It’s not easy to separate issues, but I think the reaction to Monday’s @wto meeting has been overblown.

The main question: will an online meeting of ministers right now help break the deadlock over the intellectual property waiver?

Even some waiver-supporters said “no”.

1/4
Those who want an online meeting of ministers at this stage have to explain how they think it would help break the deadlock.

This ⬇️ is what happens in a virtual meeting of ministers from the whole WTO.

#TRIPSwaiver @DimitriEynikel

2/4 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/01/10/no-…
So, a stream of prepared speeches, sequenced by time zone, no interaction.

No surprise that some pro-waiver countries are sceptical too.

ACP coordinator is Vanuatu. What time will it be in Vanuatu when EU and US speak?

#TRIPSwaiver @DimitriEynikel

3/4 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/01/10/no-…
Does this prevent WTO members from discussing the waiver? No. They will continue to discuss the waiver in the WTO’s intellectual property (TRIPS) Council and the overall response to the pandemic in the General Council, both informally and formally.

4/4 wto.org/english/news_e…

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More from @CoppetainPU

5 Jan
This is an interesting development. Some observations:

1. EUA = emergency use authorisation

2. As a least-developed country, Bangladesh is not *required* to protect patents (or any intellectual property) under the WTO agreement.

3. But ...
3. But Bangladesh does have a patent law, 110 years old, from 1911. It has been drafting a new law since 2012, apparently not yet completed.

wto.org/english/tratop… (page 83)

4. It's unclear from the news story ...
5. It's unclear from the news story if Bangladesh's approval of Bexovid (the generic version of Paxlovid) is under procedures for patented products within the law, or because the drug's patent is not registered in Bangladesh.

6. The news story says ...

economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/healt…
Read 5 tweets
3 Jan
A New Year gift for Trade Twitter

Work in the @wto is increasingly “plurilateral” = among part of the membership (“multilateral” = the whole membership)

Is it the way to go when WTO-wide consensus is elusive?

It’s controversial. There are pitfalls

1/7 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/01/03/17-…
This is an attempt to explain plurilaterals. It’s in 2 parts:

• General explanation, including political and legal pitfalls
• The plurilaterals, each in a nutshell. There are 17, so I’m afraid it’s long, from e-commerce to environment and trade

2/7 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/01/03/17-…
Plurilaterals are not new. They date back at least to the 1960s and 1970s under the pre-WTO GATT.

5 are now fully multilateral WTO agreements
2 are still plurilateral
2 have been scrapped

3/7 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/01/03/17-…
Read 7 tweets
12 Dec 21
COVID-19 situation in Switzerland 🇨🇭 this weekend

1. Case numbers at record high but testing is also high
2. Hospitalisations and deaths rising

1/6 covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ti… Image
Bear in mind testing in 🇨🇭 is now much higher than it used to be. Not surprising that detected cases are also high.

But that doesn't explain hospitalisations and deaths

2/6 covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ti… Image
Vaccination rates in 🇨🇭 are not brilliant, particularly (but not only) in the German-speaking east

3/6 covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ti… Image
Read 6 tweets
7 Dec 21
The 12th WTO Ministerial Conference #MC12 is postponed. What now?

Can ambassadors get close to agreement on their own? They couldn’t in November.

And can ministers find the necessary compromises on Zoom?

Fingers crossed. With @BobWolfeSPS

1/7 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/12/06/goo…
GOOD NEWS:

• ministers avoided embarrassment of a failed #MC12 meeting (although spin would have made it look like it achieved a lot, not just kicked cans)

• the approaching meeting focused minds, produced lots of work, before it was abandoned

2/7 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/12/06/goo… Image
THE BAD

There was so much members disagreed about, most of it with little sign of compromise. They couldn’t even agree on what to call the statement to be issued at the end of the Ministerial Conference #MC12

For now it’s a draft “outcome document”.

3/7 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/12/06/goo… Image
Read 7 tweets
1 Dec 21
NEW—document in the talks among 67 WTO members (EU=28) on streamlining domestic regulation of services.

This lists the countries that have submitted their “schedules” (lists) of commitments. Includes all the major traders = a “critical mass”

1/5 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S… ImageImageImage
In principle, those commitments would comply with WTO non-discrimination rules (“most-favoured nation”), meaning they would apply to service suppliers from all WTO members, including free-riding non-participants.

We have to see the details to confirm

2/5 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S… ImageImageImage
Members’ individual commitments are drafted according to a “reference paper” released yesterday.

That reference paper will probably not be legally binding (wait for tomorrow’s announcement), but the “schedules” of commitments will be, when certified

3/5
Read 8 tweets
26 Nov 21
Confirmed, it's an urgent informal meeting of the WTO General Council at 9.30 (in about 14 minutes) to discuss the deteriorating health situation, travel restrctions and possible alternative arrangements for the Ministerial Conference
The official Swiss announcement is now available in French, German, Italian but not yet English. Buttons to switch language at the top right

bag.admin.ch/bag/fr/home/da…
Bloomberg is reporting that the in-person Ministerial Conference is postponed. I'm waiting for confirmation
Read 4 tweets

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