There has been an change in the discussion of a possible Russian success (victory doesnt seem to be used so much these days) in the war against Ukraine, saying that because the Russian Army is still advancing in places, the situation is better for them.
https://twitter.com/atanessi/status/1502281119127019531?s=20&t=lnKp1A7ucDBekMSRaW0Jpg
Indeed that article talks about using some battlefield victories (taking of Kyiv) as a means of leveraging greater concessions from Ukraine in negotiations.
This is an entirely different concept of victory than that which was talked about earlier a complete abandonment of maximalist aims.
Still not sure it represents anything achievable. Yes the Russian Army is very slowly approaching Kyiv. It might soon start a massive bombardment to try and flatten the town.
However its not quite clear that the Russians would consider going into the town, and indeed they have little experience in city fighting (one of the reasons they seem very hesitant to attack into cities anywhere in Ukraine)
https://twitter.com/StevenBeynon/status/1502291228544708615?s=20&t=9uHAjPmOyt1AYGpxnYHFbA
Flattening Kyiv might indeed make Ukrainian resistance more hardline, and the problem Russia faces is stark. In 2-4 weeks (closer to 2 if they start undertaking very bloody operations such as the storming of Kyiv), this Russian Army could be spent.
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1502149244206997512?s=20&t=lnKp1A7ucDBekMSRaW0Jpg
As said before, cant see Russia emerging with a victory in this war, question is whether Ukraine emerges in the short-term or the slightly longer term in control of its own destiny. Has anyone else seen a plausible scenario for Russian victory?
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