Also there is some new Jeffrey Feltman news, he is about to leave it seems, according to this report from Swiss Info. From Reuters reporter @humeyra_pamuk swissinfo.ch/eng/exclusive-…
@humeyra_pamuk Satterfield previously served as the Charge D'Affairs to Egypt (not mentioned in the Reuters Story) and was confirmed to his role as Turkey Ambassador in June 2019, after being nominated by @SecPompeo.
A search of Wikileaks Cables for "David Satterfield" brings up 490 results - but some of these seem to relate to "David E Satterfield" a congressman. There are a large number of secret cables in the database related mostly to his time working in Iraq. search.wikileaks.org/?query=David+S…
In this cable, Satterfield describes briefing Saudi counterparts, including intelligence officials and the FM on developments in Iraq. The cable is addressed to the CIA and DIA.
Finally this report is from October 2019, a few months after Satterfield was confirmed as Ambassador to Turkey. It relates to the disastrous phone call between Trump and Turkish President Erdogan, in which Trump effectively threw the Kurds under a bus. nbcnews.com/politics/natio…
Satterfield is a very different kind of figure to Feltman - whose experience at the UN prior to becoming HoA envoy was in peacemaking. Satterfield has military and intel ties including deep ties to Egypt where he served as Multinational Sinai Force DG from 2009-2017.
This is a very preliminary look at the new US Envoy.
In terms of what it tells us about US policy in Ethiopia, it's certainly an important development.
In recent months it has looked at times as if US policy in Washington DC is contested between a more hawkish approach - perhaps backed by the DoD - and the State Dept, who under @AsstSecStateAF has been conciliatory.
The decision at Christmas to remove Ethiopia from AGOA at @batten_von's request suggested a hawks victory.
Feltman's latest trip, may indicate in the context of this news - be a sign-off trip, perhaps even a mission he requested to assist in the handover.
This does not to me - admittedly at first glance - look like good news for Ethiopia.
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The leading edge of the next monsoon charged atmospheric river has arrived in the Middle East and the next phase of unusual possibly extreme winter weather in the region is about to commence.
The GFS 16-day rain forecast predicts a very similar amount of rain to the last major phase in this extended period of intense #ArabianStorms which finished 2 days ago.
For a recap of what has happened so far, this thread from this morning looks at the period 17 December to today, and tracks the Atlantic-Amazon sourced atmospheric river involved in all this all the way to China.
Daily rain intensity measures show where rain fell each day.
1. Along the bottom the monsoon atmospheric river moves West. 2. Over the Atlantic storms produce atmospheric moisture. 3. This travels ENE over the Sahara to the Middle East
@NASA This animation looks at the next segment in water transport - same time period - over the Indian Ocean and Eurasia to China. Again the monsoon is moving in the opposite direction.
It is remarkably how shallow the angle is of the atmospheric rivers which are moving ENE.
This cloud pattern is exquisite.
Hundreds of small thunderstorms, all in a line over the great forest of Africa, all producing a stream of atmospheric water of heading towards a great river over the Sahel.
Those are lakes Albert and Victoria bottom right. The large cloudless area is also unusual. Probably a localised fairly large high pressure system of some kind.
There is a humanitarian crisis in Ethiopia an acute one. Millions of traumatized people 100s of thousands of dead child soldiers. Caused by a violent war of secession. There is a chance for peace, but the obstacle is not the way repatriated Tigray refugees are being treated.
The main problem is that the TPLF declared a ceasefire as the Western world went to sleep for Christmas, and promptly attacked Afar. And now they are attacking again in the West.
Research thread into David M Satterfield - who has been reported to be replacing Jeffrey Feltman as Envoy to the Horn of Africa. See... en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_M._…
Please add and annotate relevant info in this thread.
With all due respect, Satterfield does have deep experience in the Horn, via his lengthy engagement with Egypt. His lengthy role in the Multinational Sinai Force means he likely had deep connections there, military and intel.
Feltman and Satterfield’s specialist areas of diplomacy are the Middle East, not the Horn. It appears that African specialists in @StateDept don’t have sufficient stature for this role.
The difference between the two is that Satterfield is more tied into Military and Intel.
The FP piece mentioned about envoy’s is definitely relevant, but I think the conclusion is wrong. The Satterfield appointment indicates if anything that Langley and the DoD have muscled their way in. foreignpolicy.com/2021/12/06/spe…