Time for a little thread on the pending removal of Alberta's (and SK, and maybe ON etc) Vaxx Passport (Orwellianly known as the Restrictions Exemption Program) #REPnotRIP. 1/
The passport serves three purposes: 1) decrease transmission rates in the population (it is an important layer of swiss cheese). 2/
3) Improve safety in restaurants, so that people are more comfortable eating indoors, helping the restaurant industry (and protecting their staff). 4/ dailyhive.com/calgary/albert…
Now, they are going. the pretext for this is with Omicron, full vaccinations (2 vaxxs) no longer protect against transmission, so therefore: scrapped. They aren't wrong, we know that Omicron is relatively vaccine evasive, especially to two vaccines. 5/ news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/…
(worth noting altho not great for transmission, 2 does does substantiallly improve illness outcomes). 5a/
Ay, but there's the rub. 2 vaccines does not equal fully immunized. People need the 3rd dose to substantially decrease risk of transmission. (1/3 less like to have symptomatic disease than unvaxxed). 6/ jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…
So what's a province to do? I think the analogy is like seatbelts. Back in the 50s and 60s lap belts were in most cars. Better than nothing, but still resulted in substantial damage (back fractures, face hitting steering wheel, etc). 7/
Not perfect. But we didn't scrap the seatbelt, we improved it, adding a shoulder belt. Ahhh safety. 8/
So, in my mind, with an inadequate vaxx passport, the solution is, not to scrap it, but improve it. Bring on that 3rd vaxx. Hits all three objectives: 1) decr transmission 2) improve 3rd dose uptake (currently at 42.8% for >18 y.o. in AB). 3) improves safety in restaurants 9/
Think I'm crazy? Won't ever happen? Maybe not in AB. But I'm not crazy. The smart policymakers are considering it. fin/ montreal.ctvnews.ca/quebec-to-requ…
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Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Thurs Feb 3rd. 1/
Cases/d yest (reminder: essentially useless) 2537. A better metric, positivity, remains flat, yest 34.49% vs. last Wed's 34.96%. 2/
Hospitalization: Inpt: Last Thurs +11 to 1463 (revised from 1461 yest 1458 Tues 1456 Mon and 1391 Fri). Fri +7 to 1470 (revised from 1468 yest 1463 Tues 1459 Mon). Sat -27 to 1443 (revised from 1438 yest 1433 Mon and 1418 Mon) 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Wed Feb 2nd. 1/
Cases/d yest (a useless data point presented mostly for historical reasons): 3127. Positivity 39.97% (last Tues 37.74%). 2/
Hospitalization: Inpt: Thurs +10 to 1461 (revised from 1458 yest 1456 Mon and 1391 Fri). Fri +7 to 1468(revised from 1463 yest 1459 Mon). Sat -30 to 1438 (revised from 1433 yest and 1418 Mon) .Sun +21 to 1459(revised from 1452 yest and 1417 Mon) 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Feb 1st. 1/
Cases/d yest 2140 but remember this is an artificial # w/ no relation to reality.(I get suspicious when a politician asserts that we have substantially dropping active cases, when we know no such thing. Positivity 40.12% compared with last Monday's 43.27%. Very slowly dropping.2/
Hospitalization: Inpt: Wed +52 to 1450(revised from1448 yest 1423 Fri adn 1363 Thurs). Thurs +8 to 1458 (revised from 1456 yest and 1391 Fri). Fri +5 to 1463 (revised from 1459 yest). Sat -30 to 1433 (revised from 1418 yest) .Sun +19 to 1452 (revised from 1417 yest) 3/
Hospitalization: Inpt: Last Tues +14 to 1071 (revised from 1070 yest 1043 Fri 1031 Thurs and 993 Wed) Wed +35 to 1106 (revised from 1103 yest 1068 Fri and 1023 Thurs) Thurs +52 to 1158 (revised from 1153 yest and 1084 Fri). 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Jan 25, covering the days of Fri/Sat/Sun/Mon 1/
Knowing that the Cases/d metric is pretty much useless now thanks to limited testing, ftr cases/d Fri 4033, Sat 2642, Sun 1751, Mon 2951. 2/
Positivity is a more useful measure. Fri 38.38 (last Fri 38.64%), Sat 33.79% (35.53%), Sun 36.19% (37.72%), Mon 42.75% (39.27%) (new pandemic record). Of note Calgary Zone at 53.51%, also new pandemic record for any zone. 3/
Here's your AB COVID # analysis for Tues Jan 18th, covering the days of Fri, Sat, Sun, Mon. 1/
Case/d: are no longer super useful, thanks to the narrowing testing criteria. I'll continue to report them, but won't compare to week previous, as this is meaningless. Fri: 6243, Sat 5362, Sat 4138, Sun 3691. (graph is similarly useless so won't be presented). 2/
Positivity: this remains useful. Remembering we're aiming for less than 5% positivity: fri: 38.22% (last wk 41.46%), Sat 35.23% (38.60%) Sun 37.32% (38.86%) 38.81% (38.48%). Essentially flat. 3/