Capacity utilisation essentially means how much of the capacity is currently being used for production.
Capacity utilisation is a very good concept when it comes to cyclicals or companies where a substantial capex has been done but the capacity remains unutilized due to low demand or regulatory approvals not being completed.
Coming to Asset turns:
Gross Asset Turns or also known as gross block turnover. Reflects the sale that is generated per Rs of gross asset on the balance sheet.
Net Asset Turns:
Net Asset turns or also known as netblock turnover reflects the sales that are generated from assets net of accumulated depreciation.
Important to note what you see on the balance sheet is nothing but Net fixed assets(not gross fixed assets). As depreciation is a contra asset (those assets that reduce Assets on the balance sheet) and is indirectly charged off
from P&L which reduces the retained earnings on the left side (liabilities) and reduces the Fixed assets on the right side (assets side). Thus, a balance sheet balances.
To get gross assets you need to look at the schedule of property, plant and equipment given in the annual report.
Asset turns increasing leads to an increase in capacity utilization. As it indicates that you’re able to generate more sales using the same assets. Perhaps the most recent example here is:
Laurus Labs in recent times. Where 60% of gross block was lying idle, basically generating 0 topline. As utilisation picked up, gross block turns improved and we got an explosion in operating leverage and margins. Check the Pat growth in the last 2 years.
You can use Asset turns to forecast sales too. Eg:- Navin Fluorine is doing 2 separate capital expenditures (capex/addition to fixed assets)
The first one is in a MPP, where they are investing 195 crores. Expecting asset turns of 1.35 to 1.45x. Thus, to forecast sales simply multiply 195 by 1.35 or 1.45. peak sales of 260-280 crores.
The second one is HPP plant, where they are investing 435 crores. 365 crores for the plant and 70 crores for power generation plant (captive). Contract is worth 2800 crores over 7 years basically back of the envelope 400 crores a year.
435 crores of assets generating 400 crores of sales. Reflects asset turns are 0.9x.Additionally, these two capex will lead to sales growth by 660 crores. Using this data point you can make a rough guesstimate about the future sales of the co.

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More from @soicfinance

Jan 21
🧵Thread on Warrants, Share Buybacks & Right Issues

🧵Let's unroll:

What are Warrants?
Equity warrants are instruments that bestow upon the holder of the instrument the right to buy a particular stock at a predetermined price within a stipulated time frame.
Who can apply?
Warrants are issued by the way of preferential allotment to promoters, institutional investors, and other strategic investors.
How to apply?
Warrants are issued by the way of preferential allotment to promoters, institutional investors, and other strategic investors.

In case the warrants are not exercised, the entire upfront payment is forfeited.
Read 22 tweets
Jan 19
Dharamsi Morarji Chemical Co Ltd. (DMCC)
#DHARAMSI

Annual Report 2021 Threaded 🧵🧵🧵

RETWEET FOR MAX REACH

Let's put the thread into 5 beads: 🪡📿
1. Company
2. Industry
3. Strategy
4. Management
5. Risks
First, let’s look at a very relevant framework of a seasoned investor,
Mr Vijay Kedia (@VijayKedia1) & his SMILE 😊

SMILE: Small in size, Medium in experience, Large in aspiration & Extra-large in market potential.
Search for businesses that are little but management has good experience on their turf, they have high aspirations of going big and their product/business has a huge market opportunity.
Read 34 tweets
Jan 18
One of the tribe members asked a question that his 12 year son is analysing a business. Which are the questions that he should ask to understand the business well.

Posting the answer for everyone's benefit

🧵🧵🧵🧵
Answer:-

Asking questions is the best way to learn about something that we don't know. I have a nephew at home, he keeps asking me "Piyush chachu ye ka hai" (Piyush being my nickname, he cannot completely say kya). Smiling when I think about it :)
Some of the basic questions I would like my nephew to ask or your son to ask if he's researching a business:-
Read 21 tweets
Dec 22, 2021
What is a Qualified Institutional Placement and what do I like about them (more to do with the QIP doc)

Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵
What is a QIP?

A QIP or a Qualified Institutional placement allows a company to raise capital by issuing securities (by diluting equity) only to institutions.

Only Qib's or Qualified Institutional Buyers can participate in QIP's. This includes Mutual Funds, Foreign institutions
and Pension funds etc. (From my knowledge PMS' or any individual investor cannot participate in Qip's).

Just to give you an example:- Look at the investors who participated in the QIP of Saregama (750 crores)
Read 23 tweets
Dec 17, 2021
The Art of asking smart questions | When do you really graduate as an investor?

Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵

Retweet for Max reach!!
You graduate as an investor when you start asking things like the quality of revenue, incremental quality of earnings and the competitive landscape. Eg:- One API player will grow earnings because of shortage in market for those
APIs but the other one which will grow because of being the lowest cost producer. The markets often give higher Valuations to the latter player.

Another example that comes to mind is Balkrishna Industries vs other tyre players.🚜🚜
Read 17 tweets
Dec 5, 2021
A word of advice and caution. When you buy a High Pe stock. Make sure that you are very certain about the growth. Plenty of good and bad examples

Eicher=Growth stopped, Got derated.

Pi Industries= At 52+Pe in 2015, growth continued (5bagger since then)
Symphony=Growth stopped as more competitors copied them, painful time correction.

Astral=Kept growing and entering newer adjacencies since 2015 when it was at 60+ Pe. (Been a 10 bagger since then)

Page Industries=Growth stopped as the company matured. No returns for last 4 yrs.
Bajaj Finance= Kept growing (barring Pandemic). Kept rerating with the earnings growth.

HDFC Life=Been absurdly valued since 2018. Leading to very poor returns.

Relaxo=Kept getting rerated on back of earnings growth.
Read 6 tweets

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