Block View
The whales ratio (1) in block view was indicating an incoming lift up (pump) by dumping itself showing less BTC sent by whales. Since then the whales ratio is rising again.
Also our whales ratio 30block average (2) is confirming that move. However, it maintains now its high level. We need to see what happens in the next few hours. If it keeps falling that would indicate less pressure and would allow BTC to lift up in price even more.
As you can see, we had some big netflow activity (3) indicating here incoming big inflows. Today the netflow chart shows more positive netflows than negative ones, also indicating more tokens arriving on exchanges.
Once again, we can detect a rising activity to total transferred tokens related to a positive (rising) price action, while exchanges like Coinbase, Bitfinex and Gemini were more linked to sell activities. As tweeted yesterday several times, we noticed big inflows from those
mentioned exchanges indicating that thoese whales are selling the way up.
Future Trading
Hourly View
It’s not surprising me that our funding rate (1) is rising indicating more demand for longs than for shorts (within the last 8 hours) after the recent pump. Interesting here is,
they liquidated shorts while we pumped and the leverage ratio declined at the same time, indicating we had a lot of high leverage shorts too. However, the leverage ratio is rising again. It seems they are placing high leverage longs at the moment. In case we will dump instead,
Exchange Walls
#1 - Bitfinex | Walls: Upper at 46.6k, Lower at 22.2k
Inspos Conclusion and personal trade strategy
Well, no big changes since yesterday. We have received a lot of new BTC and I doubt we have dumped all of them. Today even stock markets didn’t show any big activity and so crypto just moved between a trade range of 35.8k - 37.2k.
I stick to my plan of yesterday. I’m shorting the way up with low leverage, in case they will pump hard and surprise me, I can exit with less loss. But I see a rising volume the way up, indicating we have still a big pressure as soon as we reach 37.2k. Even if I would expect more
positive price action heading 38k and even 40k would be possible in my opinion, at the moment I think, based on the data, that we are forming a fake rally as it happenend in the dump phases in 2021 also. In other words, I expect a rising price to 40k ( +/- 2k) and dump afterwards
That should be our last dump before we can pump hard back to our old upper levels. Keep in mind, that our max pain is at 42k. So, a good reason to lift up more.
As I usual say, use the data to make your own conclusions. I just share my trade strategy to give you an idea, but
that’s not an advise at all!
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Because of my delayed analysis today, I would like to share a paid sub analysis of yesterday with all of you. Paid subs will received something else instead soon. To make clear, the report is from yesterday!
As mentioned today in my daily analysis I have detected some interesting patterns related to the Whales Ratio 30D Average.
What does it mean? The whales ratio only indicates whether whales send BTC to exchanges, not how much. However, zooming out it shows you very clear
distribution preparations. Keep in mind, that we are using a 30 Days Average here.
Whales prepare their distribution sending their tokens to exchanges when nobody is expecting that. While we are still lifting up in price, everyone is expecting the next ATH and FOMOying, while
🚨🚨 Bitcoin Quick Market Update
Hourly View
Our hourly looks good at the moment. Whales ratio is declining, price action rising. Netflows showing bigger outflows. Yesterday we had a lot of inflows and a big sell pressure.
We need to see what happens next and if the whales ratio keeps falling. Then I would expect 38k first. If the inflows keeps declining too, I would expect a retrace back to 38k first.
Block View
Our block view also indicating more a bullish trend now. That’s a short-term view.
That can flip quick, but at the moment it looks good to me, to see 38k soon. Of course it depends also on the buy pressure. If they want to accumulate at 35k, we will maintain this price level a while. However, at the moment it doesn’t look that bearish. But we need to check all
🚨🚨 Quick Update: Hourly view showing they are just selling, but the netflow showing a nice negative netflow indicating big outflows. However, we have received more inflows. So, we should expect more sell pressure.
We can't compare the current "sell-off" with the sell pressure of the weeks before. The whales ratio is falling. Indicating no more constant whales tokens flowing in. That could be a sign that we will lift up at least heading to 40k as expected. But we need patience.
The block view showing the same. Big outflows detected in the last few hours no big positive netflows detected. I think thats indicating that they are selling remaining tokens on exchanges. So, we are not done yet, but we should lift up a bit, still expecting 40k, first.
Hourly View
Since 18Jan22 the whales ratio (1) was rising indicating more incoming whales tokens to exchanges. But our whales ratio 30h average (2) is here key, showing the dump preparation.
Since yesterday its falling again indicating that we can expect less sell pressure soon, but we should keep in mind that we have detected big positive netflows (4) since midnight. We need to observe the indicator in the next hours but if it keeps falling, we should lift up again.
In my opinion back to 40k first. But as we know today we have a big day due the epic expiry on stock markets. So, we need to be careful anyway. However, also interesting is the fact, that the exchange reserves in stablecoins has fallen by almost $5 billion since christmas.
🚨🚨 Quick Update: We are heading our predicted level of 41.5k. We have retraced at 41.8k and as we are almost oversold on hourly RSI I wouldn't expect much more dump now. Imo we will lift up to 42.4k first. But it seems #Binance is not done yet. 😜 However it
feels very controlled. They let it fall and exchanges like FTX, Bitfinex and Coinbase are buying the way down it seems. Their activity rises and the price lift up a bit next indicating a rising buy pressure.
Our hourly view shows that our whales ration reached the top twice and both are linked with big positive netflows. One transaction of almost 8,000 #BTC and 3 hours ago another one with almost 1,800 #BTC.
🚨🚨 Market Update: Hourly View
Since last night the whales ratio (1) has started to rise again indicating an incoming sell pressure by whales. As we can also see at our whales ratio 30D average (2), it liefted up since yesterday and is declining right now.
That would indicate less sell pressure and the opportunity to lift up again a bit. The netflow (3) on hourly view doesn’t show any big movement yet. Only a netflow of almost 500 BTC few hours ago, indicating more inflows than outflows. Interesting here, this netflow wasn’t
purely generated by whales, indicating that retailers are selling too now.
Block View
Our block view shows us what happenend since midnight. The whales ratio (1) has started to lift up again and maintained its top level between 0.9 - 1.0 indicating incoming tokens on exchanges