Yaniv Erlich Profile picture
Feb 4 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 4 min read
๐Ÿ“ข The study we all waited for by the brilliant team at the VRC/@NIAIDNews

Should we wait for an Omicron-specific booster?
Short answer: No ๐Ÿคฏ

Long answer: A thread ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡
The main question that many people contemplate is should I wait for an Omicron-specific booster or not?

Eight ๐Ÿ’ received ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰ of the regular (WT) Moderna vaccine.
Then, 41-weeks later, they were split into 2 arms:
1โƒฃGot a regular (WT) ๐Ÿ’‰ booster
2โƒฃGot an Omicron ๐Ÿ’‰ booster
2 weeks later, the team checked the neuts levels from each arm against various viral strains.
For ALL strains the neuts level of Arm2โƒฃ (Omi๐Ÿ’‰) were NOT better than Arm1โƒฃ (WT๐Ÿ’‰)
This was also true for Omicron ๐Ÿ˜ณ. Look at gray lines at w#43 in both graphs (WT: solid; O: broken)
Why? This is probably the Original Antigen Sin (OAS). The immune system already learned how a WT Spike protein looks like and lost some plasticity to learn the nuances of Omicron-spike. For non-scientists: think about it as if you're trying to speak in a foreign languageโžก๏ธ
After a certain age, no matter how hard you try, you still have a specific accent of your mother tongue and you cannot forget it. The same is true for your immune system: it cannot unlearn the "accent" of a WT spike.
Is it totally bad? I don't think so! First, it means that we don't need to wait for anything and @pfizer/@moderna_tx can produce at full speed the current vaccine. Moreover, ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑMoH recently showed that a fresh 4th dose really helps against O-infection and severe cases.
I already got a 4th shot and so are more than 600,000 Israelies, without any substantial side effects. We 4th boost virtually all requesting adults who are received their 3rd dose at least 4 months ago. Not a bad strategy!
Links:
Omicron booster in ๐Ÿ’: biorxiv.org/content/10.110โ€ฆ
Israel 4th booster: medrxiv.org/content/10.110โ€ฆ

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More from @erlichya

Feb 4
๐Ÿ“ข ื”ืžืืžืจ ืœื• ื—ื™ื›ื™ื ื• (ืขืดื™ ื”ืฆื•ื•ืช ื”ืžื•ื›ืฉืจ ืฉืœ ืคืื•ืฆืณื™ ื‘ @NIAIDNews).

ื”ืื ื›ื“ืื™ ืœื—ื›ื•ืช ืœื‘ื•ืกื˜ืจ ืžื•ืชืื ืื•ืžื™ืงืจื•ืŸ?
ื‘ืงืฆืจื”: ืœื! ๐Ÿคฏ
ื‘ืืจื•ืš: ืงื‘ืœื• ืฉืจืฉื•ืจ ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡
biorxiv.org/content/10.110โ€ฆ
ื”ืจื‘ื” ืื ืฉื™ื ืžืชืœื‘ื˜ื™ื ืื ืœืงื—ืช ืืช ื”ื—ื™ืกื•ืŸ ื”ืจื‘ื™ืขื™ ืื• ืœื—ื›ื•ืช ืœื‘ื•ืกื˜ืจ ืžื•ืชืื ืื•ืžื™ืงืจื•ืŸ. ื”ืžืืžืจ ื”ื–ื” ืขืฉื” ืืช ื”ื“ื‘ืจ ื”ื‘ื:

ืฉืžื•ื ื” ๐Ÿ’ ืงื™ื‘ืœื• ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰ ืฉืœ ืžื•ื“ืจื ื” ืขื ื”ื—ื™ืกื•ืŸ ื”ืจื’ื™ืœ ืฉืœื”ื. ืชืฉืขื” ื—ื•ื“ืฉื™ื ืœืื—ืจ ืžื›ืŸ (41ืฉื‘ื•ืขื•ืช), ื”ื ื—ื•ืœืงื• ืœืฉืชื™ ืงื‘ื•ืฆื•ืช:
ืงื‘ื•ืฆื”1โƒฃ:ืงื™ื‘ืœื” ๐Ÿ’‰ ื‘ื•ืกื˜ืจ ืจื’ื™ืœ
ืงื‘ื•ืฆื”2โƒฃ: ืงื™ื‘ืœื” ๐Ÿ’‰ื‘ื•ืกื˜ืจ ืžื•ืชืื ืื•ืžื™ืงืจื•ืŸ
ืฉื‘ื•ืขื™ื™ื ืื—ืจ-ื›ืš, ื”ื—ื•ืงืจื™ื ื‘ื“ืงื• ืืช ืจืžืช ื”ื ื•ื’ื“ื ื™ื ื”ืžื ื˜ืจืœื™ื ืฉืœ ื›ืœ ืงื‘ื•ืฆื” ื›ื ื’ื“ ื›ืœ ื”ื–ื ื™ื ื”ื™ื“ื•ืขื™ื.
ืœื›ืœ ื”ื–ื ื™ื, ื”ื ื•ื’ื“ื ื™ื ืฉืœ ืงื‘ืณ 1โƒฃ (๐Ÿ’‰-ืจื’ื™ืœ) ื”ื™ื• ื‘ืจืžืช ื ื™ื˜ืจื•ืœ ื“ื•ืžื” ืœื ื•ื’ื“ื ื™ื ืžืงื‘ืณ 2โƒฃ(๐Ÿ’‰-ืื•ืžื™) ๐Ÿ˜ณ
๐Ÿ‘ื›ื•ืœืœ ืื•ืžื™ืงืจื•ืŸ๐Ÿ‘
ืชืจืื• ืืช ื‘ื’ืจืคื™ื ืืช ื”ืงื• ื”ืืคื•ืจ ื”ืฉืœื (๐Ÿ’‰-ืจื’ื™ืœ) ืžื•ืœ ื”ืžืงื•ื•ืงื• (ืื•ืžื™ืงืจื•ืŸ) ื‘ืฉื‘ื•ืข 43.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 18
ื‘ื ื™ื’ื•ื“ ืœื“ืขื” ื”ืจื•ื•ื—ืช, ืชืขืฉื™ื™ืช ื”ืคืืจืžื” ืฉื•ื ืืช ืืช ื”ืคื ื“ืžื™ื”.
ืฉืจืฉื•ืจ ืขืœ ื”ืชื™ื™ื‘ืฉื•ืช ื” pipeline ืขื ืžื‘ื˜ ืœื˜ื•ื•ื— ื”ื‘ื™ื ื•ื ื™ ื•ืœื ื™ื”ื•ืœ ื”ืžื’ื™ืคื”.

ื’ื™ืœื•ื™ ื ืื•ืช: ื”ืกื˜ืืจื˜-ืืค ืฉืœื™ ืžืชืขืกืง ื‘ืชื—ื•ื.
๐Ÿงต
ืคื™ืชื•ื— ืชืจื•ืคื•ืช ื”ื•ื ืชื”ืœื™ืš ืขืชื™ืจ ืกื™ื›ื•ืŸ ืžื‘ื—ื™ื ื” ืื™ื ืจื ื˜ื™ืช. ืžื•ืœืงื•ืœื” ืฉืขื•ื‘ื“ืช ื ื”ื“ืจ ื‘ืชืื™ื, ืขืœื•ืœื” ืœื ืœืขื‘ื•ื“ ื‘ืขื›ื‘ืจ. ืžื•ืœืงื•ืœื” ืฉืขื•ื‘ื“ืช ื‘ืขื›ื‘ืจ, ืคืชืื•ื ืœื ืขื•ื‘ื“ืช ื‘ืงื•ืฃ. ืžื” ืฉืขื‘ื“ ื‘ื—ื™ื•ืช ื›ื‘ืจ ืœื ืขื•ื‘ื“ ื‘ื‘ื ื™ ืื“ื, ื•ื›ื•ืณ. ื”ื‘ื™ื•ืœื•ื’ื™ื” ื”ื™ื ืื›ื–ืจื™ืช ื•ืœื ื ืชื•ื ื” ืœื—ื™ื–ื•ื™ ืžืœื. ืื‘ืœ ื–ื” ืกื™ื›ื•ืŸ ืฉื—ื‘ืจื•ืช ืคืืจืžื” ื™ื•ื“ืขื•ืช ืœืงื—ืช. ืžื” ื”ื ืฉื•ื ืื•ืช?
ื”ื ืฉื•ื ืื•ืช ืฉื™ืฉ ืกื™ื›ื•ื ื™ื ืขืกืงื™ื™ื ืขื ืงื™ื™ื ืžืขื‘ืจ ืœืกื™ื›ื•ืŸ ื”ื‘ื™ื•ืœื•ื’ื™. ื ื ื™ื—, ืื ืืชื ืขื•ื‘ื“ื™ื ืขืœ ืืœืฆื”ื™ื™ืžืจ, ืืชื ื™ื•ื“ืขื™ื ืฉืืœืฆื”ื™ื™ืžืจ ืชืžื™ื“ ื™ื”ื™ื”. ืื™ืŸ ืฉืืœื” ืฉื™ืฉ ืฉื•ืง ื•ืฉื™ืฉ ืฆื•ืจืš ืื“ื™ืจ ื‘ืชืจื•ืคื” ื›ื–ืืช.

ื‘ืคื ื“ืžื™ื” ื–ื” ืœื ื›ื›ื”. ื”ืฉื•ืง ื”ื•ื ื‘ื›ืœืœ ืœื ื‘ืจื•ืจ ื•ื–ื– ื›ืœ ื”ื–ืžืŸ ื‘ืงืฆื‘ ืืงืกืคื•ื ื ื™ืืœื™ ืœื›ืœ ื”ื›ื™ื•ื•ื ื™ื. ื•ืœื›ืŸ, ื”ืชืขืฉื™ื™ื” ืฉื•ื ืืช ืืช ื–ื”.
Read 14 tweets
Jan 16
What we can learn from 20 waves ๐ŸŒŠ of SARS-CoV-2?
A thread ๐Ÿงต 1/11
๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡
The figure ๐Ÿ‘† shows the strongest wave (โฌ›๏ธgrey lines) in 20 countries around ๐ŸŒ with the largest testing per capita. The peak is centered to be at day 0 and the cases are normalized to its height. Black: the averaged wave 2/11
We define a wave to start and finish with ยฝ of the cases in the peak. For instance, here is an example from Cyprus ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ. The peak (๐Ÿ”ด) at about 1100 daily cases per 1M. The wave's start & finish are labeled w/ an ๐ŸŸงline at ~550 cases.
Gray: raw data
Blue: smoothed (our input)
3/11
Read 11 tweets
Dec 28, 2021
@sigallab did a fantastic job in framing the Abs response to Omicron. But his manuscript actually makes make me a bit concerned and I don't find the results encouraging. Let's dive in a short thread ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡
Just a reminder, the Omicron and the Delta are highly diverged from each other compared to the ancestral strain, which serves as the basis for the vaccine.
@sigallab enrolled 15 individuals who were infected by Omicron. Four people were vaccinated with J&J, 3 people with Pfizer, 6 were not vaxxed, 2 had no Ab response and were excluded from the study. These 13people were followed for ~2weeks.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 24, 2021
ืžืืžืจ ืกื•ืคืจ ืžืขื ื™ื™ืŸ ืขืœ ื”ืžื›ื ื™ื–ื ืฉืœ cell entry ื‘ืื•ืžื™ืงืจื•ืŸ ืœืขื•ืžืช ื“ืœืชื ื• wuhan ื•ืœืžื” ื”ื•ื ืื•ืœื™ ืคื—ื•ืช ื•ื™ืจื•ืœื ื˜ื™. ืฉืจืฉื•ืจ ืงืฆืจ ืฉืžืกื‘ื™ืจ ืžื” ื”ื•ืœืš ื›ืืŸ.

biorxiv.org/content/10.110โ€ฆ
ื›ื•ืœื ื• ืฉืžืขื ื• ืขืœ Spike ื•ืขืœ ื›ืš ืฉื”ื•ื ื ืงืฉืจ ืœ ACE2 ื›ื“ื™ ืœื”ื›ื ืก ืœืชื•ืš ื”ืชืื™ื. ืื‘ืœ ื”ืชื”ืœื™ืš ื”ื–ื” ื”ื•ื ืžืื“ ืœื ืคืฉื•ื˜. ื›ืžื• ืฉืืชื ืžื›ื ื™ืกื™ื ืžืคืชื— ืœืชื•ืš ืžื ืขื•ืœ ื•ืฆืจื™ื›ื™ื ืงืฆืช ืœื ืขืจ ืืช ื”ืžืคืชื— ืฉื™ื›ื ืก ื‘ืงืœื•ืช, ื’ื ื”ืกืคื™ื™ืง ืฆืจื™ืš ืงืฆืช ื“ืจื’ื•ืช ื—ื•ืคืฉ ื›ื“ื™ ืœื”ื™ืงืฉืจ ื˜ื•ื‘ ืœ ACE2 ื•ืœื‘ืฆืข ืืช ื”ื›ื ื™ืกื” ืœืชื.
ื›ืืŸ ืžื’ื™ืข ืœืขื–ืจืชื• ืฉืœ ื”ืกืคื™ื™ืง ืจืฆืคื˜ื•ืจ ื ื•ืกืฃ ืฉื ืงืจื TMPRSS2. ื”ืจืฆืคื˜ื•ืจ ื”ื–ื” ื”ื•ื ืคืฉื•ื˜ ืกื›ื™ืŸ ืฉื—ื•ืชื›ืช ื—ืœื‘ื•ื ื™ื. ื”ื•ื ื—ื•ืชืš ืืช ื”ืกืคื™ื™ืง ื›ืžื• ืฉื—ื•ืชื›ื™ื ื‘ืžื•ื“ืขืช ืชืœื™ืฉื” ื•ื–ื” ื•ื ื•ืชืŸ ืœืกืคื™ื™ืง ืขื•ื“ ื“ืจื’ื•ืช ื—ื•ืคืฉ ืฉื”ื•ื ืฆืจื™ืš ืœืงื™ืฉื•ืจ ืžื™ื˜ื‘ื™ ืœ ACE2.
Read 9 tweets
Dec 23, 2021
Want to produce Paxlovid, Pfizer's new antiviral?

All you need to do is to follow the simple process in the short thread below.
Step 1:
Step 2:
Read 11 tweets

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