Article 6.2 in particular includes a very lengthy to-do list of items that would be kicked down the road for later
There's pretty much 4 pages of "let's work this out later"
As with Article 6.4, there's disagreement over whether there's a need to apply "corresponding adjustments" to avoid double counting for emissions cuts "outside" the sectors, gases [and policies and measures] covered by an NDC
(Note the brackets around the 2nd paragraph)
There's also a developed be developing country fight over whether to use a "share of proceeds" to finance adaptation and "overall mitigation" under Article 6.2, as well as under 6.4
Article 6.4 is even more contentious, with big disagreements remaining over double counting and the transition of Kyoto credits/activities (potential hot air) into Paris mechanism
Other unresolved issues include the methodology for ensuring emissions cuts are additional to what would have happened anyway
One option would give wide leeway on how to do this…
On transparency -critical to check if countries live up to promises- the big fight is over "flexibility" for developing countries to not report fully - and whether they have to explicitly flag when they opt to use this "FLEX"
(AFAIU "No text" would mean not needing to fess up)
On "common time frames" for NDCs, the text remains packed full of nine (9!) separate options, covering all possible combinations of 5, 10, 5+5, 5 or 10 years (and more I haven't listed)
That's it from me
Here's my earlier analysis of brackets in Article 6 texts, which is fairly crude but, having looked more closely, a fair indication of how much remains unresolved in the text
UK govt has finally published details of its heat & buildings strategy, which will be out in full tomorrow
🎯new gas boiler ban* from 2035
💷£3.9bn funding inc £450m for heat pumps
📜shift levies off electricity bills over 10yrs
🔥decision on hydrogen heat in 2026
THREAD
First, why does this matter?
The UK's way off track against its legally-binding climate goals, inc net-zero by 2050 & the interim carbon budgets for late 2020s onwards
We can expect more on how govt expects to close gap tomorrow (?) w publication of delayed UK net-zero strategy
But heat and buildings probably the trickiest area in political terms: it's up close & personal, it could be disruptive – low-carbon heat's currently expensive
"We would like to thank Dervilla Mitchell (Director of Arup) and Paul Stein (Chief Technology Officer, Rolls-Royce plc) for leading the briefing sessions and development of this advice."
On net-zero, the @OBR_UK chapter is a really detailed and nuanced look at the costs, benefits and risks of (not) acting on climate change, over 69 dense pages