Thread: As the #ncredistricting trial begins, it may be good to review the 2019 NC court decision striking down the state legislative maps drawn in 2016 as unconstitutional, based on three NC constitutional/legal principles (from my book: link.springer.com/book/10.1007/9…) #ncpol
Some background: following the ruling that the 2011 maps were racially gerrymandered, GOP #NCGA lawmakers went back to redraw the maps in 2016, with the expressed principle of using partisanship--which, at that time, was a legal approach to take (though it would be challenged).
Analysis of the 2016 maps for the NC state legislature indicated that GOP super-majorities in both #ncga chambers could be achieved & override any veto by the governor, as I note (page 132: link.springer.com/book/10.1007/9…) #ncpol #ncredistricting
Once #SCOTUS ruled that partisan gerrymandering was a "political question" best left up to the states, the case Common Cause v. Lewis took on new importance in challenging the 2016 maps, and the 2019 trial by a 3-judge panel held the maps unconstitutional. #ncpol #ncredistricting
The 3-judge panel held that the maps violated the NC Constitution, in three distinct ways:

First, the Free Elections clause, which held a fundamental right & that partisan maps diluted citizens' votes & made "the will of the map drawers...prevail." #ncpol
Second, the 2016 partisan-gerrymandered maps violated NC's constitutional "equal protection of the law" clause, by denying "the fundamental right of each NCian to substantially equal voting power."

#ncpol #ncredistricting
The third constitutional/legal rational for striking down NC's 2016 partisan gerrymandered maps was based on the state constitution's protection of freedom of speech and assembly, which the partisan maps rendered "less effective" for Democrats over Republicans. #ncpol
As the 2022 three-judge NC panel begins to evaluate the 2021 NC maps as to the claim of partisan gerrymandering, the ruling in 2019 (though not appealed at the time) may serve as important legal rational for whether or not the maps are partisan gerrymandered.
The likely difference between 2019 and 2022 is that this case *will* get appealed up to the NC Court of Appeals (GOP majority) and then to the NC Supreme Court (4-3 Democratic majority). But we'll just have to wait and see. #ncpol #ncredistricting
Again, for background as to the past 50 years of #ncredistricting and the political and legal battles that NC has gone through over redistricting, might I offer this for your consideration:

link.springer.com/book/10.1007/9…

#ncpol #fin
A clarification:

Any appeal of the trial court decision on #ncredistricting will go straight to the NC Supreme Court, as per their Dec. 8 order (and not through the usual Court of Appeals to Supreme Court route) appellate.nccourts.org/orders.php?t=P…

#ncpol
For those questioning whether this direct appeal from trial court to NC Supreme Court (skipping the Court of Appeals) is unusual or 'abnormal' for the NC judicial system, see relevant NC General Statute:

#ncpol #ncredistricting

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More from @BowTiePolitics

27 Feb 21
Weekly change in NC active voters registered on 11/7/20 to 2/27/21 & their party reg, with change since 2/20/21:

Dem-->Unaffiliated: 9,595 (+494 since 2/20)
D-->Rep: 4,915 (+176)

U-->D: 8,841 (+368)
U-->R: 9,800 (+429)

R-->D: 3,113 (+180)
R-->U: 20,218 (+1,024)

#ncpol
36% of all NC party switchers are reg Republicans going to reg Unaffiliated since November's general election.

17% are Dems going Unaff
17% are Unaff going Rep
16% are Unaff going Dem

Grand scheme of things:
0.6% of Dems have switched
0.9% of Unaff
1.1% of Rep

#ncpol
As of today's data for the 7M NC registered voter pool:

2.48M are registered Democrats (35.2%)
2.35M are registered Unaffiliated (33.4%)
2.15M are registered Republican (30.6%)
54K are all other parties (0.8%)

#ncpol
Read 4 tweets
15 Feb 21
"If negotiating a post-Donald-Trump world has been a disorienting experience for Republicans around the country, it is especially acute in NC, a state that has become a polarized, and nearly deadlocked, partisan battleground."

However...1/2 nytimes.com/2021/02/14/us/… #ncpol #ncsen
2/2:

“'The G.O.P. base is getting smaller,' said Paul Shumaker, a veteran party strategist in Raleigh."

#ncpol #ncsen

nytimes.com/2021/02/14/us/…
Granted, the GOP base is composed of both registered Republicans + registered unaffiliated voters who vote GOP.

But since November, the greatest # of defections from party registration has been among registered Republicans in NC's 7M voters (data courtesy of @NCSBE):
Read 9 tweets
13 Feb 21
1: "The GOP members of Congress said the (phone) exchange showed Trump had no intention of calling off the rioters even as lawmakers were pleading with him to intervene. Several said it amounted to a dereliction of his presidential duty.

'He is not a blameless observer, ...
2: "...he was rooting for them," a Republican member of Congress said. 'On January 13, Kevin McCarthy said on the floor of the House that the President bears responsibility and he does.'" cnn.com/2021/02/12/pol…
"I think it speaks to the former President's mindset," said Rep. Anthony Gonzalez, an Ohio Republican who voted to impeach Trump last month. "He was not sorry to see his unyieldingly loyal vice president or the Congress under attack by the mob he inspired. In fact, ....
Read 4 tweets

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