#Covid19 cases up 20% across the UK in the past week

◾️ England up 17%
◾️ N.Ireland up 53%
◾️ Scotland up 32%
◾️ Wales up 36%

The growth in cases across all four nations is slowing down.
As I predicted last week, deaths starting to trend up with so many Omicron cases.

With more admitted with Covid but not for it deaths data will overcount the true impact of Covid on mortality from now on.

Deaths 82% lower than last year & signs starting to rise.
The number of #Covid19 patients in critical care beds in England is similar to the level just before Xmas

◾️ 22.5% of beds have a Covid-19 patient
◾️ 59.1% have non-Covid patients
◾️ 18.4% unoccupied

➡️ No change in patients with #Covid19 in ventilated beds in #England. Total is 67% lower than last year

➡️ Overall 54% increase in total patients with Covid but seeing more in with it, rather than for it (up to 45%)

➡️Total patients 43% lower than last year
In Wales a 12% increase in past week in #Covid19 patients in ventilated beds & 73% lower than last year

➡️ Patients in general beds up 83% but 58% lower than last year
Between 37% and 45% of patients in English hospitals with Covid-19 are not in hospital because of the virus but have it

➡️ This has increased from around 25% to 30% in mid December

On 02 Jan 2022, around 2.9% of NHS staff in England were off work through #Covid19 related reasons.
In Wales the staff sickness rate due to Covid19 doubled over the Xmas period from 0.9% to 2.1%. It is lower than at the start of the pandemic.

Rightwards arrow The % of staff self isolating also increased over the two weeks from 0.9% to 1.5%.

◾️#Covid19 was involved in 6.5% of deaths across Eng/Wales for the most recent week

◾️ 93.5 % of deaths were non Covid19

London which saw the Omicron wave hit first have seen the week on week change in cases showing a decline for several days
If you throw in all the other English regions you can see while cases are growing (because they are above the grey area) the rate of growth is coming down - good news.

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More from @statsjamie

7 Jan
🚨🚨 Mark Drakeford - ‘The latest figures suggest staff absences from illness and isolation across the Welsh NHS is 8.3%’

FACT CHECK

➡️ 3.6% of staff are absent from work for Covid-19 related reasons ❌

He is including other reasons for sickness which is disingenuous
Those staff who are off sick for other reasons should not be included.

Data in England over the past month shows little difference in the numbers of staff absent for non Covid reasons.

There are more staff absent for non Covid reasons than those absent due to Covid.
Read 4 tweets
6 Jan
🚨🚨 Covid19 cases in Wales are up 50% week on week.

Cases per 100k at record reported levels - signs the positivity rate (% of tests positive) peaking

➡️ Cases less relevant with #Omicron more transmissible - patients in intensive care up to 35 from 31 (53 unoccupied beds)
Wales - 13% increase in past week in #Covid19 patients in ventilated beds & 73% lower than last year

➡️ Patients in general beds up 89% but 60% lower than last year

Deaths linked to #Covid19 in Wales have been trending down for about 6 weeks and currently 91% lower than this time last year.

With significant rises in cases and daily figures those reported with a positive test - total deaths from all causes will be a better metric this winter
Read 6 tweets
6 Jan
Chat (video thread) with @rickedwards1 on the latest #Covid situation across the UK

◼️ Seeing a rapid rise in cases across the country and England has the lowest case rate

◼️ More patients in hospitals but good news is we are seeing little change in patients in intensive care
◼️ Deaths 83% lower than this time last year and vast majority of most vulnerable had a booster vaccine

◼️ Likely we will see an increase in deaths but remember the daily deaths figures are people who die with a positive test - so need to look at total deaths to get real picture
◼️ 61% of patients in intensive care unvaccinated. If you compare two people with similar characteristics, the unvaxxed person is more likely to be admitted than the vaxxed person

Varies by age and personal characteristics. We know those who are obese are overrepresented in ICU
Read 4 tweets
5 Jan
🚨🚨 Covid19 cases in Wales are up 78% week on week.

Both cases per 100k and the positivity rate (% of tests positive) at record reported levels.

➡️ Cases less relevant with #Omicron so much more transmissible - patients in intensive care up to 36 from 32 (55 unoccupied beds)
Wales - 14% increase in past week in #Covid19 patients in ventilated beds & 72% lower than last year

➡️Patients in general beds up 88% but 63% lower than last year

Deaths linked to #Covid19 in Wales have been trending down for about 6 weeks and currently 92% lower than this time last year.

With significant rises in cases and daily figures those reported with a positive test - total deaths from all causes will be a better metric this winter
Read 6 tweets
5 Jan
🚨🚨 @rickedwards1 reading a text from listener on BBC 5 live - ‘The unvaccinated are blocking the hospitals impose vaccine passports everywhere’

➡️ Do they read any old misinformation these days?

➡️ Where are the facts that unvaccinated are blocking up hospitals?
For the latest week there are just under 1 in 5 patients in critical care have Covid19 - regardless of vaccine status.

There are more unoccupied beds than Covid patients.

46% of admissions with Covid overall are unvaccinated.

In Wales the average age of Covid patients is 74
I have had two vaccines myself and not opposed to them at all. Get the booster if you want one - if your vulnerable they can be the difference between serious illness or not.

But the media keep peddling attacks on unvaccinated every day with false information.
Read 4 tweets
4 Jan
🚨🚨 Boris Johnson - ‘To travel to some countries you need a booster to be considered fully vaccinated and its likely within weeks this will become the norm’

➡️ He is quite clearly about to remove the Covid pass from millions who are double vaccinated if they do not get booster
A booster wont stop you catching Covid-19 or passing it on. Its is a milder variant and millions also had Covid.

Absolute nonsense to mandate everyone to have a booster to live their lives for a variant that is significantly less worse to put an impact on NHS.
My point about Boris Johnson does not relate to other countries asking for it - its when he changes it in this country to go to the theatre etc.
Read 4 tweets

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