Past my bedtime...lest speak tomorrow
Trip-hopping, Oh Gosh, Oh Gosh I'm Juliette Binoche, the Dice Man vows never to stop throwing.

The child like wonders of curiosity, the Acid Cap was always asking why the sky is blue?
Still furious about environmentalists seeking to prevent all new permitting and exploration for hydrocarbons. Such anarchy is driving energy prices higher. Worse, Europe's profound lack of resources is seeing governments subsidise household energy bills.
Could this be the fabled "helicopter money"? Will persistently higher and higher oil prices create permanent and rising cash subsidies. Is this how inflation finally emerges?
A liberty Gas Pipeline from the US to Europe? Would this not be a more elegant solution to confronting Russia's bear hug on the European energy market; better than NATO raising defence spending by $100 bn ?
The Shamen levitates with excitement at the notion of what a Europe with a cheap source of energy could achieve for the world.
Gas? @writes_sweeney couldn't let the opportunity pass without asking about the 2006 hedge fund disaster, Amaranth's $6bn implosion, one of the largest ever. Hugh confesses that he too was long nat gas, just not that long!!
We consider the perils or opportunities from trading commodity futures curves, beware contangos at the short end. Gas prices rose from $1 to $6 per btu and yet the unwise could have lost 80% from rolling front month futures. We explain why.
And finally, a new macro trade. Very early, experimental but worthy of consideration.

Tune in or miss out.
Good Night

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Hugh Hendry Eclectica

Hugh Hendry Eclectica Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @hendry_hugh

Feb 17
You want to join my Eclectica virtual hedge fund game? You bought the NFT yet? Damn I haven't dropped them yet. But this is how it might look in a closed chat environment. Think of this as a trial...
I used to send these thought bubbles to my intel team. I'd examine charts and read all day long. This was before I'd heard of threads and twitter, imagine the fun I could have had back then...
I'd emerge from my dark room with music blasting and reveal what the macro voices in my head were screaming. I'd challenge my intel team to make sense of my exclamations. You want to be my intel team today, right now? You up for that challenge?
Read 23 tweets
Feb 12
At last, the moment has arrived to drop another but very important weekly podcast
#thegreatcarbonswindle
Finance gets a bad rap but I believe we hold the key to improving the global warming crisis. Embrace logic, reject Dadaism before it"s too late. I hope if you feel as strongly as I do that you will encourage others to watch and join a more informed debate
Macro Confessions from somewhere in the future. This week the camera never lies. One moment, I'm trotting out responses under cross-examination from Chris. Ray Dallio, Sure...is he the greatest hedge fund manager ever? What...Blah Blah Blah, I swear I'm gonna hit him, and then..
Read 16 tweets
Feb 8
You know what they say about men with big desks..?
Golden Flutters? Golden Rubble? Barney Rubble more like...
Delving back into this week's pod and my Vlad ire...
Read 6 tweets
Feb 5
Macro Confessions Part XXV (APRIL,2012) This week I felt a movement in the time-expanse of the financial universe. In a land far, far away, an elderly, wise man of my acquaintance, my Master and Macro Overlord, bore testimony to a prophecy of bad tidings.
This week we set about deciphering the message delivered by the Godfather of Macro, George Soros, and his latest face-off challenge to China's President Xi. Dr Who (or is that Hugh?) gets trippy to ask, are his apocalyptic warnings from 12 years ago now in play?
This week, in the high stakes game of international trade, I ask, is China the nation that reneged? Does history repeat? Has the Chinese property market mimicked the unstable rise of the DJI in the 1920s? Will there be blood?
Read 10 tweets
Feb 3
Soros and the Chinese horoscope are becoming aligned
This is what I had to say in April 2012, ten years ago…I see the global economy grotesquely distorted by the presence of fixed exchange rates, the unravelling of which will create financial anarchy, just as it did in the 1920s and 1930s.
Back then the relevant fixes were around the gold standard. Today it is the dollar/renminbi peg. I believe we might soon come to question whether China is committed to maintaining its currency peg with the dollar.They should, but will they?
Read 12 tweets
Feb 2
I'm going to review this,
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

:(