【Cipholio Opinions】#DeFi 变化趋势?
1/7. 2021年,DeFi项目总体处于上涨趋势中,总TVL在11月到达峰值,约2560亿美元。进入2022年之后,受到整个市场行情走低的影响,TVL出现明显下跌,相对于峰值已下降约20%,用户的参与热情也明显降低。
2/7
3/7. 以TVL前十位公链为例,不同的公链生态出现分化。大多数公链的TVL在2021年11月前后达到峰值,然后受市场影响出现回撤。但 #Cronos#Osmosis 等新的DeFi生态逆势增长。Osmosis的主要交易池的年化收益率在50%以上,相对较高的收益率吸引了更多用户参与。
4/7. 受到UST使用需求的增加、基金会支持等利好消息的刺激,#Terra 生态发展很快,目前TVL仅次于Ethereum,生态中 #Anchor #Lido 等明星项目TVL都超过三十亿美元。而 #BSC 等生态的TVL下降明显,尚未恢复到峰值的50%。这一是因为BTC、ETH、BNB等币价下跌,二是因为用户更愿意参与收益率更高的DeFi生态
5/7. DeFi项目的收益率受到很多因素的影响,DeFi项目会将治理代币计算到收益率中,超高的收益率往往是不可持续的。在市场行情好的时候,用户出于借贷扩张的需求会更多地参与DeFi项目,并且治理代币的价格也会上涨,因此收益率会很高。
6/7. 然而,当市场进入下跌趋势时,上述过程会发生反转,DeFi收益率大幅下降。目前,使用稳定币参与的DeFi项目的年化收益率在10%左右,对于参与者的吸引力不高。
7/7. 机构当前对DeFi的参与不多,很多知名DeFi项目将合规机构作为接下来的重点目标用户。但合规机构需要满足的监管要求是一个很大的挑战。目前,DeFi项目对机构用户进行合规操作的方向包括白名单认证、与普通用户使用不同的交易池等。满足合规要求的DeFi项目可能更具发展前景。

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