"A LEADING economist has called on the Scottish Government to stop publishing the Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland (GERS) figures, insisting they do not reflect the country’s financial position."
"He argues the GERS figures do not present Scotland’s real financial situation as some UK spending in reserved areas such as defence and foreign affairs is apportioned to the Scottish Government “as if” they spend it when they do not."
"He argues that the annual statistics are misinterpreted every year by opponents of independence who use them as a justification for remaining in the UK."
"However, Simpson argues that the ACTUAL DEFICIT between revenue raised and expenditure is ZERO as under the terms of the devolution settlement the Scottish Government is OBLIGED to balance its budget every year."
"Simpson argues another misinterpretation is the “deficit” is a reflection of poor management of the Scottish economy by the Scottish Government which he argues appears to be accepted by ministers."
"“Responsibility for the behaviour of the Scottish economy is a function RESERVED to the Westminster Government, and it is they who should be held accountable,” he adds."
LESS Westminster Partying and MORE ACCOUNTABILITY!
"The Scottish Government said: “The GERS figures reflect Scotland’s position within the UK – not independence – under which 40% of spending and 70% of revenue income is reserved to the UK Government."
“The pandemic has clearly demonstrated the need for increased financial powers for Scotland, including the FULL BORROWING POWERS that other countries have been able to use to support their economies during the coronavirus (Covid-19) crisis.”
"If Scotland’s fiscal balance was compiled according to recognised standards of national accounting, then the expenditure side of the balance would show expenditure by the Scottish Government."
Since the Scottish Government is OBLIGED by the devolution settlement always to balance is budget, Scotland’s fiscal deficit in the proper sense of that term is ZERO every year."
"But the expenditure side of the “fiscal balance” printed annually in GERS purports to show the value of expenditure by both the Scottish and UK Governments “for the BENEFIT of” Scotland."
"So far as I’m aware, no other country in the world publishes statistics that attempt to measure expenditures according to their supposed “BENEFIT”, for the simple reason that such measures are necessarily arbitrary and subjective.""
"In Scotland’s case, the “BENEFITS” include items like an apportionment of MoD spending in support of the Trident submarine base on the Clyde, as well as Saudi Arabia’s activities in Yemen."
Scotland says NO to #Trident so there's a saving right there!
"Other examples of UNWANTED expenditure by Whitehall Departments include payments of benefits for unemployment created by UK Government policies, and expenditure incurred in pursuit of external trade treaties that DISADVANTAGE Scottish economic interests."
"Yet another common misinterpretation of the “fiscal deficit” that appears in GERS is that it shows that political independence is “unaffordable”."
What of days before 'Union' in 1707 - Scotland was independent and will be again!
"While most informed commentators understand that a future independent Scottish Government will have very different patterns of spending and revenue than those shown in the “net fiscal balance” of today, ..."
"... this remains the most widespread misinterpretation of the “fiscal deficit”, enthusiastically disseminated by the Unionist media."
"It is not an accident that this should have happened, since the idea of publishing a “net fiscal balance” was dreamed up by the UK Government 50 years ago with the specific intention of rubbishing Scottish independence."
"It was drawn up and published by the Treasury in the wake of the 1967 Hamilton by-election to show the Scottish people that they were being subsidised by England."
This comment ought to say - that Scots were deliberately lied to by UK Government!
"The economic cost to Scotland of our dependency on England is of course not measured in the so-called “net fiscal balance”."
"It is to be measured by the incomes, jobs and tax revenues that have been FORGONE as a result of the slower rate of growth of the economy because of its mismanagement under the Union."
DISADVANTAGES NOT BENEFITS - from Union!
"This has happened as a consequence of Scotland being unable to choose those economic policies that suited its needs, but has had to rely instead on periodic hand-outs. As old Chinese metaphor has it, it’s better for a man to learn how to fish than to be given a fish every day."
Scotland can leave the fishin' to others BUT first, let's get back to the Future!
"GERS does not reflect the actions of the Scottish Government in Holyrood, after all. Much of the income recorded in it has nothing to do with the Scottish Government, which never sees it."
"And nor come to that does Holyrood have control of much of the spend that GERS supposedly records. Instead that spend is incurred by Westminster - which - and let's be honest about this - has no real clue if the benefit is for Scotland or not."
Westminster thinking is 🏴biased!
"The figure is just apportioned to Scotland as if that is the case, whether that can ever be justified."
"So what GERS represents is some weird amalgam of income and expenditure, which as I have perviously noted are not accounted for on the same basis."
"What is more, the amalgam makes no sense because there is NO ONE WHO IS RESPONSIBLE for either all that income or all that expenditure, let alone the interaction between them."
"So, whether or not the figures are correct - and there are good reasons to doubt that in the case of the data from Westminster - publishing them tells us nothing useful because there is no one who is responsible for managing the outcomes that GERS supposedly reports."
"You could not come up with a better definition of meaningless accounting data than that."
Try, Gobbledygook?!? 🤣
"What is certain is that the Scottish Government is not responsible for the claimed Scottish deficit: It cannot manage income and expenditure that is not devolved to it."
"And, as a matter of fact the Scottish Government balances its budget. In that case the only obvious conclusion to draw is that the Scottish deficit must be the SOLE RESPONSIBILITY of Westminster government."
'Creative Accounting' or sleight of hand, shifting responsibility!
"So, the question to ask is why in that case is this a Scottish Government report?"
"And if Westminster is responsible for much of the GERS data - which is the case for all the information that creates a reported deficit in Scotland - then why isn't it the UK Government’s name on the report?"
"If the UK Government did accept responsibility for the report it would have to accept responsibility for the utterly implausible claim that so much of the UK GOVERNMENT DEFICIT can be attributable to so few people in Scotland."
"And it too would be responsible for suggesting why that deficit has continued for so long and why Scotland has not, to use its jargon, been "levelled up". What GERS actually shows, after all, is a dismal record of Westminster RULE of Scotland."
"Westminster would also have to explain why it wants to retain Scotland when GERS suggests it is such a burden on the rest of UK, because what GERS would, if it was a Westminster government report, do is provide English nationalist reason for supporting Scottish independence."
"GERS is a con-trick intended to make Scotland look bad."
"But so too is the devolution settlement on finance, most especially when any attempt that Scotland makes to raise its own revenues results in that money largely being clawed back by Westminster by reducing the block grant,..."
"...leaving Scotland more highly taxed but no better off, with England getting a Scottish subsidy instead."
"There is no obvious way out for the prime minister. It was not a one-off, it was not an ambiguous situation, it definitely happened. That hasn’t stopped him trying all of those excuses, it has just meant each time one fell down marked another full news cycle of the scandal."
"Johnson’s personal ratings are in the toilet, his party now lags hugely behind in the polls, and just like phone hacking the scandal stretches beyond just government. The Sun faces questions having had its deputy editor, James Slack, as the central figure of one of the parties."
"The Met Police are comprehensively failing to look anything other than incompetent in their response: they have, somehow, prioritised a civil servants’ investigation over their own, handily ignored the presence of police in Number 10,"
"Britain’s welfare system is “unfit for purpose” and in urgent need of reform, experts warned on Sunday amid fears that millions more families will struggle to make ends meet amid the dual pressures of the pandemic and the spiralling cost-of-living crisis."
"The soaring price of food and rent, along with energy bills – which are expected to more than double in April when the price cap is lifted, bringing the number of households under “fuel stress” to at least 6 million –"
"is forcing families to choose between basic essentials such as food and heat, the experts said, while growing numbers are being forced into debt and relying on food banks."
"The longer this corrupt and hypocritical government limps on, the greater the risk it does long-term damage to public trust in the institutions of democracy."
"How can citizens trust a government to act in their interest while it wheels out ludicrous announcements that serve no purpose other than attempting to bolster a prime minister mired in crisis after crisis?"
"Nowhere is this true more than with Covid. During an ongoing national emergency, it is critical the public trusts the government to take decisions for the right reasons, based on evidence rather than its desire to capture the news cycle."
"On Thursday, William Wragg, the chair of the public administration committee, claimed there had been attempted blackmail involving threats to funding in the constituencies of his fellow Conservative MPs who backed a confidence vote on Boris Johnson’s leadership."
"No 10 dismissed the allegations and said they would only be investigated if any evidence was presented."
This raises the questions: "Who would investigate the 'concerns raised'" and "Does No 10 not consider it relevant to question alleged actions of Whips?"
"He added: “I think the claims have been unsubstantiated, as the prime minister said, he hadn’t seen any evidence. I haven’t seen any evidence of this. Any allegation of that seriousness should be looked into and would have consequences if it is found to be true.”"