Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Jan 25, covering the days of Fri/Sat/Sun/Mon 1/
Knowing that the Cases/d metric is pretty much useless now thanks to limited testing, ftr cases/d Fri 4033, Sat 2642, Sun 1751, Mon 2951. 2/
Positivity is a more useful measure. Fri 38.38 (last Fri 38.64%), Sat 33.79% (35.53%), Sun 36.19% (37.72%), Mon 42.75% (39.27%) (new pandemic record). Of note Calgary Zone at 53.51%, also new pandemic record for any zone. 3/
Hospitalization: Inpt: Last Fri +58 to 891 (revised fro885 Fri 883 Thurs 882 Wed and 873 Tues) Last Sat +16 to 907 (revised from 901 Fri 899 Thurs 894 Wed and 885 Tues) Last Sun +71 to 978(revised from 970 Fri 966 Thurs 957 Wed and 945 Tues) 3/
Last Mon +79 to 1057 (revised from 1040 Fri Thurs1034 yest 1022 Wed and 985 Tues) Tues +13 to 1070 (revised from 143 Fri 1031 Thurs and 993 Wed) Wed +33 to 1103 (revised from 1068 Fri and 1023 Thurs) Thurs +50 to 1153 (revised from 1084 Fri). 4/
(all weekend #s subject to revision): Fri +44 to 1197, Sat +1 to 1198 Sun +43 to 1241, Mon +25 to 1266 (another pandemic record) 7d incr to Thurs 38.4% (Fri 40.2% Thurs 45.6% Wed 46.3% and Tues 56.7%) 5/
ICU Wed +1 to 112 (revised from 111 Fri)(new #weararespiratorwave record) . Thurs -2 to 109 (revised from 107 Fri). Fri -2 to 107, Sat nil change to 107, Sun +4 to 111 Mon nil change to 111. 6/
Paeds admits 42, including 2 to ICU, one age 5-9 one age 10-19. total Deaths 54!!!!!! (alert alert alert, that's an average reported of 13.5/day). Includes 5 under the age of 50. 7/
Characteristics: 80+ age group dropping, which, along with dropping wastewater #s, may indicate that we've hit peak cases/d. 8/
Too worn down and tired to opine today. I'll share a few of my favourite news stories from the last few days, for your perusal. First, a republished version of our op/ed, which includes a nod to the importance of multidisciplinary engagement. 9/ healthydebate.ca/2022/01/topic/…
Second, a nod to Japan. We should learn from those who have done better (way way better) than us. 10/ nytimes.com/2022/01/24/opi…
Finally, how we've done a disservice to our children by reopening without making their classrooms safe(r) spaces. fin/ montreal.ctvnews.ca/opinion-public…
Thanks to @ArynToombs and AB Health for the graphics.
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Hospitalization: Inpt: Last Tues +14 to 1071 (revised from 1070 yest 1043 Fri 1031 Thurs and 993 Wed) Wed +35 to 1106 (revised from 1103 yest 1068 Fri and 1023 Thurs) Thurs +52 to 1158 (revised from 1153 yest and 1084 Fri). 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Jan 18th, covering the days of Fri, Sat, Sun, Mon. 1/
Case/d: are no longer super useful, thanks to the narrowing testing criteria. I'll continue to report them, but won't compare to week previous, as this is meaningless. Fri: 6243, Sat 5362, Sat 4138, Sun 3691. (graph is similarly useless so won't be presented). 2/
Positivity: this remains useful. Remembering we're aiming for less than 5% positivity: fri: 38.22% (last wk 41.46%), Sat 35.23% (38.60%) Sun 37.32% (38.86%) 38.81% (38.48%). Essentially flat. 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Fri Jan 14th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6326, a 0.2% drop from last Thurs's 6341. 7d ave now 5997 a 44.9% incr wk over wk from 4138. Positivity 37.88% compared to last Thurs 38.42% (essentially flat). Don't let the slight drop wk over wk lull you, changing test criteria make everything inaccurate. 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts. Last Fri +62 to 585 (revised from 681 yest 579 Wed 570 Tues 558 Mon) Sat +16 to 601 (revised from 595 yest 593 Wed 585 Tues and 555 Mon). Sun +41 to 642 (revised from 637 Yest 633 Wed 617 and Mon 563). 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Thurs Jan 13th. 1/
Cases/d yest 6002 a 22.7% incr from last Tues's 4892. 7d ave (back tomorrow, @ByMatthewBlack taking a day off) Positivity 40.91% up from last wks 39.17%. 2/
Hospitalizations: inpts. Fri +61 to 581 (revised from 579 yest 570 Tues 558 Mon) Sat +14 to 595 (revised from 593 yest 585 Tues and 555 Mon). Sun +42 to 637 (revised from 633 yest 617 and Mon 563). Mon +43 to 680 (revised from 633 yest and 628 Tues) 3/
One thing we need to recognize is that we DON'T KNOW so much about Omicron, including the subacute and chronic effects. It's so different from past strains, it's not surprising it is a very different illness. We know it causes less pneumonitis, but what don't we know? 1/
Aside from LongCOVID effects, the other big unknown is the exact mortality curve. I've been watching South Africa, Denmark, and UK, and NONE of them have maxed out their death curve. 2/
For UK, cases peaked Jan 6th, and of course death is a lagging indicator. Danish cases are just peaking now (maybe). So we wouldn't expect either of these countries to have reached their peak deaths yet. 3/