In the last week since I posted my first @defrost_finance thread, a lot has happened:
- $MELT has announced new partnerships with @ankr and @elk_finance
- Bullish PA
- Increasing TVL
- H2O closer to peg
1/n
See below for more detail on of those points above.
I’ve already mentioned details of the partnerships, but I think it’s best to reiterate and expand on them given their potential.
2/n
$ELK partnership
Details will be released next week, but regardless it’s great to see $MELT partnering with such a well respected cross chain protocol.
I wouldn’t be surprised if the partnership plays a part in @defrost_finance’s eventual cross-chain expansion.
3/n
The recently announced @ankr partnership will be massive IMO.
The partnership unlocks liquidity in staked assets, the first being @ankr staked $AVAX.
Defrost was created to unlock (or defrost) liquidity in yield bearing assets, so collateralising staked assets makes sense.
4/n
Other than $BTC, the majority of major chains are already on or moving to proof of stake. So the TAM for collateralising liquid staking tokens will be massive.
5/n
The @defrost_finance team is ahead of this curve and has already said it plans to implement staked collateral types in addition to $AVAX, such as $ETH and $FTM.
So $MELT is positioned perfectly to benefit from the massive growth in liquid staking.
6/n
Price Action and Chart
Since my first call three weeks ago and $MELT thread last week, price peaked at 6x and 3x respectively. It’s currently at c. 4x / 2x which is impressive in a down/choppy market.
7/n
What’s more bullish is $MELT has set 4 higher lows after each run up and has printed 3 local higher highs. The higher lows is particularly good to see, given it likely signifies the holder base is increasing in number and increasing their bag sizes (I certainly have).
This has been demonstrated yet again by the vibrant discussion of my proposal to reallocate $MELT rewards to pool 2 to increase liquidity. Read my proposal below and join the Discord and forum to take part.
If the proposal goes to a governance vote and passes, IMO liquidity will become deeper and stable farmers that aren’t boosting will receive fewer $MELT rewards to dump on the market.
Two significant birds with one stone.
14/n
@defrost_finance has done all this in a week. Imagine where it will be in a month after their multichain strategy is rolled out and other roadmap items are ticked off.
A few people are bearish about $METIS's upcoming 13 Feb token unlock. I'm not and here's my reasoning.
TLDR:
1. Not all VCs will sell, and not all will sell on market 2. Massive buying pressure post unlock 3. $MAGIC unlock comparison 4. It's $METIS
1/11
488k tokens (23% of circ supply) unlock on 13 Feb. Excluding team and MetisLab tokens (133k), this leaves 356k tokens unlocked (h/t @Whit3Rh1n0).
2/11
This is a significant amount. In November it did cause the price to dip c. 50%.
However not all VCs will sell on market and even fewer this time around. I assume there is much more OTC demand for $METIS now than when it was a fledgling and unproven network.
@defrost_finance is a combination of @MIM_Spell and @Platypusdefi on $AVAX. Although we got in at $600k - $800k 1 week ago, it’s still crazily undervalued at a MC of only $2m.
1/n
And after all the Sifu, $TIME and $SPELL drama I predict it’s about to get a lot more attention.
So time for a thread, but first here’s a summary:
2/n
- $MELT MC of $2m is hugely undervalued relative to its peers and growth potential
- Allows users to mint stables with LP tokens
- $MELT staking boosts stablecoin rewards
- Favourable narrative
- Strong roadmap
- First class devs and engaged community
- Audited
3/n
Here’s my third and last 2022 predictions/narratives/trends post. Several trends look to already be starting (for example $CRV-esque/ve season, $FTM challenging $SOL, #L22002 (namely $METIS).
To be fair some of these were starting to germinate as I wrote the first two volumes, but several have truly flourished since.
My first two posts setting out these predictions are at the end of this thread.
Since market narratives move so quickly these days, I may ultimately post more predictions for Q2 or the second half of the year, to the extent I see new narratives forming.
CREAM is one of the best trades in crypto right now. I'm not necessarily super bullish on the protocol itself, but I am super bullish on Iron Bank $veIB. Those staking CREAM on $ETH on 27 January will receive 40% of the initial $veIB supply.
Given the $veIB tokens are "vested escrow" (that's what the ve stands for) tokens, holders won't be diluted. As @kamikaz_ETH eloquently put it, we "should be thinking of $CREAM purchases as a seed round investment with a non-dilution provision".
So $CREAM stakers are receiving and retaining (if desired) 40% of the supply of a what might become a blue chip revenue producing defi protocol. ibdotxyz.medium.com/the-iron-bank-…
Creditum from @RevenantFinance (formerly known as @stake_steak) is a lending protocol that launched yesterday with the goal to bring a functional native stable coin to the Fantom network. 👇
After the standard listing shenanigans $CREDIT is now sitting at a $600k MC and printing LP rewards at c. 800%.
Seems super cheap when $FTM season is just around the corner and you consider who is behind @RevenantFinance 👇
The $CREDIT team is full of $FTM OGs - their last project @stake_steak was sadly hacked, but they didn't go away and are doing right by the community.