Between February 1-26, 143 Saskatchewan citizens have died from #COVID19, despite Omicron being "less severe".
That's an INSANELY high number.
Saskatchewan's most deadly month thus far was October 2021, when 156 people died during our horrific Delta wave. /1
As highlighted by @DrKyle, Saskatchewan's death rate from #COVID19 is more than DOUBLE that of the 2nd highest province, Manitoba.
No province is even remotely close in terms of deaths per capita at this point with Omicron. So embarrassingly bad. /2
With 2 days left, February 2022 might not technically be Saskatchewan's deadliest month during this pandemic, but remember... there's only 28 days in February vs 31 days in October.
If you pro-rate 5.5 deaths per day (February 2022's deaths per day) x 31 days? *170* deaths. /3
So, despite what @SKGov says, February 2022 IS the deadliest month of #COVID19 on record.
Yet, @SKGov chose to REMOVE all measures to protect the vulnerable, the elderly, the frail, and those who can't be vaccinated Feb 28.
Remember, everyone, we're "living with COVID". /4
We won't hear anything from @SKGov about these deaths, or ALL the people who STILL remain in hospital & ICU as of March 2. 353 in hospital, 30 in ICU!
To ALL #SK citizens: COVID isn't over. Mask, isolate if symptomatic, get vaxxed & boosted ASAP.
Stay safe, everyone.
/end
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KEY POINTS:
- 37 deaths over 7 days. 1 b/w 20-39, all others >= 40
- Hospitalizations & ICU admissions decreasing (phew)
- Weekly test positivity 14.4% (last wk ~20%)
- ALL Omicron (no breakdown of BA.1 vs BA.2)
Brief 🧵 /1
Let's start with key data around hospitalizations & ICU admissions.
Week-by-week hospitalizations down 9% to 372, ICU down 18% to 27. Slowly coming down, thankfully.
Of those with known COVID status, 42% in hospital/ICU "due to COVID", 58% "incidental". /2
We can see that overall hospital admissions per day definitely decreasing now across all regions of Saskatchewan, but it's a relatively slow decrease, likely driven by limited protections we have in place provincially.
"Hi Alex, what's BA.2? Is it a little bad or is it REALLY bad?"
BA.2 is a sub-lineage of Omicron. The 'original' lineage of Omicron is designated as BA.1 & remains the dominant strain circulating in most parts of Canada currently.
A brief 🧵 of what we know thus far. /1
BA.1 & BA.2 are both classified by @WHO as Omicron, but are distinct viruses. See the phylogenetic diagram below (thx @kallmemeg).
BA.2 has over 25 mutations that differentiate it vs BA.1.
Many questions still exist around how similar BA.1 & BA.2 are clinically. /2
Danish pre-print data comparing transmission of BA.1 vs BA.2 in household settings suggests BA.2 IS more transmissible than BA.1.
BA.2 also LIKELY possess more immune-evasive properties vs BA.1 that could reduce vaccine efficacy. /3
Great @SaskHealth Town Hall last PM re: #COVID19 in Saskatchewan. Key points:
- Community MAY have peaked w/ Omicron.
- Non-ICU/ICU numbers STILL rising
- #SK non-ICU system capacity MAXED OUT.
- Relaxed public health measures in #SK = LONGER & MORE SEVERE Omicron wave
Yesterday, Premier Moe said #COVID19 cases in Saskatchewan are more frequent in the vaccinated vs. those who aren't.
THUS, vaccines DON'T prevent infection with or transmission of Omicron.
The Premier's conclusions are INCORRECT. But why?
It's complicated. Here we go.
🧵 /1
The Premier's incorrect conclusion stems from a simplistic interpretation of the data. 'Base rate fallacy' is one problem, but there are MANY other factors at play.
We explained 'base rate fallacy' with cases & vax status back in August. See below. /2
For 'base rate fallacy' & #COVID19 & hospitalizations, this is the diagram EVERYONE uses (thx @MarcRummy).
MANY more people are fully vaccinated now, so even though a small proportion of them go to hospital, the absolute numbers are the same as those unvaccinated. See below. /3