Yes, both the R^2 & slope are now over 0.5 for the first time.
These graphs are actually more depressing in a way: Note how all 3 leveled off from around September - November, then started increasing again right after Thanksgiving?
Yeah, that was the same point that 5-11 yr olds started getting their 2nd vaccination shots.
For those who don't understand the connection: Basically, parents who got vaccinated earlier in the year are getting their kids vaccinated. Parents who REFUSED to get vaccinated are refusing to get their kids vaccinated.
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.@NateSilver538 just literally compared a year of remote learning to nearly half a million people being killed.
Does he have any children? I do. He hated remote learning but not once did he or I ever think “man, I’d kill 460,000 people just to get back to in-person learning!”
There was a time when, as a data wonk, I considered him to be a role model. Back in 2014 when I got my 15 minutes of fame for my ACA data tracking, a few folks referred to me as "the Nate Silver of Obamacare" and I was embarrassed because I didn't think I was worthy.
(sigh) Over 7,500 people have "liked" her first tweet and over 1,200 have shared her misinformation. Worse yet, she's apparently an MD.
It's time once again for...The Three-Legged Stool®!
I can't believe I have to explain this over 10 years later, but under the Patient Protection & Affordable Care Act (the #ACA), INSURANCE CARRIERS CAN'T CHARGE HIGHER PREMIUMS TO PEOPLE BASED ON THEIR MEDICAL OR HEALTH CONDITIONS.
Here's how the #ACA's "3-legged stool" was designed (it's gone through a few changes over the years, most notably the federal individual mandate penalty being cut off & replaced with the World's Most Expensive Shim®):
🚨📣🧵 During the 2020 election cycle I raised $6 million (yes, that's right) to help save democracy & decency. In 2022 we need to do it again. Money isn't the only thing needed but it's an important factor. Here's links to multiple types of federal & state races to choose from:
1. First, we desperately need to keep the #HouseBlueIn22! I know it’s a long shot but if the GOP takes control you’ll have lunatics like MTG, Matt Gaetz & Lauren Boebert in charge, & you can kiss the #January6th investigation goodbye. Donate today! secure.actblue.com/donate/housebl…
2. Second, it's vitally important to not only keep the #SenateBlueIn22 to retain control of judicial appointments, but to *pad* the majority to help prevent a couple of wayward Dems from throwing sand in the gears of President Biden's agenda. Donate today! secure.actblue.com/donate/senateb…
The lack of *daily* FL deaths isn't what's suspicious (they've done this cute back-dating thing since June, where they add a week's worth of deaths to the total every Friday).
What's suspicious is that they claim to have only had 162 deaths statewide between 12/27/21 - 1/04/22.
I'm quite serious. Check the White House COVID Response Team's Community Profile Report from 12/27 and from today. Unless there's *another* update to bring FL's numbers up to date, the statewide difference is only 162, which seems...low. beta.healthdata.gov/Health/COVID-1…
According to the CDC, the most deaths in a single day Florida has reported to them since December 1st is 27 on 12/07. Since 12/20 they haven't reported more than 10 per day.
Oh for God's sake. I *personally* think PR should become a state but support for statehood *among Puerto Ricans* is all over the place. Statehood won a majority in a nonbinding vote a few years back but I believe turnout was pretty low.
If you're pushing for PR statehood because you think it'd mean 2 more Dem Senators & 4-5 more Dem House members, not only is that the wrong reason to support it, it's also not remotely close to a sure thing. I don't know much re. PR but I know their internal politics are complex.
PR statehood is a *completely different animal* than DC statehood, which has *massive* support by those who live there. There are other major legal, logistical & other differences between the two as well.
📣📣 REMINDER: Residents of every state except Idaho still have until January 15th (or later) left to enroll in comprehensive, affordable healthcare coverage during #ACA Open Enrollment!