Here are the clinical implications:
Canadian trial (CATCO) in hospitalized patients with #COVID19bit.ly/33uktIf
Compared to ACTT-1 trial bit.ly/3msi1In in patients on supplemental O2 as recommended by guidelines
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ACTT-1 Highly Significant Mortality Reduction in Patients on Supplemental Oxygen: bit.ly/3msi1In 2/
Both CATCO and ACTT-1 trials showed
-No liver or renal toxicity with remdesivir, and
-No safety differences between remdesivir and controls in over 2300 patients
Thus, both trials show that remdesivir is safe, prevents intubation, and reduces mortality
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These results strongly support current guidelines recommendations to treat #COVID19 hospitalized patients on O2 with remdesivir: @IDSA @NIHCOVIDTxGuide @ACPinternists @SCCM @ESCMID
Canadian Guideline
Australian Guideline
NICE-UK
Also many regulatory-eg FDA, EMA, Health Canada
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PINETREE bit.ly/32wh36D→remdesivir⬇️hospitalization/death (EARLY Tx)
ACTT1/CATCO→remdesivir⬇️intubation/death in hospitalized w/ O2 (LATE Tx)
Thus, is it ethical to not recommend it to hospitalized w/o O2 (MIDDLE Tx)-wait for worsening?
Time for guidelines’ update
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Both trials were not powered for subgroups-but most estimates favored remdesivir, and all 95%CIs overlapped➡️benefits cannot be distinguished by ordinal scores
Remdesivir benefits were independent of symptoms duration in both trials➡️indicates prolonged lung viral replication
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Length of lung viral replication varies individually
Viral load exposure, variant virulence, vaccine status, age, comorbidities, immunocompromise, clinical picture, and lung viral load are all relevant to maximize remdesivir treatment
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That is why the most optimal length of remdesivir therapy should be based on patient’s risks for prolonged viral replication/disease progression, and individual clinical recovery-not on a “fixed” duration
As we treat all our patients hospitalized with other severe infections
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Should CDC recommend #COVID19 rapid antigen test for asymptomatic isolation exit?
R antigen test:
Picks up 2/100 who are contagious
Allows 3/100 to exit isolation still contagious
No help in 95/100
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Antigen test has no utility to exit asymptomatic isolation and may harm
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FDA: Antigen test has a 60% false-negative rate in asymptomatic ppl at the infection start (screening)
Likely >60% at the infection end (isolation exit) → due to lower expected viral replication
But let’s use 60% assuming test will not lose performance at isolation exit
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CDC: 90-95% will not have any more replicable (no transmission) #Omicron at day 5
Asymptomatic at the infection end is even less contagious and
Vaccinated ppl are less likely to transmit
Thus the actual no transmission rate is >95%, but let’s use 95%
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