yet.

So either you:
➑️ Use TerraSwap - with lower TVL / higher slippage now
OR
➑️ Trade on @coinhall_org - that requires explicitly selecting the pair with Astroport logo

/2
I guess you can interact with the smart contract directly too, but how many of us, #LUNAtics, can actually do that?

That migration and UI launch should have happened one right after another. Like:
- migrate
- smoke test
- launch UI
Within minutes, not hours

/3
Read 7 tweets
27 Dec 21
I have written a thread on pricing $yLUNA - it might be a bit difficult to follow, unless you love math.

Below a simple formula anyone can calculate.

/1
The only assumption:

Anchor rate is considered risk-free and equal to roughly 20% APY.

/2
With that assumption:

$yLUNA = 5 x LUNA_staking_APY
$pLUNA = 1 - $yLUNA

both expressed in $LUNA terms.

Example below.

/3
Read 6 tweets
18 Dec 21
Listening to the recording of @WhiteWhaleTerra community update from yesterday - thanks to awesome @terraspacesorg recordooors.

Here are a few thoughts.

πŸ§΅β¬‡οΈ
/1
Regular update calls (weekly/bi-weekly - TBD) are planned to stay in touch with the community.

Sebastian clearly mentioned they want start it right with us and I applaud him for both the stance and steps taken so far. πŸ‘

/2
@WhiteWhaleTerra got $26m out of the LBP, $20m out of which went into protocol-owned $WHALE - $UST LP.

No incentives will be provided to LP - none are needed!

Result: no sell pressure as we have seen on $VKR, $TWD or $PSI.

BTW You can still do LP to get the trading fees.

/3
Read 15 tweets
17 Dec 21
Things no one told you about the @astroport_fi lockdrop yet.

πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡

/1
There are already a few community-built tools that help you assess the potential of locking into a particular LP - a few links below:

terra.dyor.fi/astro-lockdrop
share.streamlit.io/lejimmy/astrop…
astroport-lockdrop-dashboard.surge.sh
public.flourish.studio/visualisation/…
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

/2
Please give the creators a follow as a gesture of gratitude for the work they have done:

@0xdef1
@lejimmy
@azmo1338
@tansawit
@IncioMan

/3
Read 18 tweets
16 Dec 21
New token launches on @terra_money - the good, the bad, and the ugly.

My write-up on what went well and what didn't with ideas to try and things to avoid.

medium.com/@agilepatryk/h…

TL;DR πŸ‘‡

/1
Any launch has 3 somewhat separate phases:
1) Early financing
2) Price discovery
3) Listing

/2
1) Early financing

Things to try:
* Public sale with a number of channels
* Including a public sale channel without KYC
* Building a warchest / treasury
* Long vesting period for the public sale, even longer for team/VCs

/3
Read 10 tweets
14 Dec 21
@WhiteWhaleTerra LBP analysis - continued.

If you want to know the outlook for the price of $WHALE between now and end of LBP - read on.

πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡
/1
First, let's take a look at where we are right now, which is around $0.182:
tradingview.com/x/1qUwNWzT

Coincidentally, we've been at ~$0.18 24h ago and went into very slow and steady buying (no aping) in the following 13h.

/2
In best-case scenario, with similar steady buying, at the end of LBP window we might arrive at $0.14.

You won't see $WHALE any cheaper than that, not in this LBP.

This means, the bottom of $0.13 is already in - that was the best moment to buy *and* it won't happen again.

/3
Read 5 tweets

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