Here's your AB COViD # analysis for Tues Jan 4th. I'm going to focus on the last 24 hours as the data dump of Dec 29-yesterday is immense. 1/
Yest cases 2976 a 107% rised from 1440. Record cases of 4578 on 30 Dec. Remember these cases immensely underestimate true case rate in the province, thanks to undertesting, changed test criteria, holiday period, RATs being done at home, etc. 2/
7d ave 3479 a 92.4% incr wk over wk from 1808. positivity 36.1% (record for pandemic) compared with 21.86% last Mon. Calgary at 39.8%, Edmonton a close second at 36.93%. 3/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: WEd +20 to 333, Thurs +22 to 355, Fri -2 to 353, Sat +4 to 357, Sun +18 to 375, Sun no change to 375. 7days up 90 or 31.6%. ICU flat: last Mon 61, yest 61. 4/
Paeds stats: 31 new inpts, 2 new ICU, 1 new death in the 5-9 range. So now 3 death under 20. So sorry little ones that we've failed you. Total deaths 11. Including 3 under 50. 5/
Demographics. Urban zones predominate. All ages rising skyhigh. 6/
summary of the last two pressers: things are scary! People Need TO BEHAVE! and we as gov't will do nothing. They still haven't learned gov't responsibility>>>> personal responsablity. But of course nobody should be surprised. 7/
Astounded to again hear our glorious leaders say that despite knowing #COVIDisairborne, they refuse to implement airborne mitigation measures. I'm curious as to who is giving them advice, for they obviously haven't been able to update their thinking either. 8/
So protect yourself and your loved ones. Call your school boards, ask for safe spaces. Kids shouldn't go back until they are protected by good policy. #weararespiratorwave. fin/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Jan 5th. 1/
Yest cases/d 4768, a 69% incr from last Tues's 2823. Case positivity 36.92% compared to yest 36.2% and last Tues 30.08%. Both cases/d and positivity acheive new records for the pandemic. 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Fri -1 to 354 (revised from 353 yest), Sat +5 to 359 (revised to 357), Sun +20 to 379 (revised from 375 yest), Mon +16 to 391 (revised from 375 yest). Yest +7 to 398 (subj to revision). 7days up 85 or 27.1% (yest 31.6%). 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Dec 29th. I'll focus on the last 24 hours, and throw in a whole bunch of caveats, because some of this data is not as useful as it used to be. 1/
Cases/d yest 2800, a new pandemic record, and a % incr over last Tues's 1359. Except this data point is nowhere close as useful to a similar cases/d at any previous time of the pandemic, as evidenced by the record positivity of 29.88% (last Tues 11.89%). 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts.From a low of 261 on Sat, up +5 to 266 on Sun, +14 to 280 on Mon, and +12 to 292 yest. Not sure how useful this is, b/c it is unclear if all these new admits are pts admitted because of covid, or other reasons and just testing +ve incidentally. 3/
Next big debate in Alberta is whether schools should open again in 6 days. It's a tough one, balancing the role of schools in contributing to community spread, and longCOVID in kids, vs. equity with challenges in keeping kids at home for many parents 1/
Yesterday Premier Kenney continued to promote the myth that "in-class transmission has not been a major source of community transmission in Alberta and elsewhere" (timestamp 33:01) 2/
In reality the 4th #intentionallycruelwave was driven entirely by the unvaccinated in the 5-11 age group, as seen by AB Health's data. And we enter the January school period with most of these kids unvaccinated, still only 34% with one shot, inadequate protection for omicron. 3/
It's time for a little walk down the path called "what wave is this?". About naming the 3rd, 4th, and now 5th waves. And why it's important. 1/
it began with the 3rd wave. Our leaders oblivious despite having evidence from previous waves of how exponential growth worked, making it predictable, and how to stop it through mitigation policies, making it preventable. #predictableandpreventablewave. 2/
Then the fourth wave. The attempt to cause herd immunity by allowing it to run rampant through our population, especially the kids. And h/t to @sarahkendzior and @AndreaChalupa for pointing out that cruelty is the purpose. The #intentionallycruelwave 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Dec 11th. 1/
Cases yest 818, a 195% incr over last Mon's 277. 7d ave now 601 a 93.2% incr week over wk from 311 (Yest 70.8% fri 23.9%, Thurs 10.6%). Positivity 11.05% (last Mon 4.56%). 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts Thurs -10 to 281 (revised from 280 yest and 276 Fri) Fri -7 to 274 (revised from 273 yest), Sat -20 to 254 (revised from 253 yest), Sun +5 to 259 (revised from 255). Yest +1 to 255 (subj to revision). ICU unchanged at 69. 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Mon Dec 20th, covering Fri/Sat/Sun. TLDR: Omicron is going to wreck your holidays. 1/
Cases/d: Fri 630, a 101.2%% incr from last Fri's 313. Sat 724, 177.4% up from 261. Sun 580, up 190% from 200. 7d ave now 527, up 70.8% from last week's 305 (fri 23.9%, Thurs 10.6%). Positivity 6.39% (last Fri 8.81%) 8.34% (4.16%) 8.81% (3.72%). 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts Tues -6 to 297 (revised from 296 Thurs and 291 Wed) Wed -7 to 290 (revised from 286 Fri and 282 Thurs) Yest -10 to 280 (revised from 276 yest) (all weekend numbers subj to revision) Fri -7 to 273, Sat -20 to 253, Sun +2 to 255. 3/