Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Jan 18th, covering the days of Fri, Sat, Sun, Mon. 1/
Case/d: are no longer super useful, thanks to the narrowing testing criteria. I'll continue to report them, but won't compare to week previous, as this is meaningless. Fri: 6243, Sat 5362, Sat 4138, Sun 3691. (graph is similarly useless so won't be presented). 2/
Positivity: this remains useful. Remembering we're aiming for less than 5% positivity: fri: 38.22% (last wk 41.46%), Sat 35.23% (38.60%) Sun 37.32% (38.86%) 38.81% (38.48%). Essentially flat. 3/
Hospitalization: Inpt: MAJOR revisions going back more than a week. feel a need to document. Last Sun (the 9th) Sun +46 to 651 (revised from 642 Fri 637 Thurs 633 Wed 617 and Mon 563) (note the 88 case or 15.6% difference since first report). 4/
Mon +57 to 708 (revised from 688 Fri 680 Thurs 633 Wed and 628 Tues) Tues +33 to 741 (revised from 717 Fri 700 Thurs and 666 Wed) Wed +42 to 783 (revised from 749 Fri and 707 Thurs). thurs +41 to 824 (revised from 741 Fri. Note initially reported as a DROP of 8. 5/
Of course, all weekend #s subject to revision. Fri +49 to 873, Sat +12 to 885, Sun +60 to 845, Mon +40 to 985. 7d incr of 56.7% (in line with last wk's 50-60% growth. So ongoing exponential climb). note steeper rise than past curves. 6/
ICU: Thurs +2 to 82 (revised from 81 Fri). Fri +1 to 83, Sat +8 to 91, Sun +8 to 99, Mon +5 to 104. 7d rise of 28.3%, and seems to be accelerating. Paeds admits 45. incl. 7 to ICU, all under the age of 5. Horrors. 7/
Deaths: 32, including as previously mentioned, one child aged 5-9. 8/
Demographics: well, the only curve worth reporting is the 80+, as that's the only one we're consistently testing. guess what, it's rising. 9/
I don't know what to say folks. The powers that be seem to be ok with this. no new rules. no endorsement of respirators for you, the public. OK with overwhelmed hospitals, dying kids (3 since Jan 1st), devastated hcws. and it is going to get much much worse. 10/
You have to know we, the advocates, tried. but we're tired too. They are wearing us down with the ongoing gaslighting. We'll keep fighting for you, because we care about you. But they, and the virus, are winning. 11/
Two important and amazing @PopAlberta briefings coming your way. Wednesday: political panel, with the incredible
@UbakaOgbogu
@gthomsonink
@DuaneBratt
&
@Lorian_H
Thursday, our 2nd National Briefing, with amazing
@DFisman
@KatharineSmart
@Tortillou
@DrFiliatrault
and
@noelgibney.
You won't want to miss these. fin/
Thanks to @ArynToombs and AB Health for the graphics.

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More from @jvipondmd

Jan 15
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Fri Jan 14th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6326, a 0.2% drop from last Thurs's 6341. 7d ave now 5997 a 44.9% incr wk over wk from 4138. Positivity 37.88% compared to last Thurs 38.42% (essentially flat). Don't let the slight drop wk over wk lull you, changing test criteria make everything inaccurate. 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts. Last Fri +62 to 585 (revised from 681 yest 579 Wed 570 Tues 558 Mon) Sat +16 to 601 (revised from 595 yest 593 Wed 585 Tues and 555 Mon). Sun +41 to 642 (revised from 637 Yest 633 Wed 617 and Mon 563). 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 13
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Thurs Jan 13th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6002 a 22.7% incr from last Tues's 4892. 7d ave (back tomorrow, @ByMatthewBlack taking a day off) Positivity 40.91% up from last wks 39.17%. 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts. Fri +61 to 581 (revised from 579 yest 570 Tues 558 Mon) Sat +14 to 595 (revised from 593 yest 585 Tues and 555 Mon). Sun +42 to 637 (revised from 633 yest 617 and Mon 563). Mon +43 to 680 (revised from 633 yest and 628 Tues) 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jan 13
One thing we need to recognize is that we DON'T KNOW so much about Omicron, including the subacute and chronic effects. It's so different from past strains, it's not surprising it is a very different illness. We know it causes less pneumonitis, but what don't we know? 1/
Aside from LongCOVID effects, the other big unknown is the exact mortality curve. I've been watching South Africa, Denmark, and UK, and NONE of them have maxed out their death curve. 2/
For UK, cases peaked Jan 6th, and of course death is a lagging indicator. Danish cases are just peaking now (maybe). So we wouldn't expect either of these countries to have reached their peak deaths yet. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jan 12
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Jan 12th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6975 a 47.6% incr from last Tues's 4726. 7d ave 5848 a 55.7% incr wk over wk from 3757. Positivity 38.33% up from last wks 37.1%. 2/ ImageImageImageImage
Hospitalizations: inpts. Last Tues +49 to 470(revised from 466 yest 464 Mon 429 Fri 428 Thurs and 398 Wed) Wed +18 to 488 (revised from 482 yest 475 Mon 448 Fri 434 Thurs) Thurs +21 to 519 (revised from 510 yest 504 Mon 440 Fri) Fri +60 to 579 (revised from 570 yest 558 Mon) . 3/ Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 10
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Monday Jan 10th covering Fri/Sat/Sun. 1/
Cases/d: Fri 6282, a % incr over last Fri's 4445. Sat 6247, a % incr over last wk's 3252. Sun 5584 a % incr from last wk's 1991. Positivity Fri 41.55% (new pandemic record) (last Fri 34.52%) Sat 38.31% (34.35%) Sun 38.58% (27.95%). 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Tues +45 to 464 (revised from 429 Fri 428 Thurs and 398 Wed) Wed +15 to 475 (revised from 448 Fri 434 Thurs) Thurs -25 to 504 (revised from 440 Fri) All weekend #s subject to revision. Fri +54 to 558. Sat -3 to 555. Sun +8 to 563. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Jan 8
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Fri Jan 7th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6347 a 40.2% incr from last Thurs's 4528. Of course, new pandemic record (until next week) Positivity 38.22% compared with 39.05% yest and 32.90% last Thurs. 2/
Hospitalizations: Inpts: Tues +30 to 429 (revised from 428 yest and 398 Wed) Wed +19 to 448 (revised from 434 yest) Yest -8 to 440 (subject to revision). 7d change to Wed of 34% (yest 36%) ICU Wed -6 to 65 (revised from 64 yest) yest -1 to 64. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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