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Feb 15 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Scholz, another German embarrassment in Russia. The moment he said "Minsk" you knew he was there to screw Ukraine and do business. The only "security problem" is Putin. dw.com/en/ukraine-cri…
Scholz stood there at the press conference and said nothing when Putin said there's a genocide in Donbas, comparing it to NATO intervention in Yugoslavia. Pathetic. Sacrificing Ukraine's sovereignty for Russian gas.
A main reason Putin thought he could attack Ukraine now is because the Nord Stream 2 pipeline deal with Germany meant war wouldn't disrupt gas to Europe and his cash flow. Cash that also goes back to EU politicians' pockets, clearly.
I didn't hear Biden mention Minsk tonight, which is good. It's a joke that helps Putin destroy Ukraine. There's only one aggressor, Putin. Get him the hell out of Ukraine and his mafia out of Europe and the free world or he'll keep attacking.

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More from @Kasparov63

Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Feb 17
Calling Putin a chessplayer is wrong even if it weren't insulting! Dictators have advantages in bluffing & tactics because they can act quickly with no oversight. Democracies have, or should have, institutional consistency to rely on. bulwarkpodcast.thebulwark.com/p/garry-kaspar…
If Putin carries out his attack on Ukraine, it will be because he believes he won't suffer serious consequences, a calculation based on previous feeble responses to his aggression. By waiting & reacting only, instead of deterring, the West is encouraging more war.
It's good but not enough to openly and robustly support Putin's targets. Do not allow Ukraine to become a proxy battlegrounds. Putin and his mafia must have skin in the game, real consequences for the only thing that matters to them: money and the power in Russia to keep it.
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Feb 14
If Ukraine or NATO promise that Ukraine won’t join and Putin doesn’t invade again, he wouldn’t have anyway. The urge to find some way to compromise, a normal human instinct, isn’t something dictators possess. Conceding to a bully only encourages him.
Appeasers from Tucker and Gabbard to UK Labour, to French far right and left to Orban say—some as Putin sycophants, some in good faith stupidity—that Putin cares about NATO expansion when it has never been a factor in his 8-yr war on Ukraine and Europe.
It’s pathetic and self-destructive to run around to find some way to appease Putin when the only thing that changes his behavior is deterrence based targeting his money and his grip on power. Lavishing attention and groveling about NATO only emboldens him.
Read 6 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Feb 10
Based on signals, I'm worried Putin's attack may come out of Donbas in the next couple of days. Whenever it comes, I expect it to be major but small enough for Western appeasers to say it doesn't qualify as the invasion they warned him against.
Putin is good at reading his opponents and taking the measure of their cowardice. He cannot afford to lose a major confrontation, so he advances on the edges so they can save face while doing nothing.
The greatest danger of not standing up against small provocations, as I've always warned, is that eventually many successes lead to overconfidence and the dictator losing that sense of danger and overstepping into a major conflict.
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Feb 3
Part of the usual pattern of aggression and appeasement. "Look what I can do if you don't give me what I want" and tossing toys out of the pram is annoying, but it gets worse if you actually give them what they want. They get stronger and more confident.
We will see more cyberattacks, disinfo campaigns and other hybrid war assaults as Putin demands concessions and attention. Escalation usually works for him because his opponents fold.
The appeasement cycle continues until the dictator oversteps, intoxicated by years of impunity and increasingly desperate at home. That's how small concessions lead to big wars. I detailed this historical process in 2015: thedailybeast.com/springtime-for…
Read 4 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Jan 24
I'm glad to discuss Putin's latest aggression and how to stop him. But I said it all in my 2015 book Winter Is Coming. Even by then I was furious the West had done so little. Tragically, it's still valid. publicaffairsbooks.com/titles/garry-k…
I addressed Putin's war on Ukraine as a test for the US and the rest of the free world. As I've been saying since 2007, the longer you wait to deter a dictator, the higher the eventual price. Now a major war is looming.
Instead of running around in a panic at every Putin move, a strategic plan of deterrence by raising the costs of aggression and reducing his leverage should have been implemented in 2008 at the latest, when he invaded Georgia. The mask was off.
Read 6 tweets
Garry Kasparov Profile picture
Jan 11
We know what they decided, sealing Russia's slide into dictatorship. Even after Putin invaded Ukraine in 2014, even now in 2022 with Germany pressing for Nord Stream 2, with the White House's support. Putin's gas and cash over everything.
The only proof you need that the myth of Russian humiliation by the West is just scapegoating lies is how much money they poured into Putin's pockets. All while welcoming him at the G7, all smiles. Even after he invaded Georgia in 2008.
Putin had every opportunity to improve relations with the free world but he chose conflict abroad and repression at home to solidify personal power, like every dictator. He's been in charge for 21 years; his track record isn't a mystery. Murder, invasion, oppression.
Read 5 tweets

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