Faisal Islam Profile picture
Feb 28 18 tweets 7 min read
NEW
Russian rouble getting crushed in currency exchange market - all time low of 106 roubles per dollar - this is the 20 year chart..
NEW Russian Central Bank raises key interest rates to 20% to contain rouble crash and impact on inflation
NEW UK, via Treasury, announces it is joining in policy of sanctioning Russian Central Bank … UK persons “prohibited” from transactions with it, & prevented from accessing sterling. Chancellor says shows “steadfast resolve in imposing highest costs on Russia”.
Full UK statement on prohibiting transactions with the RCB here from Chancellor, Bank of England says it welcomes the steps…

gov.uk/government/new…
Flipping the chart, Russian rouble worth less that a US cent, after a crash of 30-40% this morning, and the Russian Central Bank prohibited in the main markets from intervening, and instead putting up interest rates to 20%
Chart via @refinitiv
BLOG:

these Central Bank moves better thought of as a form of economic war, unprecedented between G20 nations, designed to provoke domestic instability as a price for invasion.

bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
Interesting point, especially given Putin’s first PM’s comments yesterday…
Here are Kasyanov’s comments, from yesterday’s thread…

Moscow stock exchange shut down today, but London listed Sberbank and Gazprom losing half or more of value at some points this morning…
NEW US Treasury: “Sovereign Transactions Directive will disrupt Russia’s attempts to prop up its rapidly depreciating currency by restricting global supplies of the rouble and access to reserves that Russia may try to exchange to support the rouble”…
Putin now addressing Russian people on the financial instability caused by the sanctions… also Russian Central Bank Governor acknowledges she has not been able to intervene on the currency markets due to new prohibitions…

Very big deal - Japan joins in sanctioning of the Russian Central Bank, after PM spoke to Zelensky… remember Japan holds 10% of Russias reserves, home to another reserve currency
Boat ban interesting - but not without its risks, SCF, literally SovComFlot, ran the very Russian LNG tanker which shipped a third of the nation’s daily gas supply from Louisiana, which I filmed for the #BBCNewsSix arriving at the Isle of Grain last month

NEW: Another very big deal

Shell divests its Russian Sakhalin oil deal

And the Chancellor on #BBCNewsSix says he is defending democracy with these extraordinary “incredibly severe” central bank sanctions… explicitly saying that the measures aim to “undermine the Putin regime” which is a phraseology heard elsewhere in Govt today…
Latest - significant hits in international markets to Russian assets.

In one day
💵 Rouble-$ down 25% in value, 1 rouble now worth less than nine-tenths of a US cent
📉 Biggest bank Sberbank lost 75% of its value in London listing
🛢 Biggest energy co Gazprom lost 53% of value
And techie - but another source of profound downward pressure for whenever the authorities allow the Moscow stock exchange to reopen…

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More from @faisalislam

Feb 27
Yes. It’s him.
“Golos Paddingtona … “ Image
Full Ukrainian trailer here:
Read 4 tweets
Feb 26
NEW: US, UK, EU, France, Germany, Italy,, Canada commit

- to ensuring selected Russian banks removed from SWIFT system.

- imposing restrictive measures preventing Russian Central Bank from deploying its international reserves to undermine sanctions bbc.co.uk/news/world-605…
“we commit to taking measures to limit the sale of citizenship—so called golden passports—that let wealthy Russians connected to the Russian government become citizens of our countries and gain access to our financial systems”…
We “committed to employing sanctions and other financial and enforcement measures on additional Russian officials and elites close to the Russian government, as well as their families, and their enablers to identify and freeze the assets they hold in our jurisdictions…”
Read 21 tweets
Feb 26
Former UK Nat Security Adviser Sir Mark Lyall Grant told me after @BBCNewsnight he thought cultural sanctions would be highly effective in communicating directly to Russian people their isolation caused by Putin invasion.

Especially throwing Russia out of World Cup qualification
Glad to see our guest from last night the Ukrainian MP @kiraincongress is safe this morning after having to cut short @bbcNewsnight interview due to air raid sirens and Russian attacks on Kiev - she showed us the Kalashnikov she has received to defend Ukraine
And Latvian deputy PM and defence min @Pabriks

“No matter how hard sanctions..will not stop Russians marching on Kyiv or Mariupol. But we can send Stingers, Javelins, vests. our moral duty.don't need only to watch the screens and see how these people are dying defending Europe”
Read 9 tweets
Feb 24
Brent crude oil goes over $100 a barrel for first time since 2014 as Russia attacks Ukraine
Pride of Manchester winner @jezmyers just sent me this pic as families try to escape out of one of the main motorways from Kyiv, where he went to try to help his partner & family with visas…
Ukraine has closed its airspace to civilian planes and EASA has sent out a warning “there is a risk of both intentional targeting and misidentification of civil aircraft” - so limited normal routes out - HT @Theothebald
Read 32 tweets
Feb 22
NEW Bill Browder, former biggest investor in Russia and force behind Magnitsky Acts tells BBC that the UK sanctions are “pretty tepid”
Culture Secretary will talk to UEFA about canning Gazprom Arena St Petersburg as venue for Champions League Final…

Games tonight, including at Stamford Bridge, on “the road to St Petersburg”, in the competition sponsored by Gazprom…
More from my interview with @BillBrowder on #BBCNewsSix

“I'm disappointed. The sanctions will absolutely no way change Putin's calculus about whether to go violently further into Ukraine…” UK should sanction 50 top oligarchs, he says
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22
NEW:
Chancellor @OlafScholz speaking in Berlin with Taoiseach announces certification or given and “Nordstream 2 pipeline cannot go online” after the situation changed with Putin’s “incomprehensible” move last night, and EU-US consultations … via @dwnews
Significant move - not least because his predecessor in the Chancellery and party colleague Gerhard Schroeder is chairman of the board of Nordstream…

Interesting to see if Schroeder feels pressure to resign…
This is a very significant potential hit for a country and an economy so dependent on Russian gas, and ups the ante as to what UK should do with its source of potential sanctions leverage - Russian assets in the City
Read 6 tweets

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