🚨📣🧵 During the 2020 election cycle I raised $6 million (yes, that's right) to help save democracy & decency. In 2022 we need to do it again. Money isn't the only thing needed but it's an important factor. Here's links to multiple types of federal & state races to choose from:
1. First, we desperately need to keep the #HouseBlueIn22! I know it’s a long shot but if the GOP takes control you’ll have lunatics like MTG, Matt Gaetz & Lauren Boebert in charge, & you can kiss the #January6th investigation goodbye. Donate today! secure.actblue.com/donate/housebl…
2. Second, it's vitally important to not only keep the #SenateBlueIn22 to retain control of judicial appointments, but to *pad* the majority to help prevent a couple of wayward Dems from throwing sand in the gears of President Biden's agenda. Donate today! secure.actblue.com/donate/senateb…
3. While control of the federal government is vital, the pandemic has also underscored how much power individual states have when it comes to public health policy and so much more. Help make #GovsBlueIn22 by donating to these races today! secure.actblue.com/donate/govblue…
4. Secretary of State has always been an important job, but the GOP's endless attempts to overturn the 2020 election and *especially* their aggressive moves to nullify U.S. democracy NOW add a new urgency to making sure it's #SOSBlueIn22. Donate today! secure.actblue.com/donate/sosblue…
5. Besides helping protect democracy itself, if the Supreme Court strikes down or guts Roe vs. Wade (as expected), Attorneys General across the country will play a critical role in the fate of pregnant women who choose to have an abortion. Donate today: secure.actblue.com/donate/agsblue…
🚨 6. As so many keep warning, it's the STATE LEGISLATURES which have the most control over the fate of democracy in America. We MUST flip control of as many state Senates & Houses as possible...and here in MICHIGAN, we have a shot at both! Donate today: secure.actblue.com/donate/bluemi2…
I'll update all of the above and add additional states to this thread going forward. And yes, I plan on reposting these links repeatedly throughout 2022. In some ways the stakes are even higher than they were last year, as Trumpism has now metastasized across the *ENTIRE* GOP.
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.@NateSilver538 just literally compared a year of remote learning to nearly half a million people being killed.
Does he have any children? I do. He hated remote learning but not once did he or I ever think “man, I’d kill 460,000 people just to get back to in-person learning!”
There was a time when, as a data wonk, I considered him to be a role model. Back in 2014 when I got my 15 minutes of fame for my ACA data tracking, a few folks referred to me as "the Nate Silver of Obamacare" and I was embarrassed because I didn't think I was worthy.
Yes, both the R^2 & slope are now over 0.5 for the first time.
These graphs are actually more depressing in a way: Note how all 3 leveled off from around September - November, then started increasing again right after Thanksgiving?
Yeah, that was the same point that 5-11 yr olds started getting their 2nd vaccination shots.
(sigh) Over 7,500 people have "liked" her first tweet and over 1,200 have shared her misinformation. Worse yet, she's apparently an MD.
It's time once again for...The Three-Legged Stool®!
I can't believe I have to explain this over 10 years later, but under the Patient Protection & Affordable Care Act (the #ACA), INSURANCE CARRIERS CAN'T CHARGE HIGHER PREMIUMS TO PEOPLE BASED ON THEIR MEDICAL OR HEALTH CONDITIONS.
Here's how the #ACA's "3-legged stool" was designed (it's gone through a few changes over the years, most notably the federal individual mandate penalty being cut off & replaced with the World's Most Expensive Shim®):
The lack of *daily* FL deaths isn't what's suspicious (they've done this cute back-dating thing since June, where they add a week's worth of deaths to the total every Friday).
What's suspicious is that they claim to have only had 162 deaths statewide between 12/27/21 - 1/04/22.
I'm quite serious. Check the White House COVID Response Team's Community Profile Report from 12/27 and from today. Unless there's *another* update to bring FL's numbers up to date, the statewide difference is only 162, which seems...low. beta.healthdata.gov/Health/COVID-1…
According to the CDC, the most deaths in a single day Florida has reported to them since December 1st is 27 on 12/07. Since 12/20 they haven't reported more than 10 per day.
Oh for God's sake. I *personally* think PR should become a state but support for statehood *among Puerto Ricans* is all over the place. Statehood won a majority in a nonbinding vote a few years back but I believe turnout was pretty low.
If you're pushing for PR statehood because you think it'd mean 2 more Dem Senators & 4-5 more Dem House members, not only is that the wrong reason to support it, it's also not remotely close to a sure thing. I don't know much re. PR but I know their internal politics are complex.
PR statehood is a *completely different animal* than DC statehood, which has *massive* support by those who live there. There are other major legal, logistical & other differences between the two as well.
📣📣 REMINDER: Residents of every state except Idaho still have until January 15th (or later) left to enroll in comprehensive, affordable healthcare coverage during #ACA Open Enrollment!