IMO, AB Health is falsely inflating age 5-11 stats, using 2 separate gambits:
1. Mixing kids who got regular, adult dose for turning 12 in 2021 into current age 5-11 getting paediatric doses now. 2. Poaching doses from age "Unknown".
So let's look at these 2 footnotes and process them.
"Note 1: individuals who received a first dose in one age category may cross into another age category for a second or third dose."
That makes sense.
eg. Someone who got 1st Dose at age 44, and 2nd Dose at age 45, moves UP into older age group.
Same regular, adult dose too.
"Note 2: The age group 5-11 year olds includes those who received the Pfizer-BioNTech Comirnaty pediatric COVID-19 vaccine and those who were eligible to receive the Pfizer-BioNTech Comirnaty COVID-19 vaccine because they were 11 but would turn 12 in 2021."
Say WHAT now?
Note 2 says:
• Kids who are all 12 now
• who got REGULAR, ADULT doses throughout 2021 because they would turn 12 in 2021
• are being pulled back DOWN into age 5-11
• to mix their numbers with kids getting PAEDIATRIC doses since 25 Nov 2021.
ie. Opposite to Note 1.
WHY?
Referring to my thread 2 wks ago, if this:
• pulling kids age 12 who got regular adult doses
• into the stats for age 5-11 getting paediatric doses
• OPPOSITE to natural shift in all ages
• is the right thing to do...
Why did AB Health wait until the 20 Dec stats to do it?
AB Health needs to disclose exactly how many kids:
• are still age 5-11
• got paediatric doses
• in their regular daily updates
• and how many kids who turned 12 in 2011 - who got regular, adult doses - that they juiced into age 5-11
• and move those kids back to age 12-14
Poaching doses from age "Unknown".
I did say at the beginning of today's thread that there were two (2) gambits.
• age 12, already shown.
I had to do a lot of thinking last week, and too much time with spreadsheets, to show the second gambit.
Between 19 and 20 Dec 2021's stats, AB Health:
• quietly moved 18,621 doses from age "Unknown" to age 5-11
• while total 1st Doses had only gone up 4,578 doses
This looks more like intentional deception than mere incompetence. At the least, negligence.
Let's zoom out a bit in my spreadsheet, built exclusively from AB Health's own stats.
• age 5-11 stats started Fri 25 Nov, with stats from opening weekend ending Sun 28 Nov on the Monday after
• 6,139 doses per day on opening weekend
• then 4,248 doses/day until 19 Dec.
OK.
From Mon 20 Dec 2021, to latest stats provided Friday, up to Thu 6 Jan 2022:
Daily pace of vaccination continued to fall since opening weekend 6,139 doses/day to only 1,129.
Not enough to pretend this age group was vaccinated enough to return to school in January.
As I showed in my previous thread, in total, between 19 and 20 Dec, AB Health:
• moved 31,531 doses (Dose 1, 2 & 3) from "Unknown"
• while age 5-11 went up by 34,935
• in one day
• even though Total Doses across ALL age groups for ALL Doses (mostly 3rd) went up by 35,825.
This juicing of age 5-11 stats from age "Unknown" even pumped up the 2nd Doses:
•" Unknown" down 12,899
• age 5-11 up 12,985
• but Total 2nd Doses across all ages only up 2,099
Age 5-11 only got 107,626 1st doses since 25 Nov.
Yet on 20 Dec they got 12,985 2nd doses?!
🐴💩
But wait - it gets even more ridiculous:
3rd Doses. Boosters!
• To age 5-11
• On 20 December 2021
• Even though only age 18+ is eligible, after 5+ months
• Or age 12 under specific immunocompromised conditions
In my opinion, based on bona fide belief from information that AB Health & Education have provided, it appears:
• AB Health is deceiving Albertans about low child vaccination levels
• to get parents to send those kids to school anyway.
Nationally, age 5-11 has 1st dose coverage of 45.63%.
Even with falsely inflated stats, Alberta is showing 38%.
Nationally, age 5-11 has 2nd dose coverage of 2.03%.
Because of falsely inflated stats, Alberta is showing 4.1%
I've taken the liberty of annotating @bcCOVID19group Dr Karlen's Alberta Graph by adding:
• translation for log scale to 100, 1000, 10,000 etc
• AHS baseline 173 & maximum 380 ICU capacity
• previous record Hospitalization from AB Health
Looking at graphs from individual provinces & territories on RELATIVE scale - ie, based on the peak for each region, not the same scale for all:
• AB testing peaked 2nd Wave; steady 📉drop since
• SK still at Delta levels; ignoring Omicron
• BC, ON, PQ etc all keeping 📈up.
First, let me take you exactly to where to find these results:
• for now, it is the only graph on the "Wastewater" tab
• hosted at @ucalgaryCHI, the results are province-wide including years of innovative work by @UAlberta, @UCalgary, @ACWAWater et al
Now, although the CMOH said on 7 Dec 2021 it was just about here, after that I could find no information from CMOH, AB Health, or GoA about where to find the website, or how to use it.
It is as if the Gov had been suppressing this information for so long, it sorta squeezed out.
Yesterday, the CMOH made some claims about the health system impact in the UK that are demonstrably untrue, at least with the UK's official stats that were available at the time.
"In countries like the UK and Denmark, where Omicron is spreading widely, their early reports of health system impact indicate that hospital and ICU admissions are not rising as quickly as in previous waves."
Tender shoots of good news emerging from the frozen IPAC ground covering LTC, DSL and Hospices:
• for those with family or family there
• who work there
• who care about the people who work there
See Q&A: "COVID-19 Requirements for Licensed Supportive Living, Long-Term Care & Hospice Settings" with PPE improvements for:
• staff option: fit-tested N95, non-fit tested N95, or seal-checked KN95
• visitor option: seal-checked KN95 or Blue Leakie™️ offered by facility
Staff:
"Effective immediately, and as supplies allow, it is recommended that all staff use either a well-
fitted surgical/procedure mask OR a seal-checked respirator continuously while on shift."
No more BlueLeakie™️ for the undervalued HCAs caring for infected residents.