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Feb 16 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Robert Watt says 1.5 million people will be added to HSE waiting lists this year.

ONE POINT FIVE MILLION.

That is a 170% increase in patients waiting for care (currently around 900,000).
If there is a total - 1.5 million new patients waiting - there must be a breakdown by specialty etc. The pandemic magnified pre-existing inequalities in many areas.

It would be reasonable to assume that CAMHS, psychiatry and other groups are disproportionately affected here.
Waiting for detail on Robert Watt's statement that "1.5 million will be added to waiting lists this year". Each year of Covid-19 is adding 18%, or about 100,000 additional patients. That leaves 1.2 million...
“In 2022, it is estimated that over 1.5 million people will be added to the Waiting Lists. This reflects normal additions and an acceleration in presentations due to deferrals caused by Covid,” Watt will tell the committee.
thejournal.ie/hospital-waiti…

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More from @StuartDNeilson

Stuart Neilson Profile picture
Feb 16
Covid-19 plateau at about 10,000 positive test cases per day. Incidence is no longer falling.

About 14.4% of people in hospital are children. Around 90 children are in hospital due to Covid-19 today, and 4 children in ICU.

Week 6 Report out today: hpsc.ie/a-z/respirator…
The Covid-19 hub data with hospitalisation and cases by age group has been updated.
There was a large rise in hospitalisation of children and young people, peaking at 151 children under 5 years admitted per 14 days, 135 children aged 5-14 years and 198 aged 15-24 years.

Childhood admissions continue at 188 people under 25 years admitted to hospital per 14 days.
Read 5 tweets
Stuart Neilson Profile picture
Feb 15
Covid-19 infections, as reported by PCR & antigen positive tests, have plateaued at an extremely high level of 10,000 cases per day. Around 0.1% of all cases subsequently die from Covid-19, with over 200 deaths from Covid-19 every month for 5 consecutive months.

It's not over.
The reproduction number is close to 1.0, maintaining the plateau at an exceptionally high level. The data is an unreliable and volatile underestimate, with weekend PCR results added to Monday, and reliant on self-reported antigen results. The data is poor for planning.
On the basis of reported PCR and antigen results, we have plateaued at around 100,000 actively infectious people - 2% of the entire population.
Clinically vulnerable, old, pregnant and unvaccinated people remain at high risk of exposure until we ACTIVELY reduce infection levels.
Read 8 tweets
Stuart Neilson Profile picture
Feb 15
Blackpool Shopping Centre, #Cork. What does it say when there are no signs for pedestrians to walk or cycle from Blackpool village, not even to indicate the way in? And where the path is up steep steps, straight into a car park with no footpath to the entrance?
Cork University Hospital. There are no signs marking the bus stop, it takes nearly 4 minutes to cross a dual carriageway, with limited space for wheelchairs or walking frames. There are no signs for walkers, who have to navigate steep steps and cross busy internal roads.
If you can find the South Infirmary Victoria University Hospital, #Cork on a map, the old entrance is not for pedestrians, and there are no signs to the new entrance. It is truly cars-only, and a hostile environment to anyone walking or cycling in.
Read 6 tweets
Stuart Neilson Profile picture
Feb 15
Cllr Derry Canty is describing enforced dependency of older and #disabled people. Not just car-dependency, but dependency on goodwill of neighbours and relatives who drive.
We should be building streets where people can age with dignity, and reach shops independently.
There has been a mass decline in elderly people living in #CorkCity, forced out by lack of resources, hostile streets and inadequate housing. The absolute number and proportion of people over 65 living in the city has fallen census by census.
In net change terms, there are more working age people, especially men. Lack of family housing has forced out families with children, in addition to older people.
There has been a massive increase in younger men.
Read 8 tweets
Stuart Neilson Profile picture
Jan 21
The full text of the @CMOIreland's letter to the Health Minster, 20 January 2020:
gov.ie/en/collection/…
DEFINITIONS MATTER:

"56% of hospitalised cases were categorised as hospitalised for COVID-19, with the remaining 44% categorised as asymptomatic COVID-19 cases and potentially infectious."

(NOT "asymptomatic and non-infectious", as almost every news outlet claimed).
Few children, but big increase in oldest hospitalisation:

"As of 18th January 2022, age breakdown of hospitalised cases: 374 (34%) aged 80 and older, 335 (30%) aged 65-79, 176 (16%) aged 50-64, 196 (18%) aged 15-49, and 27 (2%) aged 0-14 years old."

24 December profile below:
Read 15 tweets
Stuart Neilson Profile picture
Jan 19
Covid-19 and deprivation, again.

The cumulative per capita burden of cases of Covid-19 across English local authorities is correlated with the extent of deprivation (R=0.52, p<0.001).

Deprivation: gov.uk/government/sta… (file 10, LA summaries)
Cases: theguardian.com/world/2021/dec…
Leafy, affluent LAs in the bottom left - low Covid-19 cases, low proportion of LA’s population living in the most deprived LSOAs in the country.

Deliveroo, frontline and insecure employment top right - higher Covid-19 per capita. Image
Index of Deprivation contains subscales of Income Deprivation; Employment Deprivation; Education, Skills and Training Deprivation; Health Deprivation and #Disability; Crime; Barriers to Housing and Services; Living Environment Deprivation (might interest you, @Orla_Hegarty).
Read 5 tweets

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