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Jan 25 • 5 tweets • 4 min read
Wow – China just built more offshore wind capacity, in 2021 alone, than the rest of the world had managed in the last 5yrs put together

Its 26GW now accounts for half of the world's 54GW total

Also, it added twice as much in 2021 as IEA had forecast in…December 2021
The UK was previously the world's number one nation for installed offshore wind capacity, with 10GW

China just built 1.5x that amount in a single year…🤯
Here's the link to reporting of the numbers from China's National Energy Administration, by state broadcaster CCTV

news.cctv.com/2022/01/25/ART…

UK figures here
renewableuk.com/page/UKWEDhome…

IEA here
iea.org/articles/renew…

IRENA
pxweb.irena.org/pxweb/en/IRENA…
Just to be explicit: I took global figures through 2020 from IRENA (thanks for making dataset free + downloadable)

I took China 2021 from NEA as reported by CCTV

And I took RoW 2021 from the IEA's 2021 forecast, published in December
Since you asked, some context on China…

1) Its emissions in 2021 were 5.5% up on 2019
carbonbrief.org/global-co2-emi…

2) It gets ~84% of its energy from fossil fuels
carbonbrief.org/qa-what-does-c…

3) Rapid CO2 incr in early 2021 now slowing
carbonbrief.org/analysis-china…

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More from @DrSimEvans

Simon Evans Profile picture
Jan 24
Surprised to see @timesredbox letting @cmackinlay repeat a slew of wholly inaccurate lines in his column on UK energy policy today

He did at least get one thing right: Soaring energy bills are due to the high price of gas

THREAD

1/
Let's start with the positive:

As Craig admits, soaring energy bills are due to high wholesale gas prices

As I showed in my latest analysis, nearly 90% of the increase is due to gas, with the rest mostly due to supplier failure; policy costs are falling

carbonbrief.org/analysis-cutti…
Unfortunately, that's about all Craig gets right

He implies electricity price rises over the past decade are due to renewables…

…but doesn't find space to mention that gas prices are now triple the level in 2002 (his chosen year)

Guess what else has tripled since then?
Read 7 tweets
Simon Evans Profile picture
Jan 20
NEW

My latest analysis on the UK's billion-pound bill for Cameron deciding in 2013 to "get rid of the green crap"

Result?

Energy bills are now £2.5bn higher than they would have been, if climate policies had not been scrapped

1/
carbonbrief.org/analysis-cutti…
Many will remember infamous 2013 Sun frontpage, which reported then-PM David Cameron's "solution to soaring energy prices" as "get rid of the green crap"

Since bills are once again making the headlines, we thought we'd check what has happened…

2/
carbonbrief.org/analysis-cutti…
The results of "getting rid of the green crap" were immediate and long-lasting:

📉loft insulation rates fell 92%
🧱cavity walls down 74%
🏘️1m new inefficient homes
🌪️onshore wind growth stalled

3/
carbonbrief.org/analysis-cutti…
Read 10 tweets
Simon Evans Profile picture
Dec 1, 2021
The @IEA has increased its renewable growth forecast by 40% since last year

It now expects growth to average more than 300GW/yr over the next 5yrs

Renewables would reach 4,800GW, topping the combined capacity of the world's fossil fuel & nuclear plants

iea.org/reports/renewa…
The massive boost in near-term renewable prospects is shown in IEA figure 1.2, with growth over the next 5yrs topping 1,800GW vs the 5yr forecast of 1,300GW last year (chart shld say "2020 and 2021")

It says this is driven by "growing policy momentum"

iea.org/reports/renewa…
The IEA points to examples including China's new targets for 2030, national efforts in the EU towards higher 2030 targets and increased ambition under the Biden administration in the US

iea.org/reports/renewa…
Read 11 tweets
Simon Evans Profile picture
Nov 8, 2021
On way into stocktaking plenary #COP26

First big test for the formal talks…
Reminder on things they'll be discussing:

Glasgow "cover decision"

And of course the rest of the negotiations, including Article 6 cooperation including carbon markets

Read 54 tweets
Simon Evans Profile picture
Nov 5, 2021
Long train journey so some reflections on current draft #COP26 texts

Are they close to a deal?

TL;DR very very long way to go in key areas including transparency, Article 6, common timeframes etc
In Article 6, latest texts include multiple refs to human rights, recalling the Paris text

(but NB non binding "should"…)
(See our Article 6 primer for background

carbonbrief.org/in-depth-q-and… )
Read 12 tweets
Simon Evans Profile picture
Nov 5, 2021
NEW

Overnight at #COP26 we've had new texts on Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, covering cooperation including carbon markets

At first glance they've made slow progress, only getting down to 296 [bracketed / disputed] bits of text vs 378 at the start of the week
The texts are a little tidier and easier to read, but eg here on the transition of Kyoto credits into Article 6 there are additional options

L: 2 Nov
R: 5 Nov

(5 Nov expclicitly includes "CERs shall not be used")
Here are the texts

Article 6.2 unfccc.int/sites/default/…
Article 6.4 unfccc.int/sites/default/…
Article 6.8 unfccc.int/sites/default/…
Read 4 tweets

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