More from @Ayei_Eloheichem

CasualtiesOfTheDay

@Ayei_Eloheichem

Jan 20

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1483727429244178432

Biden confirms this reporting and essentially greenlights any Russian operation against Ukraine short of a full invasion:

"It depends on what it does. It's one thing if it's a minor incursion and we end up having to fight about what to do or not do"

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1483727429244178432

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1484011358765338626?s=20

Biden says any Russian attempt to cut off energy supplies to Europe would be "biting your nose off to spite your face" given that it's 45% of their income.

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1484011358765338626?s=20

Biden says Russian "banks will not be able to deal in dollars" if it invades, and that while it will win the war/occupy Ukraine, it will suffer terribly.

"Militarily, they have overwhelming superiority...but they'll pay a stiff price... near term, medium term, and long term"

Read 10 tweets

CasualtiesOfTheDay

@Ayei_Eloheichem

Jan 20

US reportedly approves the requests of #Estonia, #Latvia, and #Lithuania to rush their US weapons to #Ukraine as the likelihood of Russian invasion goes up to near certainty.

The Baltics have requested increased NATO presence, as well. politico.com/news/2022/01/1…

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1484001993052286979?s=20

This seems to have been done by the administration under pressure, as some of the requests are older than a week and the approval was only confirmed after POLITICO reported on them publicly.

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1484001993052286979?s=20

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1484001993052286979?s=20

The Biden administration has also reportedly FINALLY approved the arms package to Ukraine it's been holding up forever to appease Russia.

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1484001993052286979?s=20

Read 4 tweets

CasualtiesOfTheDay

@Ayei_Eloheichem

Jan 20

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1483913195848876036

Very much this. I think there's also a vast overestimation of the difficulty Russia would face in occupying all or most of the country.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1483913195848876036

Russia will steamroller Ukraine. If it wants, it could take Kyiv within less than a week. It won't be a proper war.

It'll look like 2003.

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1469090634472431616?t=4SRIli7bGwrQN2Obwjlz8g&s=19

Read 5 tweets

CasualtiesOfTheDay

@Ayei_Eloheichem

Jan 19

#Ukraine Defense Ministry's latest intelligence assessment seen by CNN says Russia has "almost completed" its deployment:

127,000 troops deployed (sea, air, land components)+>35K proxy forces+3000 Russians already in Donbas. cnn.com/2022/01/18/eur…

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1483606978840907777?s=20

#Ukraine Defense Ministry's latest intelligence assessment:

Since January, Russia moving "stockpiles of ammunition, field hospitals and security services" to border, increasing intelligence operations, and increasing Iskanders on border to 36 launchers.

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1483606978840907777?s=20

https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1483607569872859138?s=20

#Ukraine Defense Ministry's latest intelligence assessment: "The territory of #Belarus should be considered as a full-fledged theater of operations that #Russia can use to expand aggression against Ukraine"